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The next ten years : chaos or illumination

The next ten years : chaos or illumination. Pier Oddone , Fermilab Brookhaven Forum 2010 May 28 , 2010. Hold on to your seats……. The next decade is here! The greatest expectations in generations and the greatest uncertainties....

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The next ten years : chaos or illumination

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  1. The next ten years: chaos or illumination Pier Oddone, Fermilab Brookhaven Forum 2010 May 28, 2010

  2. Hold on to your seats…….. The next decade is here! The greatest expectations in generations and the greatest uncertainties.... As we have heard in BF2010: any number of models are possible – few clues from present experiments. The LHC will be the dominant tool – but critical questions remain in other areas: for neutrinos, rare processes, dark matter and dark energy P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  3. New physics: what clues do we have? The biggies: • Dark matter • Dark energy • Neutrino masses • Matter antimatter asymmetry in the universe • Three flavors • Unitarity at TeV scale? But is the new physics around the corner? Looking through precision tests……. P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  4. What clues do we have? G-2: anomalous magnetic moment of the muon shows a 3 sigma deviation from SM predictions P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  5. What clues do we have? P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  6. What clues do we have? Tension in comparison of different determinations of sin (2b) (See Neubert at BF2010) P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  7. What clues do we have? Tensions in fitting unitarity triangle Lunghi and Soni, PL B666 (2008) 162 P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  8. What clues do we have? Recent measurement of di-muon asymmetry in DZERO P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  9. What clues do we have? New at BF2010, Tonelli, Tsybychev P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  10. What clues do we have? Further evidence from independent measurements of sand ΔΓs in Bs→J/ψ decay (Tonelli, Tsybychev @BF2010) P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  11. Mtop: Tevatron MW : Tevatron+LEP2 80.5 80.4 80.3 100 GeV 200 GeV 300 GeV MW (GeV) 500 GeV 1000 GeV Mhiggs = 150 175 200 Mtop (GeV) What clues do we have? Predict Higgs Mass Search for Higgs Tevatron Preliminary (L=2.0 – 5.4 fb-1) Electroweak fits P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  12. Is there more juice in the Tevatron? 95%CL exclusion through FY11 through FY09 3s evidence P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  13. Energy frontier will move to the LHC Play P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  14. Powerful detectors (See Erbacher and Heinemann at BF2010) P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  15. Huge physics reach Theorists have imagined a veritable Jurassic Park of possibilities in this new energy range: • Minimal Supersymmetric (MSSM) • Many other models of supersymmetry (less predictive ) • New Z’ similar to the Z boson, but higher masses • Extra dimensions and Kalusa-Klein towers • Technicolor • Lepto-quarks • Mini black holes • …………………… P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  16. LHC physics reach (3 years ago) 14 TeV Shifted by >2 years Courtesy Fabiola Gianotti [Now displaced by 2+ years] P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  17. Detectors are fantastic! Physics will come quickly: weeks to months after data taking Also means many effects will appear first at the 3 sigma level so we will be chasing many things on the way to discovery When will we be able to be confident enough to say what the next machine is? Great confusion? (See Lykken at BF2010) P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  18. Biggest decision of the decade ! By far the easiest! A Global program ILC Enough or LHC Results CLIC or ILC not enough Muon collider 18 P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  19. ILC/Project X/XFEL technology Horizontal Test Stand 1st cryomodule Vertical Test Stand P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  20. If we need higher energies….. If the energy of the ILC is too small (0.5 TeV or a little higher) we will need another approach: CLIC or muon collider P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  21. Muon Collider approach If the energy of the ILC is too small (0.5 TeV or a little higher) we will need another approach: CLIC or muon collider Collider based on a secondary beam: we have experience basing colliders on antiprotons. For muons we must do it in 20 msec. The biggest advantages are: narrow energy spread (no beamstrahlung) and small physical footprint (no synchrotron radiation DOE OHEP has asked Fermilab to organized the national R&D program P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  22. P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  23. Muon collider layout 4 TeV P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  24. Targeting and capturing P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  25. Capturing and cooling P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  26. Muon collider functional layout Target Capture Cool Format Accel Collide Color indicates degree of needed R&D (difficulty) and demonstration P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  27. The energy frontier LHC CLIC or Muon Collider? Tevatron LHC LHC ILC? LHC LHC upgrades Energy 2018 2015 Now 2012 P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  28. Interplay: LHC Intensity Frontier Only handle on the next energy scale nothing Intensity Frontier LHC Determine/verify structure of new physics. Anything beyond? Lots P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  29. Intensity is key for neutrinos Only weak interactions: very small cross sections >> hard to study Need large flux of particles and massive detectors Complementary to LHC: measure neutrino parameters (new symmetries?), neutrino masses, matter-antimatter symmetry violation and surprises. This route like the energy path depends of what we find in the current generation of experiments P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  30. Neutrinos NOvA (off-axis): q13, mass ordering, …. MINERvA MicroBooNE (LAr TPC) Neutrinos since 2013: NOvA, MINERvA MicroBooNE 810 km 700 kW MicroBooNE NOvA P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  31. Neutrinos LBNE: FNALDUSEL (+proton decay) (DOE 1st stage approval) Neutrinos LBNE(to DUSEL) Muons Mu2e Neutrinos to DUSEL Muons Mu2e (DOE 1st stage approval) Muon g-2/EDM (to be reviewed by DOE) 700 kW 1300 km Kaons K+ p+nn (proposed, but …) P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  32. Remove Accelerators from Cockroft-Walton though Booster and Booster neutrino. All the green ones including MuCOOL stay Project X Neutrino physics Muon physics Kaon physics Nuclear physics Project X Neutrino physics Muon physics Kaon physics Nuclear physics Project X Neutrinos Muons Kaons Nuclei “simultaneouly” 2 MW (60-120 GeV) 1300 km 2 MW at ~3 GeV flexible time structure and pulse intensities P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  33. Ray Davis’s Experiment P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  34. ~ c01 ~ c01 Missing ET More LHC/Intensity frontier dark matter candidate ATLAS/CMS discovers strongly coupled SUSY A host of new particles: fit roughly some masses, make assumption on couplings P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  35. Large effects in kaon decay rates d d d d d d d d W s s s s d d squarks quarks d d squarks quarks W W slepts lepts Z n n n n SM: KLp0 n n n n n n c c c c BSM: KLp0 n n P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  36. For particular classes of SUSY • Large effect on rare K decay modes highly suppressed with SM particles • Much higher SM backgrounds in B and C decays • (See also Neubert at BF2010) P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  37. g-2 New Building Design - FESS A new (g-2) to error of 0.14*10-11 P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  38. UED A new (g-2) to 0.14*10-11 New g-2 LHC 2s 1s Model P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  39. Mu2ecan probe 103 – 104 TeV New Physics Scale (TeV) with Project X pre-Project X MEG Experiment SUSY Compositeness Model Parameter 39 P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  40. At the intensity frontier: Super B One hundred times the luminosity of existing B-factories. Complementary program to LHC: flavor physics will manifest discoveries at LHC as well as higher mass scales Unlikely to be produced with present designs due to huge power loads: go to low emittances and waist focus. The main challenge is to maintain the low emittance. Two designs one in Japan and one in Italy P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  41. Super B: 4 Gev x 7 GeV Noteanamorphic scales Crab sextupoles OFF 40mm 10mm waist is orthogonal to the bunch axis 2mm Crab sextupoles ON waist moves to the axis of other beam E. Paoloni With crabbed waist, all particles from both beams collide in theminimum by region, producing a net gain in luminosityand a broad tune plane P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  42. New physics in CPV: sin2b Many channels can show effects in the range Ds ~ 0.01-0.04 W- (*) theory limited P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  43. Three main thrusts The energy frontier: produce particles at highest energy The intensity frontier: the most particles for neutrinos and rare decays Cosmic frontier: study phenomena in nature P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

  44. In conclusion: the next decade….. Chaos or illumination Chaos and illumination P. Oddone, Brookhaven Forum, May 28,2010

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