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Young People in the Highlands and Islands

Young People in the Highlands and Islands. Ruth Sime Innovation and Skills. Outline. The HIE area Demographics of the HIE area Outline of the study Key findings Policy recommendations In the words of young people. H.I.E. Area. Distance from Inverness to Lerwick.

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Young People in the Highlands and Islands

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  1. Young People in the Highlands and Islands Ruth Sime Innovation and Skills

  2. Outline • The HIE area • Demographics of the HIE area • Outline of the study • Key findings • Policy recommendations • In the words of young people

  3. H.I.E. Area Distance from Inverness to Lerwick

  4. Milan and Lerwick equidistant from London

  5. The Highlands & Islands • 51% of the landmass of Scotland • 9% (460,000) of the Scottish population • Only one settlement of over 25,000 - Inverness • Population growing similar to the Scottish rate – but not everywhere • Employment rate (80%) ahead of the Scottish figure • Unemployment rate below Scottish and UK averages • Productivity below Scottish level and low average incomes

  6. Population Source: GROS Census

  7. A growing population in every part of the area A more diverse employment base World-rated attractiveness of natural and built environments Higher incomes in real terms Aspirations And an open-arms approach to attracting people – an international shop window for Scotland

  8. The Issue – The “Missing 18500” If the Highlands and Islands had the same age structure as Scotland, there would be 18500 (25%) more young people in the 15 to 30 age group. Gender Split 11840 women, 6660 men

  9. Highlands and Islands (HIE area) 200 100 0 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 -100 average 2002- 2007 -200 -300 -400 -500 Source:General -600 Register Office for Scotland -700 Ref: P219/H&Ipro/ avemigcht -800 Net Migration by Age

  10. Cummulative Net Migration by Age in theHighlands and Islands Sub Regions

  11. Cummulative Net Migration in Challenge Areas

  12. Cummulative Net Migration – Edinburgh

  13. 1.15 Inner Moray Firth 1.10 Lochaber, Skye and Wester Ross Moray 1.05 Orkney 1.00 Shetland 0.95 Innse Gall Index 2001 = 1.00 0.90 Argyll and the Isles 0.85 Caithness and Sutherland Highlands and 0.80 Islands 0.75 Source:General Register Office for Scotland 0.70 Ref: Z\Data\Popn\ 0.65 DreamPeople\H&Ipro\ 2031 2029 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 subreg1530cht 15-30 Year Old Population Trends

  14. Population Distribution

  15. Comparing “Fragile” to Urban Areas

  16. Young Person Population Gap: Increase in 15-30 Population needed to Fill Youth Population Gap 632 (16%) 873 (27%) 2061 (36%) 1963 (33%) 1371 (34%) 2826 (19%) 4703 (19%) 4118 (40%)

  17. Objectives of the Study • Find out more about the attitudes of young people about living, studying and working in the Highlands and Islands • Look at the factors that influence migration • Identify appropriate initiatives • A baseline for future comparisons

  18. Responses H&I Responses 1500 school pupils, 1670 young adults, 300 young adults living in other parts of the UK Gender Female 60% Male 40% Online focus groups Three policy group meetings

  19. 2768 respondents A good place to bring up a family A place where I feel safe A place I am proud to be associated with A place where I want to live for the rest of my life A place where everyone knows my business There are few jobs which pay well Few opportunities to access university and college courses A good place to live as a teenager A boring place in which to live A place where it's OK to be different A place which values its young people A place only suited to retired people Plenty of job opportunities 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Z:\PROJECTS\P219 HIE youth migration\ SNAPanalysis2\CommunityTotal.xls Strongly agree Slightly agree Neither agree nor disagree Slightly disagree Strongly disagree Don't know Community Total Summary Perceptions

  20. Positive Perceptions • Proud to be associated with the area (H&I - 72%, Islands – 80%, Fragile areas – 78%) • A good place to bring up a family (H&I - 82%, I – 90%, F – 87%) • A place where I feel safe (H&I -80%, I – 91%, F – 93%) • A place where I want to live for the rest of my life (H&I - 53%, I – 57%, F – 65%) • A good place to live as a teenager (H&I - 50%, I – 57%, F – 51%) • A place that values its young people (H&I - 31%, I – 39%, F – 41%)

  21. Less Positive Perceptions • Plenty of job opportunities (H&I – 28%, Islands – 27%, Fragile areas – 25%) • Few jobs that pay well (H&I – 56%, I- 59%, F – 61%) • Access to university and college courses (H&I 52%, I – 50%, F – 47% • A place where it’s OK to be different (H&I – 35%, I – 27%, F, - 36%) • A place where everyone knows my business (H&I - 56%, I – 74%, F – 74%)

  22. Orkney Shetland A good place to live as a young Better job prospects person or with a family, with Stronger affinity to the area value placed on young people More suited to retired people Stronger affinity to the area and less suited to young people Better job prospects, but few which pay well Innse Gall Caithness and Poor economic opportunities Sutherland Much stronger affinity to the Inner Moray Firth area Fewer job opportunities More suited to young people Lower level of tolerance of A good place to grow up in differences Less safe Value their young people Better paying jobs and teenager and family friendly Highlands Moray and Islands Weaker affinity with the area Lochaber, Skye and Better access to educational Wester Ross opportunities Less suited to the needs of Less value placed on young young people, but a good place people and less family and Argyll and Bute to live later in life teenager friendly Very safe and relatively tolerant Fewer job opportunities Lower levels of tolerance More suited to retired people P219/snap analysis 2/areas/comparison and less suited to young people areas/LEC area comparisons/pp comparison slide Perceptions – Variations across Region

  23. Perceptions by age: training and employment opportunities in the Highlands and Islands

  24. Perceptions by Age: Young People’s Experiences of Life in the H&I

  25. Predicted location of school pupils in the future

  26. Top 10 Factors” in Retention and Attraction of Young People • Wider Higher Education curriculum available within H&I and development of associated facilities • Broader range of jobs • More jobs with better career prospects opportunities, including self employment • More higher paid jobs available • New emerging employment opportunities in relevant industries • Easier access to affordable housing • More recreation/social opportunities • Cheaper transport links • Faster transport links • Greater electronic connectivity

  27. Engagement • Education • Employment • Environment Policy Responses

  28. Effective Intervention • All agencies recognise importance of demographic imbalance • Alignment of public, private and third sectors • Further liaison with young people to identify messages and effective communication channels

  29. http://www.hie.co.uk/youth-migration.htm

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