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Overview of Population and Enrollment Forecasts

Overview of Population and Enrollment Forecasts. Robert Edgecombe GCR Inc. redgecombe@gcrconsulting.com. Citywide Population. New Orleans added nearly 30,000 residents between 2010 and 2012

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Overview of Population and Enrollment Forecasts

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  1. Overview of Population and Enrollment Forecasts Robert Edgecombe GCR Inc. redgecombe@gcrconsulting.com

  2. Citywide Population • New Orleans added nearly 30,000 residents between 2010 and 2012 • Top 1% of counties nationwide in terms of growth rate, comparable to Loudon (VA), Williamson (TX), and Fort Bend (TX)

  3. Projected Population

  4. Projected Population • Population growth has trended toward high end of GCR projections • Updates reflect most recent trends

  5. Public School Enrollment • Significant decrease in public school enrollment (15%) prior to Katrina • Increase in public school enrollment (14%) has outpaced overall population growth (9%) since 2010

  6. Projected Enrollment

  7. Projected Enrollment • Enrollment has trended toward high end of GCR projections • Updates reflect most recent trends

  8. Methodological Notes • Population • For most neighborhoods, we use indications of residential occupancy to assess change • Independent research on major facilities (public housing complexes, prison, major apartment buildings, etc.) • Enrollment • Indexed to population • Scenarios are composite results of assumptions about population and “market share”

  9. GCR NOLA Schools Website • Includes the following information for neighborhoods, catchment areas, and areas around active school campuses • Population Estimates and Forecasts • Student Enrollment • Student Population • Building/Master Plan Information gis.gcr1.com/nolaschools

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