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Understand economic models in service industries for optimal cost decisions, including servers, hiring choices, drive-thru systems, store leasing, and machine selection. Examples and calculations provided for practical application.
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Module C8 Queuing Economic/Cost Models
ECONOMIC ANALYSES • Each problem is different • Examples • To determine the minimum number of servers to meet some service criterion (e.g. an average of < 4 minutes in the queue) -- trial and error with M/M/k systems • To compare 2 or more situations -- • Consider the total (hourly) cost for each system and choose the minimum
Example 1Determining Optimal Number of Servers • Customers arrive to an electronics store at random at an average rate of 100 per hour. • Service times are random but average 5 min. • How many servers should be hired so that the average time of a customer waits for service is less than 30 seconds? • 30 seconds = .5 minutes = .00833 hours
Average service time1/ = 5 min. = 5/60 hr. = 60/5 =12/hr. ……….. How many servers? Arrival rate = 100/hr. GOAL: Average time in the queue, WQ < .00833hrs.
Input values for and First time WQ < .008333 12 servers needed .003999
Example 2Determining Which Server to Hire • Customers arrive at random to a store at night at an average rate of 8 per hour. • The company places a value of $4 per hour per customer in the store. • Service times are random. The average service time that depends on the server. Server Salary Average Service Time • Ann $ 6/hr. 6 min. • Bill $ 10/hr. 5 min. • Charlie $ 14/hr. 4 min. • Which server should be hired?
LAnn = 4 Ann1/ = 6 min. A = 60/6 = 10/hr. LAnn Hourly Cost = $6 + 4LAnn = 8/hr LAnn 4 Hourly Cost = $6 + $4(4) = $22
LBill = 2 Bill1/ = 5 min. B = 60/5 = 12/hr. LBill Hourly Cost = $10 + 4LBill = 8/hr LBill 2 Hourly Cost = $10 + $4(2) = $18
LCharlie = 1.14 Charlie1/ = 4 min. C = 60/4 = 15/hr. LCharlie Hourly Cost = $14 + 4LCharlie = 8/hr LCharlie 1.14 Hourly Cost = $14 + $4(1.14) = $18.56
HireBill Optimal • Ann --- Total Hourly Cost = $22 • Bill --- Total Hourly Cost = $18 • Charlie --- Total Hourly Cost = $18.56
Example 3What Kind of Line to Have • .A fast food operation is considering opening a drive-up window food service operation. • Customers arrive at random at an average rate of 24 per hour. Three systems are being considered. • Customer waiting time is valued at $25 per hour. • Each clerk makes $6.50 per hour. • Each drive-thru lane costs $20 per hour to operate. • Which system should be used?
1/ = 2 min. = 60/2 = 30/hr. LQ = 3.2 Store = 24/hr. Option 1 -- 1 clerk, 1 lane Total Hourly Cost Salary + Lanes + Wait Cost $6.50 + $20 + $25(3.2) = $106.50 Total Hourly Cost Salary + Lanes + Wait Cost $6.50 + $20 + $25LQ
1 Service System 1/ = 1.25 min. = 60/1.25 = 48/hr. LQ = .5 Store = 24/hr. Option 2 -- 2 clerks, 1 lane Total Hourly Cost Salary + Lanes + Wait Cost 2($6.50) + $20 + $25(.5) = $45.50 Total Hourly Cost Salary + Lanes + Wait Cost 2($6.50) + $20 + $25LQ
1/ = 2 min. = 60/2 = 30/hr. LQ = .152 Store Store = 24/hr. Option 3 -- 2 clerks, 2 lanes Total Hourly Cost Salary + Lanes + Wait Cost 2($6.50) + $40 + $25LQ Total Hourly Cost Salary + Lanes + Wait Cost 2($6.50) + $40 + $25(.152) = $56.80
BestOption 2 Optimal • Option 1 --- Total Hourly Cost = $106.50 • Option 2 --- Total Hourly Cost = $ 45.50 • Option 3 --- Total Hourly Cost = $ 58.80
Example 4Which Store to Lease • Customers are expected to arrive to a store location at random at an average rate of 30 per hour. • The store will be open 10 hours per day. • Service times can be considered random. • The average sale grosses $25. • Clerks are paid $20/hr. including all benefits. • The cost of having a customer in the store is estimated to be $8 per customer per hour. • Clerk Service Rate = 10 customers/hr. • Should they lease a Large Store or Small Store?
Large Store 6Servers Unlimited QueueLength … = 30/hr. Lease Cost = $1000/day= $1000/10 = $100/hr. All customersget served!
Small Store 2Servers Maximum QueueLength = 1 Will join system if0 or 1 in the queue Will not join thequeue if there is 1 customer in the queue = 30/hr. Lease Cost = $200/day= $200/10 = $20/hr.
Hourly Profit Analysis Large Small Arrival Rate = 30 e = 30(1-p3) Revenue $25(Arrival Rate) (25)(30)=$750 $25e Costs Lease $100 $20 Server $20(#Servers) (20)(6) =$120 (20)(2) =$40 Waiting $8(Avg. in Store)=$8L $8L Net Profit ? ?
L 3.099143 Large Store -- M/M/6
p3 L Small Store -- M/M/2/3 e = (1-.44262)(30) = 16.7213
Hourly Profit Analysis 30 16.7213 Large Small Arrival Rate = 30 e = 30(1-p3) Revenue $25(Arrival Rate) (25)(30)=$750 $25e Costs Lease $100 $20 Server $20(#Servers) (20)(6) =$120 (20)(2) =$40 Waiting $8(Avg. in Store)=$8L $8L Net Profit ? ? $418 $750 $100 $ 20 $ 40 $120 $8(3.099143) $ 25 $ 17 $8(2.11475) Lease the large store $750-$100-$120-$25 $418-$20-$40-$17 $505 $341
Example 5Which Machine is Preferable • Jobs arrive randomly to an assembly plant at an average rate of 5 per hour. • Service times do not follow an exponential distribution. • Two machines are being considered • (1) Mean service time of 6 min. ( = 60/6 = 10/hr.) standard deviation of 3 min. ( = 3/60 = .05 hr.) • (2) Mean service time of 6.25 min.( = 60/6.25 = 9.6/hr.) standard deviation of .6 min. ( = .6/60 = .01 hr.) • Which of the two designs seems preferable?
Machine Comparisons Machine1 Machine 2 Prob (No Wait) -- P0.5000 .4792 Average Service Time 6 min. 6.25 min. Average # in System .8125 .8065 Average # in Queue .3125 .2857 Average Time in System .1625 hr. .1613 hr. 9.75 min. 9.68 min. Average Time in Queue .0625 hr. .0571 hr. 3.75 min. 3.43 min.
Module C8 Review • List Components of System • Develop a model • Use templates to get parameter estimates • Select “optimal” design