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PERSPECTIVE: CRUMB RUBBER MARKET and PARALLEL EXPERIENCES . Presented by TERRY A. GRAY T.A.G. RESOURCE RECOVERY At THE CIWMB WASTE TIRE FORUM SACRAMENTO, CA MARCH 9, 2006. PERSPECTIVE. STUDIES OF THE NORTH AMERICAN CRUNM RUBBER MARKET WERE PERFORMED IN 2001 AND 2004.
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PERSPECTIVE:CRUMB RUBBER MARKETandPARALLEL EXPERIENCES Presented by TERRY A. GRAY T.A.G. RESOURCE RECOVERY At THE CIWMB WASTE TIRE FORUM SACRAMENTO, CA MARCH 9, 2006
PERSPECTIVE • STUDIES OF THE NORTH AMERICAN CRUNM RUBBER MARKET WERE PERFORMED IN 2001 AND 2004. • 2001 MARKET ANALYSIS INDICATED THAT THE MARKET WAS SMALLER THAN GENERALLY REPRESENTED • U.S. AND CANADIAN COMPANIES HAVE SEEN MAJOR MARKET CHANGES AND CHALLENGES SINCE 2001
MAJOR US PROCESSOR CHANGES SINCE 2001 COMPANYCHANGE ART FL NEW OWNERS ATLOS CA CLOSED BAS CA NEW MGMT ENTIRE NE MAJOR FIRE FNRI CA SHUT DOWN GLOBAL FL BANKRUPT LANDSTAR-3 BANKRUPT NEW HOPE IL CLOSED RB OR NEW OWNER
MAJOR CHANGES(CONTINUED) COMPANYCHANGE ROUSE MS FIRE-CLOSED SANTEE SC BANKRUPT-2 TIRES NC CLOSED RTG 5 REORGANIZE RESULT-ALMOST 60% HAVE CHANGED OWNERS OR FAILED
METHODOLOGY • PROVINCIAL/STATE DATA (WHERE AVAILABLE) • DIRECT COMPANY DISCUSSIONS • INDUSTRY SOURCES • AGREED TO PROTECT INDIVIDUAL DATA
2004 US MARKET(BY REGION) REGIONQUANTITY NORTHEAST 125 SOUTHEAST 133 NORTH CENTRAL 35 SOUTH CENTRAL 85 WEST 155 TOTAL 533
CANADIAN MARKETBY REGION AREAMANUF MARITIME 25 QUEBEC 97 ONTARIO 74 WESTERN 74 TOTAL 270
NORTH AMERICAN MARKET MARKET CANADA USTOTAL ASPHALT 2 115 117 MOLDED 138 184 322 SPORTS 100 134 234 ANIMAL 22 25 47 TIRES 2 50 52 OTHER 6 25 31 TOTAL 270 533 803 (34%) (66%)
2004 VS 2001 • ASPHALT DOWN 80 MM – STATE ECONOMIES • MOLDED PRODUCTS UP 112MM – CREATIVITY AND AESTHETICS • SPORTS SURFACING UP 114MM – TURF, TOP DRESSING, EQUESTRIAN, PLAYGROUND • NET IMPACT UP 133 MM POUNDS (20%)
MAJOR US ASPHALT MARKETS STATEUSAGE ARIZONA 40 TEXAS 32 CALIFORNIA 18 FLORIDA 16 OTHERS 3 CRACK SEALANT 6 TOTAL 115
EVOLVING ECONOMIC FACTORS CURRENCY FLUCTUATION $ US RATE $ CAN $0.10 0.65 $0.154 $0.10 0.75 $0.133 $0.10 0.80 $0.125 $0.10 0.85 $0.118
TRANSPORTATIONCOST IMPACT($/POUND) $1/MIMILES$1.50/MI $0.011 500 $0.017 $0.022 1000 $0.034 $0.044 2000 $0.068
INDUSTRY ISSUES • OVERCAPACITY • MAJOR MARKET SHIFT • ADDITIONAL EXPANSION • SIZE DISTRIBUTION • OUT SOURCING – CHINA • REALITY • NEW GORILLAS • UNISPHERE-FAILED • RMD?
SUMMARY • SOME GROWTH • SOME HOPE • SOME CHALLENGES • INNOVATIVE APPROACHES AND PRODUCTS NEEDED
PARALLEL EXPERIENCE-FLORIDA • MANY SIMILARITIES • 4TH LARGEST STATE • 800 MILES TIP TO TIP • RAPID GROWTH • LIMITED MANUFACTURING BASE • ISOLATED • LATIN INT’L INFLUENCE
PROGRAM CHARACTERISTICS • INITIATED IN 1989 • $1.00/TIRE FEE FROM BEGINNING • INITIAL FOCUS – STOCKPILE CLEAN-UP
STOCKPILE RESULTS • OWNERS 8.9 M 59% • DEP 5.2 M 34% • COUNTIES 1.1 M7% • TOTAL 15.2M 100% • <80,000 REMAINING-SMALL PILES • NO MAJOR FIRES
WASTE TIRE GENERATION • CAREFULLY DEFINED BY MULTIPLE METHODS • IN 2004, 19.5 M PTE • POPULATION – 17.3 M • 1.13 PTE/PERSON • EACH STATE UNIQUE
2004 MARKET DIVERSITY CRUMB RUBBER HIGHWAY 1.04 M PLAYGROUND 0.66 M ON-GROUND 1.64 M MOLDED 1.01 M TOTAL 4.35 M 22.3%
CIVIL ENG’G-2004 DRAINFIELD 0.58 M LANDFILL APPS 0.86 M DC 1.34 M TOTAL 2.78 M 14.2%
ENERGY IND TDF 5.19 M WTE 0.76 M O/S TDF 3.29 M TOTAL 9.24 M 47.4%
2004 TOTALS TOTAL 16.37 M UTILIZATION 84% LANDFILL 3.13 M DISPOSAL 16%
IMPORTANT FACTORS • MARKET DIVERSITY • SUSTAINABILITY • VULNERABILITY • CONTINUING MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN ALL SEGMENTS