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The Economic Impact of Pharmaceutical Parallel Trade: A Stakeholder Analysis. Panos Kanavos, PhD London School of Economics, UK AcademyHealth, San Diego, 8 June 2004. Agenda. Drug pricing and financing in Europe The issue of parallel trade Data and methods Results
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The Economic Impact of Pharmaceutical Parallel Trade:A Stakeholder Analysis Panos Kanavos, PhD London School of Economics, UK AcademyHealth, San Diego, 8 June 2004
Agenda • Drug pricing and financing in Europe • The issue of parallel trade • Data and methods • Results • Conclusions and policy implications
Price differences per unit in EU countries, DDD-adjusted, in €, 2002
Parallel trade in the EU • Regional exhaustion of rights • Considerable jurisprudence by the ECJ • Significant uptake: 1998 – 2002 • Actively encouraged by some member-states
United Kingdom 1. Discounts to pharmacy 2. Clawback Germany 1. Quota to pharmacies for PI dispensing 2. Penalties for not adhering to quota Denmark 1. Information on PI use 2. Mandatory substitution The Netherlands 1. 1/3 of price difference accrues to pharmacy 2. Clawback encouraging pharmacies to procure more cost-effectively Sweden 1. Information and PI substitution 2. Aggregate payment to pharmacy for work on generics and PI drugs Incentives encouraging the use of PI medicines in Europe
The Research Agenda Quantify economic impact of parallel trade in six major destination countries Focus on 6 widely used product classes* accounting for 22% of branded retail market (15-28% depending on country); account for some of the most highly PT products Apportion static benefits to individual stakeholders Research Endpoints Examine direct effects, arising from price differences between locally sourced and PI drugs (list prices and discounts) Competition effects in destination countries and price convergence Competition effects across countries – does arbitrage work? Research agenda and endpoints * Statins, ACE I and ACE II inhibitors, PPIs, SSRIs, and Atypical antipsychotics
Table 1. CBT market shares of selected drugs products 2002 Market shares of PI products, 2002 Norway Germany Sweden Denmark UK Netherlands Atorvastatin 2% 0% 17% 5% 54% 12% Pravastatin 14% 1% 19% 0% 38% 7% Simvastatin 36% 10% 0% 56% 65% 51% Captopril 3% 1% 0% 7% 2% 0% Enalapril 24% 0% 19% 5% 4% 1% Quinalapril 0% 8% 0% 39% 8% 17% Ramipril 0% 3% 18% 19% 0% 21% Losartan 0% 0% 0% 0% 72% 0% Valsartan 0% 5% 0% 0% 23% 20% Clozapine 58% 0% 74% 13% 0% 10% Olanzapine 11% 63% 24% 0% 47% 8% Risperidone 42% 62% 32% 25% 45% 33% Lansoprazole 0% 42% 0% 0% 31% 14% Omeprazole 4% 0% 16% 0% 19% 11% Pantoprazole 0% 6% 0% 0% 32% 18% Citalopram 6% 17% 21% 19% 25% 15% Fluoxetine 1% 5% 20% 17% 10% 34% Paroxetine 9% 19% 47% 43% 18% 6% Sertraline 0% 9% 8% 25% 23% 14%
A. Direct effects • Health Insurance • Pharmacy • Patients • Parallel importers • Industry
Distribution of benefits: comparative presentation by stakeholder (3)
Impact on industry • Ø Pharmaceutical manufacturers incur a significant loss of business in destination countries from the conduct of parallel trade. • Ø The conduct of parallel trade reduces manufacturers’ overall profitability (loss of producer surplus), without necessarily increasing societal welfare. • Ø Reduced overall profitability may lead to downsizing in source countries over the medium term. • Ø Threatens European industry competitiveness
Concluding remarks – the European experience • Modest savings to health insurance organisations through direct (price) effects • Zero or, at best, marginal benefits to patients • Little evidence of intra- or inter-country competition effects and price convergence • Some benefits to pharmacies • Most pecuniary benefits accrue to parallel distributors and the overall distribution chain • Transfer from industry (producer) surplus mostly to the distribution chain and less so to health insurance and patients • Evidence of product shortages in source countries
Concluding remarks - Lessons for the USA • 1. Safety concerns • 2. Exhaustion of rights • 3. Savings to stakeholders • Insurance • Patients • Wholesalers • 4. Supply issue • 5. Competition and Pricing