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Population, SW, 2009

Young People & the SW Labour Market Presentation to the SW Region strategic leads for positive activities for young people Learning South West 18 th July 2009 Ben Neild Assistant Director, SLIM. Population, SW, 2009.

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Population, SW, 2009

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  1. Young People & the SW Labour MarketPresentation to the SW Region strategic leads for positive activities for young peopleLearning South West18th July 2009Ben NeildAssistant Director, SLIM

  2. Population, SW, 2009 Significant variations, up to 30%, between populations in each 5 year age band Source: ONS Population Estimates

  3. Population SW population estimates, by age band, 2006 - 2016 Source: ONS Population Estimates

  4. Ethnicity & Age Board Age Structure of the resident population by ethnic group, SW, 2007 Source: ONS (Experimental Statistics)

  5. Ethnicity, SW Composition of age band, by ethnic group, SW 2007 Source: ONS (Experimental Statistics)

  6. Obesity

  7. Drug Taking

  8. Smoking

  9. Alcohol consumption

  10. Qualifications – L2 Proportion of working age population qualified to at least NVQ Level 2 (or equivalent) by age, SW & UK, Jan – Dec 2007 Source: Annual Population Survey (NOMIS)

  11. Qualifications – L3 % population qualified to NVQ Level 3 by age, Jan - Dec 2007, SW & UK Source: Annual Population Survey (NOMIS)

  12. Qualifications – L4 % working age population qualified to Level 4 by age, Jan - Dec 2007, SW & UK Source: Annual Population Survey (NOMIS)

  13. Employment Employment rate by age, September 2007 to October 2008, South West and United Kingdom Source: APS via NOMIS

  14. Employment Employment Rates, % working age population, SW, 1993 - 2008 Source: Labour Force Survey

  15. Participation aged 16-18 Add some APS Trends – as per poverty site, but for SW NEET WBL (part-time) Other Education &Training Employer FundedTraining Jobs without education or training Full-time education

  16. Young People NEET

  17. NEETS, by Age NEET Rates are higher for 18 year olds, and rose sharply in 2008 Employment Rate, Devon vs SW & England, 2006 – 2008, APS via NOMIS

  18. Recession - GDP Source: ONS / BBC

  19. Unemployment Patterns . Peak in Jan 1993 4 years from peak to return to pre-recession levels Hopefully, we are not at this stage now! Source: ONS

  20. ILO Unemployment ILO unemployment by age, Sept - Oct 2008, SW and UK Source: Annual Population Survey

  21. Claimant Count Trend Source: NOMIS

  22. Claimants Estimate of claimants as a % of population in each age band, SW + 3% of age band + 1.5% Source: 2007 Mid yr pop est / NOMIS Claimant count

  23. Claimant Count - Age Breakdown of Claimant Growth, May 2007 to May 2008, by age & gender Source: NOMIS

  24. Redundancies Redundancy Rates by Age, SW and UK, 2006 - 2008 Source: Labour Force Survey

  25. Claimant Count - Duration Source: NOMIS

  26. Claimants - Men c20% young men unemployed > 12 months Source: NOMIS / CESI

  27. Claimants - Women c12% young women unemployed > 12 months Source: NOMIS / CESI

  28. Future Jobs – Aims • To improve the employability of young, long term unemployed (18 – 24 year olds, approaching 12 months unemployment) • Deliver socially useful work that would not otherwise be done • Jobs to last up to 6 months • Should be linked to local strategies (be valued & useful, not ‘make work’) • Developed locally, possibly ‘green’ jobs, linked to social enterprises etc • Jobs to be advertised in JC+ and elsewhere, with competitive application • Good induction & close supervision by dedicated support workers • Training to be offered (Apprenticeships, Train to Gain), poss mentoring & additional support • Support with progression, e.g. time off for jobsearch, interviews etc • Oct 2009 starts, bids in by 30th June • Jan 2010 starts, bids in by end Sept Source: APS via NOMIS

  29. Future Jobs - Lessons • MSC – Community Programme (1982 -1988) • Aimed at <25’s unemployed for 6 months +, >25’s unemployed 1 year + • Tended to focus on single under 25 yr olds • Some activity bore little resemblance to environment & demands of normal work • No req’t for job-search, so could act as an alternative to looking for ‘real work’ • Follow up 10 months post leaving, 35% in jobs, 56% had held jobs • Community Action (1993 – 1996) • Voluntary prog, aimed at those unemployed > 1 year • Combined jobsearch, voluntary work, with £10 pw on top of benefits • 19% in jobs 3 months post leaving Source: APS via NOMIS

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