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Changing Demographics and Enrollment Trends

Changing Demographics and Enrollment Trends. Ken Esbenshade Associate Dean and Director of Academic Programs College of Agriculture and Life Sciences North Carolina State University. Outline. Demographic shifts of the US population during the past 100 years

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Changing Demographics and Enrollment Trends

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  1. Changing Demographics and Enrollment Trends Ken Esbenshade Associate Dean and Director of Academic Programs College of Agriculture and Life Sciences North Carolina State University

  2. Outline • Demographic shifts of the US population during the past 100 years • Patterns of student enrollment in secondary and post-secondary education • Post-secondary enrollment trends in Agriculture and Animal Science • Predictions of future trends • Implications for academic programs in the agriculture disciplines

  3. Between 1900 and 2000, the mean center of US population moved about 324 miles west and 101 miles south

  4. 80% of the US population resides in a metropolitan area US population became predominantly metropolitan

  5. In 2000, more than 1/3 of the states had 75 % or more of their populations living in metropolitan areas

  6. Age and Gender Distribution of US Population

  7. Median age rose from 23 in 1900 to 35 in 2000

  8. Since 1970, the population of races other than White or Black has grown significantly

  9. The Hispanic population more than doubled in size from 1980 to 2000 The Hispanic population includes people who may be of any race.

  10. Age and Gender Distribution of the Total Population by Hispanic Origin (2000) In 1980 and 2000, Hispanics were much younger than non-Hispanics.

  11. Average household size declined from 4.6 people per household in 1900 to 2.6 in 2000

  12. Foreign-Born US Population Year

  13. Percent Foreign Born by Region of Birth All other (10%) Europe (22%) All other (10%) Europe (85%) Latin America (1%) Asia (1%) Asia (25%) Latin America (43%) 1900 1990

  14. Eight of every 10 immigrants live in 10 States

  15. Summary of Demographic Changes in the United States • Population centers are moving South and West • More people live in metropolitan areas • The population is aging • The population is becoming more diverse • Percent of population that are immigrants has decreased • Origin of immigrants has changed

  16. Number of High School Graduates and Students Attending Higher Education Numbers in Thousands 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Year

  17. Number of Degrees Awarded Year

  18. Percentage of Bachelors Degrees Awarded by Gender Percentage of bachelors degrees awarded to females increased 107% between 1970 and 2000 and to males by 18%. Year

  19. Bachelors Degrees Awarded 3% of total 34% of total 63% of total Year

  20. Degrees Awarded in Agriculture and Natural Resources 1.5 % of Bachelor Degrees Awarded 1.7 1970 1980 1990 2000 Year

  21. Percentage of Degrees Awarded to Females and Minorities in Agriculture and Natural Resources Minorities Females Year Year

  22. Degrees Awarded in 2003 by Program Area

  23. Percentage of Degrees Awarded in the Animal Sciences by Gender (2003)

  24. Will the Changes in Demographics and College Enrollment Continue?

  25. Projected Percentage Change in US Population Between 2000 and 2050 by Age

  26. Projected Percentage Change in US Population Between 2000 and 2050 by Race *American Indian & Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian & Other Pacific Islander, and two or more races

  27. Projected Enrollment Increases in Higher Education (2004-2015) • Total Enrollment 15% • Gender • Female 18% • Male 10% • Race/Ethnicity • White 6% • Black 27% • Asian & Pacific Islander 28% • American Indian & Alaska Native 30% • Non-Resident Alien 34% • Hispanic 42% Source: US Department of Education

  28. Implications The Focus of Future Instruction Must: • Include learners of all ages, including the elderly (lifelong learning) • Include more urbanites • Include individuals from one- and two-person households • Include more non-whites, particularly Hispanics & Asian/Pacific Islanders • Include more females

  29. The changes currently being observed in the shift in US population will continue during the first half of the 21st Century

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