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1. The Climate System Global climate is:
Driven by solar radiation (Earth’s external heat engine)
Composed of diverse, interrelated components that function as a whole
2. Components of the Climate System
3. Climate System
4. Systems Approach Systems
Comprised of diverse components that function as a whole
Climate System
Flow of energy and mass between components
Change in one component will affect other components
Linked (coupled) interactions
5. Climate System Example of coupling
Increase seafloor spreading rate (volcanism)
More CO2 to atmosphere
Warmer climate
Melt ice
Raise sea level
Alters ocean circulation
Alters distribution of nutrients- productivity
Impact on CO2….
7. Climate System Interactions:
Complex
Each component works at a different rate
Feedbacks
Complicated
Nonlinear patterns of variation
8. Components of the Climate System Discuss each component in terms of:
Response time- how quickly it responds to inputs
Heat capacity- amount of energy that must be put into the component to cause a change
Albedo -reflectivity of incoming short wave radiation
9. Atmosphere Response time
Strong diurnal cycle
Fastest response to perturbation- days to months
Mixes globally in months to years
Heat Capacity
Low heat capacity (~1 J/gK)
Easily heated and set into motion
Strong vertical and horizontal gradients
10. Atmosphere Albedo
Clouds reflect 50-55%
Clear skies reflect ~5%
Coupled to other systems through energy and chemical exchanges
Evaporation/precipitation
Wind stress
Trace gas exchange
11. Hydrosphere Mostly the ocean (97.3% of the world’s water)
Response time- Layered
Surface ocean- mixed layer (~100 m)
Months to years (seasonal cycle)
Deep ocean (~100 m to seafloor)
Centuries to 1000’s years (mixes in ~1500 yrs)
12. Hydrosphere Heat Capacity
Very high (4 J/gK)
Stores heat and buffers the system against change
Albedo
Ocean surface ~8%
13. Hydrosphere Coupled to other components through exchange of energy and mass
Evaporation/precipitation
Trace gas exchange
Land/sea boundary defined by sea level
Drives chemical reactions (weathering)
Necessary for life (photosynthesis)
14. Cryosphere- Ice Cryosphere includes: continental ice sheets, mountain glaciers, ice shelves, sea ice, snow, permafrost
Currently 6% of Earth permanently covered by ice (highly variable)
3 major ice ages during past 570 My
15. Cryosphere- Ice
16. Last Ice AgeLast Glacial Maximum
17. Cryosphere Antarctic Ice Sheet (AAIS)
60% of world’s fresh water
Sea level would rise 73 m if AAIS melted (7.4 m sea level rise
if Greenland melted)
18. Cryosphere
19. Cryosphere
20. Cryosphere Response time- multiple time scales
Rapid seasonal variations- annual meltback
Observed decadal changes
Ice sheet growth- 10,000 to 100,000 yrs
Ice sheet decay- 1,000 to 10,000 yrs
Heat Capacity
Moderate (2 J/gK)- lots of energy required for phase transition (melting)
21. Cryosphere Albedo
Primary role in climate system = reflectivity
Highly reflective
Old snow ~50%
Fresh snow 80-90%
22. Geosphere Sluggish component of climate system
Response time- time scales of interactions tend to be slow
Plate tectonic motion ~1cm/yr
Weathering- global average ~6cm/1000y
Millions of years to produce a significant effect
Volcanic eruptions- instantaneous effect on atmospheric timescales
23. Geosphere
24. Plate Tectonic Boundaries
25. Geosphere Heat capacity
Low (0.25x water = 0.8 J/gK)
“Continentality”
Because of differences in heat capacities
Latitudinal distribution of land and sea
and
Sea level
Are important climate factors
27. Geosphere Albedo
Dark soil ~10%
Light soil ~30%
Black top~5-10%
Concrete ~20%
Major impacts on climate
Continentality
Paleogeography (Plate tectonics)
Weathering and seafloor spreading (CO2)
Topography (atm circulation)
28. Biosphere Can include people (anthropogenic effects)
Response time
Individuals – seasonal or annual
Communities- centuries
29. Biosphere
30. Biosphere Albedo
Forests ~5-10%
Meadows and crops ~5-25%
Rainforests- lowest albedo on Earth
Important contributions to climate
Photosynthesis-Atmospheric composition
Evapotranspiration
Albedo (forest ~10%; soil ~25%)
31. Properties of a System Components
System made up of diverse components that function as a whole- linked
Flow of energy and mass between components
(electric blanket example)
32. Properties of a System Equilibrium State
State of the system that will not change unless there is a disturbance
Stable Equilibrium
State system will return to if disturbed slightly
Unstable Equilibrium
A small disturbance will carry the system away from one equilibrium state until it reaches a new equilibrium state
Threshold event
Small change that causes the system to shift from one equilibrium state to another
33. Properties of a System
34. Properties of a System Disturbances
Perturbation
Temporary disturbance
Mt Pinatubo eruption- climate cooled for several years then returned to previous state
Forcing
A more persistent disturbance
Global warming
35. Properties of a System Feedback loops
A particular type of interaction between components of a system
A change in Component 1 elicits a change in Component 2, which in turn comes back to affect Component 1
Requires a disturbance/perturbation/forcing to initiate the change
36. Feedback Loops Positive Feedback Loop
Interactions amplify the effects of the disturbance
Negative feedback loop
Interactions diminish the effects of the disturbance
37. Positive Feedback Loop (amplifies) Temperature decreases
Ice grows
39. Negative Feedback Loop (diminishes)
41. Climate Change “Change”
Compare climate state at one time to some time in the past or the future
Requires record of past climate or predictions of future climate
Past- Proxies and archives- records of previous conditions
Future- models
42. Proxies and ArchivesExamples
43. Climate Variability Periodic (seasons, glacials)
Quasiperiodic (El Nińo)
Chaotic
Transition to new equilibrium state
Threshold event
Gradual
44. Climate Variability
45. Climate VariabilityPeriodic- Ice Ages
46. Climate VariabilityEl Nino- quasiperiodic
47. Climate Variability
48. Climate SystemSummary Climate can change in a number of ways in response to forcing
Sometimes at a stable equilibrium
Lots of forcing required to instigate a change
Sometimes near a transition to a new equilibrium
Small forcing can lead to dramatic change (threshold events)
Response can be linear or nonlinear