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History of Influenza. Etymology of “Influenza”. “Flow of liquid” or “influence” Used to express belief in the impact of the stars on appearance of epidemics. Greek “influentia”. Oxford-English Dictionary. Online Etymology Dictionary. www.fluvirustoday.info. Etymology of “Influenza”.
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Etymology of “Influenza” • “Flow of liquid” or “influence” • Used to express belief in the impact of the stars on appearance of epidemics • Greek “influentia” Oxford-English Dictionary. Online Etymology Dictionary. www.fluvirustoday.info
Etymology of “Influenza” • Adopted by England as common name “influenza” • After a 1743 flu outbreak which started in Italyand spread throughout Europe Oxford-English Dictionary. Online Etymology Dictionary. www.fluvirustoday.info
Hippocrates’s “Epidemic” “Epidemios” – residing in a place 5th century BC Cough of Perinthus Cough, sore throat, muscle aches, voice problems, difficulty breathing Influenza? Martin P & Martin-Granel E. Emerg Infect Dis. 2006;12. http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol12no06/05-1263.htmRichards DW. J Am Med Assoc. 1968;204:1049-56.
Epidemic vs. Pandemic • Epidemic • Sudden onset of infection • Large percentage of people • Disappears in approximately 3 months • Pandemic • Appear suddenly in an isolated area • Spread is worldwide and infects millions • Large number of deaths Potter CW. J Appl Microbiol. 2001;91:572–9.
Epidemic Rates Over 7-Year Periods Influenza cases Deaths from influenza 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Winter deaths in non-flu year Thousands x 103 Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Virus Serotype A A B C D E Adapted from Potter CW. J Appl Microbiol. 2001;91:572–9.
1580 Influenza Pandemic • First record of influenza pandemic • Classified as pandemic by physicians and historians • Origins in Russia and crossed several major continents • Africa • Asia • Rome: Over 8,000 deaths • Spain: Several cities were depopulated Potter CW. J Appl Microbiol. 2001;91:572–9.
1830-1833 Influenza Pandemic • Widespread • Infected ¼ of those exposed • Began in China, to the Philippines, India, Russia, and then Europe 2 1.5 1 0.5 Deaths (Millions) 1700 1800 1900 2000 Year Adapted from Potter CW. J Appl Microbiol. 2001;91:572–9.
Spanish Flu: Severity • “Greatest medical holocaust in history” (Waring, 1971) • “Deaths in the hospital exceeded 25% per night in the peak” (Starr, 1976) Potter CW. J Appl Microbiol. 2001;91:572–9.
Spanish Flu: The Spread • First outbreaks in 1918 • Detroit • South Carolina • San Quentin Prison • Kansas • Infection spread seen normal in spring • American Expeditionary Force to British Expeditionary Force • War in Europe • Fall of 1918: more virulent form emerged • 10-fold increase in deaths • Estimated to have infected 50% of world’s population • Total mortality: 40-50 million from 1918-1920 Potter CW. J Appl Microbiol. 2001;91:572–9.
Spanish Flu: Second Wave • Increase in virulence between first and second wave of Spanish Flu • Possible rapid mutation of proteins on virus surface • Possible mutation of viral RNA • Novel subtype with no previous immunity in humans under the age of 65 • Increased virulence correlated with ability to infect swine • Later became known as the “swine flu” Taubenberger JK. Proc Am Philos Soc. 2006;150:86-112.
Spanish Flu: Outbreak Map First Wave (1918) Outbreak / Focal Point Second Wave (1920) Adapted from Potter CW. J Appl Microbiol. 2001;91:572–9.
Asian Flu: Severity and Spread • Started in Yunnan Province, China • Disease then spread worldwide • New virus subtype • 1957-1958; 40-50% of population infected • Total mortality: 1 in 4,000 Potter CW. J Appl Microbiol. 2001;91:572–9.
Asian Flu: Outbreak Map Adapted from Potter CW. J Appl Microbiol. 2001;91:572–9.
2009 Flu Pandemic • Not true “swine flu” • Did not transmit from pigs • Separate H1N1 strains common to humans, pigs, and birds Zampaglione M. WHO. April 2009.
5 4.5 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 Hospitalizations/100,000 in Age Group 0-4 5-24 25-49 50-64 ≥ 65 Age Group in 2009 (Years) “Swine” H1N1 Influenza Virus • United States: April 15, 2009 to July 24, 2009 • 43,771 confirmed and probable cases of novel Influenza A (H1N1) infection • 5,011 people were hospitalized • 302 deaths Adapted from Novel H1N1 Flu: Facts and Figures. CDC. 2009.
“Swine” H1N1 Influenza Virus • 2009 flu has a target infection age similar to Spanish Flu 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Rate/100,000 in Age Group 0-4 5-24 25-49 50-64 ≥ 65 Age Group in 2009 (Years) Adapted from Novel H1N1 Flu: Facts and Figures. CDC. 2009.