Annual Safety Performance Report 2010/11

1. Annual Safety Performance Report 2010/11 Safety Risk Model Version 7

2. ASPR/SRM launch: Agenda • Overview of ASPR headlines(Colin Dennis) Questions • Overview of SRM version 7(Chris Harrison) • SRM tools and outputs(George Bearfield) Questions Tea/coffee – meet the team and see the products

3. Annual Safety Performance Report 2010/11 Colin DennisHead of Safety Knowledge & Planning RSSB

4. Requirement for safety European Safety Directive requires member states to: At least maintain safety and, in line with technical and scientific progress, safety should be further improved, when reasonably practicable.

5. Overview Passenger journeys (10m) Passenger kms (billion) Against a background of increasing passenger usage, the overall aim of maintaining safety was achieved

6. ASPR scope and data sources • Information relates to incidents and accidents: • In stations • On or affecting trains on running lines • Elsewhere on Network Rail managed infrastructure Includes all workforce fatalities on duty if in connection with work on the operational railway • SMIS is the main source of safety performance data • Supplemented by BTP, Network Rail, ORR, UIC, DfT • Risk information from Safety Risk Model version 7

7. Train accidents

8. Train accidents: long-term trends Significant long-term reduction in train accident risk Current rate 0.5 per year (ten-year average) Last fatal train accident in February 2007

9. Train accidents: risk profile Train accident risk is 8.4 FWI per year (out of a total of 140.9 FWI) Potentially higher-risk train accidents account for 94% of train accident risk.

10. Train accidents: PHRTA trends Lowest recorded number of potentially higher-risk train accidents Large fall in number in 2010/11 Stable trend for five years

11. Train accidents: Precursor Indicator Model Increase in PIM measure of train accident risk during 2010/11 Workforce indicator Public indicator Passenger indicator trains & rolling stock SPADs objects on the line public behaviour at LX irregular working infrastructure failures Overall increase from 44.0 to 50.4 Passenger increase from 17.8 to 20.7

12. Train accidents: SPADs and SPAD risk SPAD numbers and SPAD risk rose in 2010/11 SPAD numbers increased from 275 to 299 SPAD risk increased from 71% to 84%

13. Passenger safety

14. Passenger safety: total harm Increase in passenger FWI and rate of harm 10% increase in FWI 2% increase in FWI rate Accident rate is around 1 in 225,000 journeys

15. Passenger safety: fatalities Eight passenger fatalities, all occurring at stations Highest number of fatalities since 2006/07 No train accident fatalities for four years

16. Passenger safety: major injuries Small change in passenger major injuries Little change in numbers over past seven years. Most major injuries are from slips, trips and falls in stations.

17. Passenger safety: accident trends Platform-train interface remains key area

18. Passenger safety: assaults BTP data show rise in passenger and public assaults Lowest assault rate on record. Improving perceptions of personal security. GBH and other serious assaults increased, but remain relatively rare

19. Workforce safety

20. Workforce safety: total harm Workforce harm maintained at historically low level Estimated effects of under-reporting Estimated adjustment of around 0.5 FWI per year

21. Workforce safety: fatalities One fatality: Infrastructure worker fall from height Most fatal accidents have involved infrastructure workers.

22. Workforce safety: major injuries Lowest recorded number of workforce major injuries Infrastructure workers have highest proportion of major injuries

23. Workforce safety: assault and abuse Harm from assaults and abuse at historical low Industry has made efforts to address assault risk and improve data collection.

24. Public safety • Level crossings • Trespass • Suicide

25. Public safety: LX fatalities Four fatalities at level crossings: well below average

26. Public safety: LX collisions Five collisions at level crossings: well below average Five collisions. No fatalities.

27. Public safety: trespass Unusually low number of trespass fatalities Around 76% are struck by trains, 16% electrocuted.

28. Public safety: suicide Number of suicides close to average of previous years

29. Delay and cancellation cost Estimated total for all causes around £900m per year Public behaviour related events around £70m per year

30. Other ASPR analyses • Benchmarking • ERA national reference values • HLOS targets • discussed in SRM section • SSP trajectories

31. Benchmarking: modal comparisons Rail is one of the safest modes of transport 600 2000

32. Benchmarking: occupational risk

33. Benchmarking: other European railways UK is one of best performing EU countries

34. Targets and trajectories

35. Targets and trajectories: ERA NRVs UK is one of best performing EU countries

36. Targets and trajectories: SSP • After two years, performance is in line with 11 of 15 trajectories • For four trajectories performance is not yet within range: • The 2009-14 Strategic Safety Plan sets out 15 safety trajectories • These reflect expected improvements over the five-year period of the plan PTI (not boarding & alighting) Trespass On-board injuries Rollingstock

37. Summary Overall, safety performance is in line with the commitment to maintain safety and, where reasonably practicable, seek improvements. • Large reduction in total harm • Significant reduction in trespass fatalities • Reductions in PHRTAsvs increase in PIM • Improvements in workforce safety • Fewer level crossing fatalities • Rise in passenger harm, particularly at PTI Rail safety in GB compares well with other modes of transport and other countries. The industry is generally on track to meet SSP trajectories, HLOS safety targets, and European safety targets.

38. ASPR products

39. ASPR 2009/10 Questions and comments