Mapping and Modeling Subcommittee Update NTHMP Annual Meeting 27 January 2010

1. Mapping and Modeling Subcommittee UpdateNTHMP Annual Meeting27 January 2010 Susan McLean – NOAA Rob Witter – Oregon

2. Overview of Terms of Reference • Authority • The MMS will be considered the primary mechanism for NTHMP partner input to the mapping, modeling, and hazard components of the NTHMP. • The subcommittee’s actions and recommendations will be achieved by consensus, and considered to represent the collective will of those partners. • This authority is established within the context of PL 109-427 and subject to the provisions of Sections 4, 5 and 6 of the Act, most particularly Section 5(c1). NTHMP Annual Meeting

3. Overview of Terms of Reference • Chairpersons & Members • Approved by a majority of the NTHMP CC • Co-Chairs: Susan McLean (NOAA) and Rob Witter (OR) • Members: Roger Hansen (AK), Jim Kirby (ATL), Rick Wilson (CA), Juan Horrillo (GOM), Megan Craw (HI), Aurelio Mercado (PR), Tim Walsh (WA), Bill Knight (TWC), John Goeke (Pacific Islands), Al Javois (USVI ) • Non-voting Members: Vasily Titov (NOAA), Elena Suleimani (AK), Aggeliki Barberopoulou (CA), Fai Cheung (HI), Joseph Zhang (OR), Lisa Taylor (NOAA) • Communications • Meetings are held twice yearly, in conjunction with the Annual NTHMP meeting and typically in the spring. • Communication is primarily by email and conference calls. • Notes and Action Items are maintained by the co-Chairs, who coordinate completion and post to the NTHMP web site. • Recommendations are forwarded to the appropriate organizations by the co-Chairs. NTHMP Annual Meeting

4. MMS Strategies and Measures • STRATEGIES • Prioritize inundation map development • Provide guidance to regions for which no inundation maps exist • Ensure NTHMP-funded model code is shared • MEASURES • All NTHMP-funded models will meet established standards by 2012. • New NTHMP-funded maps will meet established guidelines by 2012. • Complete inundation maps for all threatened communities by 2013 (Washington, Oregon, California, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) • Complete inundation maps for 33% of highly- threatened communities by 2013 (in Alaska and the U.S. Pacific Island Territories) NTHMP Annual Meeting

5. Overview of Tasks to Accomplish Measures NTHMP Annual Meeting

6. MMS Meeting Schedule to address Tasks NTHMP Annual Meeting

7. 2009 Action Item Status – Task 1.1 • Establish inundation map guidelines - Complete • Assigned by the NTHMP CC • Mapping and modeling draft guidelines developed at the April 2009 Spring meeting of the NTHMP MMS • Guidelines under final at NTHMP Annual Meeting • Issues • Differences between the State / Federal funding cycles and fiscal years generates confusion on deliverable dates. MMS is assuming “by 2010” means end of calendar year 2010. NTHMP Annual Meeting

8. 2009 Action Item Status – Task 1.2 • Establish a prioritized list of communities for which to develop inundation maps - Complete • Assigned by the NTHMP CC • National DEM list developed and prioritized for 2010 – 2012 efforts. List will be reviewed and updated annually. • Success: List is being used to coordinate DEM development across NTHMP, NOAA Forecast, and other NOAA Projects • Issues • MMS developed National DEM priority list. Each DEM may have multiple priority communities. • MMS is requesting each NTHMP Partner to clearly list communities that have been mapped and communities that will be mapped in semi-annual reports. NTHMP Annual Meeting

9. 2009 Action Item Status – Task 2.1 • DEM development in support of inundation mapping • Assigned by the NTHMP CC • CC approved Contingency Funding for NGDC to develop DEMs (from the National DEM list) for NTHMP Partners through MMS. • This solution negated the requirement for a DEM-focused workshop (proposed) in 2009 • Issues • National DEM priority list will be reviewed annually based on input from NTHMP Partners to ensure priority communities are covered and adjust priorities based on data and other influences. NTHMP Annual Meeting

10. Summary MMS 2009 Annual Meeting • Held in Boulder, CO April 27-29, 2009 • Addressed Tasks 1.1 and 1.2 • Developed a national DEM Priority List and Inundation Mapping List • Completed Draft Mapping and Modeling Guidelines (finalized Guidelines at National Meeting) • Drafted Benchmark Procedures (2010 Task 1.3) NTHMP MMS Spring Meeting, April 2009 NTHMP Annual Meeting

11. Mapping and Modeling Subcommittee2010 Planned Activities NTHMP Annual Meeting

12. 2010 Action Item Status – Task 1.3 • Establish a benchmark procedure for models by 2010 • Assigned by the NTHMP CC • Action is in the planning phase with draft benchmark procedures developed • Will plan and hold a Benchmark Workshop in Fall 2010 • Issues • Cost for workshop not well known. $60K approved must cover both the workshop and MMS 2010 Focus Meeting. Funding does not cover cost of benchmarking models. NTHMP Annual Meeting

13. 2010 Action Item Status – Task 1.4 • Propose process for sharing modeling code to ensure any NTHMP-funded model code is shared • Assigned by the NTHMP CC • “To improve coordination between the different mapping efforts funded by the NTHMP, source code used to compute expected runup should be shared.” • Status: Would like additional clarification prior to addressing this task at the MMS annual meeting in the Spring 2010 • Issues • Are there constraints on processes proposed, anticipating that managing versioning, sharing, and support may require additional resources? • NOAA is working on a plan that may impact access to NOAA model source code. MMS would need to see the plan to assess impact on this milestone. NTHMP Annual Meeting

14. 2010 Action Item Status – Task 1.5 • Develop guidelines to establish areas of inundation for non-mapped and low hazard areas by 2010 • Assigned by the NTHMP CC • Status: Plan to address this task at the MMS annual meeting in the Spring 2010 • Issues • None at this time NTHMP Annual Meeting

15. Milestone Schedule - Oct 2008 to Sep 2010 (Proposed in 2008) NTHMP Annual Meeting

16. Milestone Schedule - Oct 2008 to Sep 2010 (Contingency Funding Request in 2009) * Final cost of April 2009 meeting after $8,301 carryover and cancellation of DEM Workshop, transfer pending NTHMP Annual Meeting

17. Extra funding and reporting slides for use as needed or time available Additional slides

18. National DEM Priority List • Developed by the NTHMP MMS April 2009 Meeting • NTHMP MMS funding 4 DEMs per year • Developed at NGDC, typically covering multiple communities • Developed to Partner / MMS standards & guidelines • Priority influenced by data availability, upcoming data collection campaigns, NOAA DEM development, etc. • MMS will revisit list annually and adjust as necessary • List already improving coordination between NOAA and Partner States NTHMP Annual Meeting

19. NTHMP DEM Web Map Viewerhttp://map.ngdc.noaa.gov/website/mgg/nthmp/ • Share-point for NTHMP Partner DEMs • Identify completed & planned DEMs • See extents • View information about DEM • Contact source or download DEM NTHMP Annual Meeting

20. MMS Milestone ScheduleOct 2010 to Sept 2011 NTHMP Annual Meeting

21. MMS Milestone ScheduleOct 2011 to Sept 2012 NTHMP Annual Meeting

22. MMS Milestone ScheduleOct 2012 to Sept 2013 NTHMP Annual Meeting