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February, 2012 NTHMP Warning Coordination Subcommittee Meeting

February, 2012 NTHMP Warning Coordination Subcommittee Meeting. Agenda. Introductions Action Item Review Exercises NTHMP Post-event Assessments TWC Products TWC Procedures NTHMP Measures and Milestones WCS Core Membership. Action Item Review. Tsunami Amplitude terminology

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February, 2012 NTHMP Warning Coordination Subcommittee Meeting

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  1. February, 2012NTHMPWarning Coordination Subcommittee Meeting

  2. Agenda • Introductions • Action Item Review • Exercises • NTHMP Post-event Assessments • TWC Products • TWC Procedures • NTHMP Measures and Milestones • WCS Core Membership

  3. Action Item Review • Tsunami Amplitude terminology • IOC PTWS User’s Guide Definition: • Tsunami Height: Amplitude from predicted tide level to the crest of the maximum wave. • EAS Activation for Tsunami Warnings

  4. Exercises • West coast communications test • Move from Sept. to March in 2014? • March, 2012 live code tests • Sept., 2012 west coast EAS test • 2014 USGS Exercise • 2013 National Exercises – Date? • Exercises • Pacifex/ Lantex/ PacWave Plans

  5. Lantex12 • Two separate options • GOM slide • Atlantic slide

  6. Pacifex12 • Similar to 1964 event • KMZ overlays available • Handbook at WCATWC web site

  7. Post-warning effectiveness survey • Utilized 3 times in 2011 • Japan Tsunami • June Aleutian Warning • September Aleutian Warning • Three Reports Available on NTHMP web site

  8. Post-warning effectiveness survey • Results • ¾ Japan event responses from WA • 20-40% of responders had rec’d large amt. of training • 55-75% had been involved with tsunami warning • Almost all knew the correct TWC for their area • Most trusted dissem. systems – NWR - EAS –State – Local News • Least trusted – National News • Understanding of tsunamis – generally very good • Have safe shelter or area – 47 to 100%

  9. Post-warning effectiveness survey • Results • How rec’d warning • Email • Web Sites • State system • Local News • National News • EAS • NWR • LETS • FAX • NAWAS • Other • CISN • EMWIN

  10. Post-warning effectiveness survey • Results • Was risk to community Clear? • Yes 59% • No 10% • Do Not Know 31% • Was warning Timely? • Yes 59% • No 10% • Do Not Know 31% • Was information updated regularly? • Yes 56% • No 13% • Do Not Know 31%

  11. Post-warning effectiveness survey • Results • Was information clear and concise? • Yes 57% • No 12% • Do Not Know 31% • Did warning give proper response guidance? • Yes 50% • No 9% • Do Not Know 41% • Did being TsunamiReady help response? • Yes 81% • No 2% • Do Not Know/NA 17%

  12. Post-warning effectiveness survey • Lessons Learned • Need better participation! • Update questions • Group as laid out in report • Change “trust” points with categories as in report • Don’t allow answers if question doesn’t pertain. • Use Survey Monkey? • Report Writing

  13. Tsunami Products • Last year’s updates • Product Improvement Team • Tsunami Travel Times… Include in TIS? • Estimate of length of danger time • Tsunami Local Statement • PTWC Domestic Product update • Inundation Map and Currents Update

  14. Forecast/Observation Table • MEASUREMENTS AND/OR FORECASTS OF TSUNAMI ACTIVITY • SITE LAT LON ARRIVAL TIME FCST AMP OBS AMP • -------------------------------------------------------------------- • CANADA • HALIFAX-NS 44.7N 63.6W 2018EDT JUL 27 6.6F/2.0M 6.8F/2.1M • LOCKEPORT-NS 43.7N 65.1W 2244ADT JUL 27 3.3F/1.0M • NEW YORK • MONTAUK 41.1N 72.0W 2150EDT JUL 27 1.2F/0.4M • VIRGINIA • VIRGINIA BCH 36.9N 76.0W 2150EDT JUL 27 1.5F/0.5M • LAT – LATITUDE/ N-NORTH, S-SOUTH/ • LON – LONGITUDE/ E-EAST, W-WEST/ • ARRIVAL TIME – EXPECTED TIME OF INITIAL TSUNAMI ARRIVAL • FCST AMP – FORECAST TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE ABOVE AMBIENT SEA LEVEL. • OBS AMP – OBSERVED TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE ABOVE AMBIENT SEA LEVEL. • IT IS ...NOT... CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT. • VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS/M/ AND FEET/F/.

  15. Tsunami Procedures • Tsunami Information Statements • When to Issue? • Major Warning level of Alert

  16. WCS Milestone Status • NTHMP strategic plan WCS items • Annual table top exercise by 2010 • DONE • Develop decision support tools for emergency responders by 2013 • ONGOING WITH WEB SITE DEVELOPMENT • PROVIDE DIRECT DECISION SUPPORT FROM TWCs TO PRIMARY CUSTOMERS DURING EVENT

  17. WCS Milestone Status • NTHMP strategic plan WCS items • All states with high/very high hazard create high-level structure to address tsunami response by 2012 • Hawaii – Tsunami Technical Review Committee • California – Tsunami Steering Committee • Oregon - Yes • Washington – State/Local Working Group • Alaska • Puerto Rico – Tsunami Technical Review Committee • USVI - ??? • American Samoa • Guam

  18. WCS Milestone Status • NTHMP strategic plan WCS items • Increase percentage of monthly TWC comms test responses to 90% by 2013 • 97% OVERALL IN 2011 • Conduct annual E2E comms test of the TWS • LIVE CODE TESTS CONDUCTED IN THREE STATES/TERR. PRESENTLY • Develop post-event review process by 2009 • SURVEYS DEVELOPED BY WCS MEMBERS IN 2009 • IMPLEMENTATION PLAN DEVELOPED

  19. WCS Milestone Status • NTHMP strategic plan WCS items • Conduct post-event reviews within one year of a tsunami warning • THREE SURVEYS CONDUCTED IN 2011 • Develop inventory of local warning dissemination capabilities by 2010 • INCLUDED IN MES SURVEY • Develop inventory of local warning reception capabilities by 2010 • INCLUDED IN MES SURVEY

  20. WCS Milestone Status • NTHMP strategic plan generic items • Annually increase to baseline developed above by 10%. • TRACK WITH SEMI ANNUAL REPORTS • Complete 90% of action items from subcommittee meetings • CLOSE THIS YEAR – 89% • Conduct one in-person meeting per year • MEET AGAIN DURING NEXT ANNUAL MEETING • Revise Terms of Reference to implement Strat. Plan measures and milestones by 2009. • CONSIDER INCLUSION OF CTWP/ITIC MGRs. • Funds Required • NONE REQUESTED

  21. New Actions • Special team for Tsunami Advisory EAS • JS, KM, KR, MB, TN, CP, JL – Rizzo Lead • Provide rec. by May 1 • Product format changes • Implement 10-701 changes to message format • TWCs work ideas from PIT into messages and send prototypes to WCS Core for review • Amplitude to Tsunami Height • Proposed change sent to Core Members for review • Kevin M to provide CA input on move of comms test to March, • Depending on CA input, propose date for 2014

  22. New Actions • Establish date and scenario for 2013 Exercises • Christa to suggest March 20, 2013 to Carib ICG and will respond to co-Chairs • PW to suggest March 27, 2013 to WCS Core for review • Create 2013 Exercise Handbooks • ITIC to keep WCS informed on plans for PacWave 2013 • Re-post effectiveness survey (3/2011) around anniversary • Implement update to survey process

  23. New Actions • Posting Tsunami Travel Times during event: • Chris Gregg to question focus groups and respond to WCS • WCATWC to evaluate and propose updated TIS criteria for west coast/PR-VI • Schedule conference calls at specific and predictable times

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