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2. Overview. Defence PlanningPlanning SituationsTimeframeMedium-Term PlanningLong-Term PlanningCapability Based PlanningContinuumSummary. 3. Defence Planning - 1. DP DomainsForceC3ResourceLogisticsArmamentsNuclearCivil Emergency PlanningAir DefenceAir Traffic ManagementMilitary MedicalIntelligenceResearch
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1. 1 Planning under UncertaintyJohn Vink, Chief Defence Planning, NATO C3 Agency
2. 2
3. 3 Defence Planning - 1 DP Domains
Force
C3
Resource
Logistics
Armaments
Nuclear
Civil Emergency Planning
Air Defence
Air Traffic Management
Military Medical
Intelligence
Research & Technology
Standardisation
4. 4 Defence Planning - 2
5. 5 Planning Situations
6. 6 Timeframe - 1
7. 7 Timeframe - 2
8. 8 Process Medium-Term (1)
9. 9 Process Medium-Term (2)Bi-SC
10. 10
11. 11 Process Long-Term
12. 12 Multiple Futures The Multiple Futures Project articulates plausible future environments, aiming at identifying relevant threats and their Security & Military implications. The Multiple Futures will inform the Defence Planning Process
13. 13 Capability Based PlanningSystematic process for planning under uncertainty based on what do we need to do
Requires
Commonly understood vocabulary
Clearly articulated assumptions & constraints
Moves away from suggesting solutions too early in the process
Encourages innovation
Considers trade-offs between potential solutions for a capability requirement
Gives greater flexibility in meeting requirements
Audit trail for decision makers
14. 14 DOTMLPFI Capability Elements Capability defined in MC 550 - MC Guidance for the Military Implementation of the CPG. Capability as the entirety of a system that delivers an output or effect. It will most likely be a complex combination of DOTMLPFI:
Doctrine
Organisation
Training
Materiel
Leadership Development
Personnel
Facilities
Interoperability
15. 15 Capability Improvements Corps
Division
Brigade
Company
MN Tac. Units
16. 16 Adapted DP ProcessShort-, Medium-, Long-Term Continuum
17. 17
18. 18
19. 19 Summary Capability Based Planning
Risk Assessments
Future Worlds
Mission Analyses
Shortfall Prioritisation
Challenges:
Continuum
Stove-pipes
Acceptable Risk
Single List