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State Longitudinal Data Systems Conference November 15, 2011. State CTE Data Systems, P20/W and SLDS − A Latent Discussion. Jay Pfeiffer MPR Associates, Inc. 2150 Shattuck Avenue Suite 800 Berkeley, CA 94074. Jeff Sellers. U.S. Workforce Needs:.
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State Longitudinal Data Systems ConferenceNovember 15, 2011 State CTE Data Systems, P20/W and SLDS − A Latent Discussion Jay Pfeiffer MPR Associates, Inc. 2150 Shattuck Avenue Suite 800 Berkeley, CA 94074 Jeff Sellers
U.S. Workforce Needs: • “ By 2020, the American Workforce will be more diverse, older, and better educated. These are all potential strengths. But underlying these positive trends are worrisome signs that the skills of the U.S. workforce will not neatly match the emerging needs of employers. Not enough people will have the skills and educational degrees that will bein most demand.” …. “At the same time, the supply of workers with less than a high school diploma will be far more than what is needed by employers.” • Source: Manyika, Lund, Auguste, Mandonca, Welsh, Ramaswamy, An Economy that Works: Job Creation and America’s Future, The McKinsey Global Institute, 2011
U.S. Workforce Needs; In 2018, 103 of 162 million jobs will require a postsecondary credential • 54 million bachelors and graduate degrees • 49 million some postsecondary experience including certificates and associate degrees • 60 million high school diplomas or less • Source: Jeff Strohl, Nicole Smith, Anthony Carnivale, Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements through 2018, The Center for Education and the Workforce, Georgetown University, 2011
U.S. Workforce Needs: In 2018, the U.S. Economy will need: • 22 million more associate, bachelors, and graduate degrees • 4.7 million postsecondary certificates • Continued undersupply will result in a 3 million postsecondary credential shortfall • Source: Jeff Strohl, Nicole Smith, Anthony Carnivale, Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements through 2018, The Center for Education and the Workforce, Georgetown University, 2011
This Discussion is Critically Important: Consider Current State & National Policy Discussions & Issues – Data Rich Targets I • State, National, and private sector Agendas for College & Career Success • Core High School, college readiness, & career preparation standards • Programs of study, bridge programs, career pathways, tipping points, credentialing • Common accountability measures across education and training programs • Adult education, college readiness, and career preparation
This Discussion is Critically Important: Consider Current State & National Policy Discussions & Issues – Data Rich Targets II • SLDS and P-20/W data systems • Workforce Data Quality Initiative (WDQI) • Workforce Needs in the near and long future − the emphasis on “something” postsecondary • Shifting Gears, Upward Bound, TRIO strategies to better prepare low income, minority, and targeted populations strategies for preparation • NCLB, Perkins, WIA reauthorizations
Our Purposes Today: • What do we need to know? • What should each of us “take home?” • What should we pursue “together?” • What can we tap? • Data Quality Campaign (DQC) • Workforce Data Quality Campaign (WDQC) • State Perkins Accountability Congress (SPAC) for CTE • Best Practices • What are concrete next steps?
What is a “P20/Workforce” SLDS? Technical Center data Community College data State University data PK-12 data PK20 Assessments “Linking Mechanism” “Data Integration” Workforce Program & Employment data Pre-defined & Ad Hoc Reports/Requests Research Extracts Data Marts
What’s in a P20/W SLDS? • Student • “PII” • Demographics • Socio-economics • Schools/Institutions • Courses/Credits earned • Assessment Results • Attendance • Discipline • Diplomas, certificates, degrees • Awards • Financial Aid • Finance • Employment & earnings • Staff • “PII” • Demographics • Credentials • Assignments * Neither detailed, exhaustive or required content. For further information, see http://nces.ed.gov/programs/ceds/
Today’s Discussion: Underlying Premises and Jay’s “Lessons Learned” − I • Federal reporting is a side-bar to this discussion. Our focus is on what states need to collect, manage, and report that will improve student achievement and performance in CTE programs (our interests are in the SLDS capabilities, services, and infrastructure that can improve data collection and use in CTE). • CTE data emanate from the same school districts, technical institutes, community colleges & universities as do all of the data in a P20/W SLDS. They are about the same kinds of people as are covered by the SLDS. • This is a conversation that will never end − Information development processes and the issues they are to address endlessly evolve and change. • We are talking about data whose primary purposes are administration and management. When used for reporting , research, and other purposes, they may not be perfect (as in combining CTE and employment data, for example). Do what you can to improve it.
Underlying Premises and Lessons − II • SLDS interests can learn & profit from what CTE data managers already know, that experience should be leveraged. • Stakeholders should be involved deeply and continuously. Many CTE stakeholders are in common with SLDS. CTE, however, adds interests that should be seen as important, even essential to the future of SLDS: • Employers • Business/economic development interests • Workforce development program operators • Leverage opportunities for and experience in research. • Always consider and practice the principle of “quid pro quo.”
What can we Tap (and how can we tap it)? • Data Quality Campaign (DQC) • Workforce Data Quality Initiative (WDQI) • Workforce Data Quality Campaign (WDQC) • State Perkins Accountability Congress (SPAC) • National Association for CTE Information (NACTEI) • National Research Center for CTE (NRCCTE)
Resources and Tools You Can Use • http://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/publications/us_jobs/pdfs/MGI_us_jobs_full_report.pdf • http://cew.georgetown.edu/jobs2018/ • http://nces.ed.gov/programs/slds • http://www.dataqualitycampaign.org/ • http://www.doleta.gov/ • http://www.workforceinformationcouncil.org • http://www.workforceinfo.org/ • http://lehd.did.census.gov/led/led.html • http://www.SHEEO.org/sspds/stromgfoundations_full.pdf • http://www.nrsweb.org/about/ • http://risepartnership.org/pdf/ohio_stackable_certificates.pdf • http://ccrc.tc.columbia.edu/Publication.asp?uid=655 • http://ccrc.tc.columbia.edu/Publication.asp?uid=570 • http://www.csus.edu/ihelp/PDFs/R_CCC_Milestones.pdf • http://www.workforcealliance.org/