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2/2 Warm-up. You have suddenly been turned into a “business angel” Describe what you are and your role in business finance. Explain how you would evaluate an investment opportunity. 2/3 Warm-up. Summarize the following; Quantitative factors considered by the sharks.
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2/2 Warm-up • You have suddenly been turned into a “business angel” • Describe what you are and your role in business finance. • Explain how you would evaluate an investment opportunity.
2/3 Warm-up • Summarize the following; • Quantitative factors considered by the sharks. • Qualitative factors considered by the sharks.
Business Financing Capital Investment Decisions (Capital Expenditures) • Sources of Finance • Managing Working Capital • (Revenue Expenditures)
Investment Appraisal • Identify consequences from an investment • Incremental cash flows • Apply method to appraise an investment • Analyze the results of these calculations • Make Investment Decision
Investment Appraisal • What is an investment? • Capital Expenditure (Cap-Ex) = spending $ today with expectation of earning a return in the future • Return on Investment (ROI) = profit generated from the investment • What is Investment Appraisal? • Evaluating the impact (financial costs & benefits) of an investment project • Deciding whether or not to undertake the investment project based on its projected costs & benefits
Impact of Investment Project • Incremental cash flows resultingfrom the investment decision • any and all changes in the business’s future cash flows that are a direct consequence of making the investment decision • Stand-alone Principle – isolate the project’s cash flows and evaluate • evaluate the investment’s cash flows against the costs to acquire it.
Identifying Incremental Costs Included Ignored Sunk Costs – costs incurred & cannot be recovered Financing Costs – interest, dividends, or repaying loans • Working Capital Changes – increased investment (cash, stock, etc.) • Opportunity Cost – the benefit given up when using a resource • Side Effects – spillover effects from an investment (good or bad)
2/8 Warm-up • Describe the process for evaluating Capital Expenditure projects. • Explain the difference between Payback Period and Average Rate of Return for evaluating investment projects.
Investment Appraisal Methods Payback Period Average Rate of Return (ARR) Average annual profit earned as % of amount initially invested Estimate of investment’s worth over its useful life • Time needed to recover the cost of an investment • When does cumulative sum of cash inflows = cost of investment?
Calculating Payback PeriodCumulative Cash Flow Method Construction of a new sports complex will cost $1,000,000 Projected Net Cash Flows Cumulative Cash Flow + $0 = $210,000 (1) + $210,000 = $560,000 + $560,000 = $1,040,000 + $1,040,000 = + $1,490,000 (2) Amount of financing needed in final year. (3) Calculate average monthly cash flow in final year (3) Number of Months in Final Year Financing Needed / Avg Monthly Cash Flow = # Months
Payback Period (in months) • How Used to Evaluate? • Shorter payback = better investment • Advantages • simple & quick • helps businesses w/ cash flow problems • compare projects • less prone to forecasting errors • Disadvantages • ignores benefits received after payback • Focuses on time, not profit
Average Rate of Return Construction of a new sports complex will cost $1,000,000 Projected Net Cash Flows (1) Total Inflow Total $1,490,000 (2) Project Profit - Project Profit = Total Cash Inflow Investment - $1,000,000 $1,490,000 = $490,000 (3) Avg Annual Profit / Project Profit Years = Avg Annual Profit $490,000 / 4 = $122,500 ARR (%) / = Avg Annual Profit Investment (4) Avg Rate of Return $122,500 / $1,000,000 = 12.25%
Average Rate of Return (ARR) • How used to Evaluate? • Compare the ARR for different projects (higher the better) • Compare the ARR with base interest rate • Adequately being compensated for project’s risk? • Advantages • Easy to compare different projects • Disadvantages • Prone to errors (forecasting for long-term investments) • Ignores time value of money • Must know the useful life span of investment
Qualitative Investment AppraisalFactors Other Than Numbers • Predictions about the future • Business Objectives other than profit • Amount of Risk business can tolerate • State of Economy • Effect of project on Corporate Image • Effect on Human Relations, will project damage (or improve) employee morale? • Random event risk (Exogenous shocks)