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New-Build Nuclear – A Review of Labour Market Research

Employer Consultation Innovation Centre Daresbury July 2, 2009. New-Build Nuclear – A Review of Labour Market Research. Dr Brian P Murphy – Director, Science and Research. UK Energy Future (without New-Build Nuclear). 75 GWe Capacity 63 GWe Peak Baseload?. Nuclear.

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New-Build Nuclear – A Review of Labour Market Research

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  1. Employer Consultation Innovation Centre Daresbury July 2, 2009 New-Build Nuclear – A Review of Labour Market Research Dr Brian P Murphy – Director, Science and Research

  2. UK Energy Future (without New-Build Nuclear) • 75 GWe Capacity • 63 GWe Peak • Baseload? Nuclear

  3. UK Nuclear Legacy 1956 – 2008 1917 Ernst Rutherford • 1956 Calder Hall - world’s first • 21 Reactors - closed • 19 Reactors - in generation • 1 new PWR in 1995 • 1 Reactor beyond 2023 • 11GWe output • 15-17% baseload 2017 New-Build Nuclear ?

  4. UK Nuclear Renaissance 2009+ ? Zero Carbon Energy Security Energy Density • New Nuclear Site Nominations • 11 (2009) • 12+ GWe • 2012 build start • 2017+ operation • Replacement ambition? • Higher baseload?

  5. UK Nuclear Labour Market • Deliver the skills picture • Understand what skills are required and when

  6. Cogent – “Renaissance” series LMI Publications 2009

  7. UK Nuclear New-Build Labour Market DECC & BIS

  8. NDF - New-Build Development • PWR New-Build Model infrastructure, construction, operation • Sensitivity to Design EPR AP1000 • Modular Methodology

  9. UK Civil Nuclear Industry & Workforce Workforce • Job Contexts • Skill Levels • Age Profile Sectors • Energy Production (BE, Magnox North) • Decommissioning (NDA/SLCs) • Fuel Processing (Urenco, Springfields, Thorp) • New Build (Scenarios) • Supply Chain Analysis • Current Establishment • Demand Projections • Attrition rates • Supply-Demand Analysis • Scenario Sensitivity • Skills Gaps

  10. Nuclear Labour Market Classification Roles – Job Contexts 1. Energy Production Operations 2. Decommissioning Operations 3. Process Operations 4. Maintenance Operations 5. Safety & Security 6. Radiation Protection 7. Project Management 8. Engineering Design 9. Scientific & Technical Support 10. Business 11. Construction 12. Waste & Repository Operations 13. Commissioning Skills - Levels 1. Semi-Skilled 2. Skilled 3. Technician 4. Professional / Middle Manager 5. Senior Manager Core Roles Support Roles

  11. Nuclear Workforce – Job Contexts

  12. Nuclear Workforce - Region and Nation 2009

  13. Nuclear Workforce – Energy Production 2009

  14. Nuclear Workforce – Decommissioning 2009 Wales

  15. Nuclear Workforce – Skill Profiles

  16. Nuclear Workforce cf UK Workforce

  17. Demand – Generation to Decommissioning

  18. Demand – Extended Generation

  19. Expansion Demand – New Build

  20. Civil Nuclear Industry - Workforce Demand Gap up to 15,000 (incl contractors)

  21. New-Build Nuclear – Sectors • For each PWR, LMI projection • Design and Planning • (infrastructure construction) • Engineering Construction • Equipment Manufacture • Commissioning and Operation • Maintenance

  22. New-Build Job Contexts

  23. New Build - Construction

  24. New Build - Manufacture

  25. New Build – Nuclear and Non-Nuclear Skills

  26. Other Numbers – Apples and Pears? 1 new PWR

  27. Civil Other Manufacturers 500 off site Mechanical Electrical SC Operators 500 mostly site Operators 500 mostly site State of Play – Pixelated Module 1 PWR 2500 build and operate 1500 Induced national 1000 person-years 1500 commission 5,0000 jobs Per PWR 1000 operate 1000 Induced local

  28. New-Build Nuclear – SC Pinchpoints? Civil Capacity - low risk; small proportion of UK capacity Capability – risk = tolerance Electrical Capacity - low risk; two dominant UK suppliers Capability – risk = heavy electricals Mechanical Capacity - risk; dispersed UK supply Capability – risk = welding and NDE ManufacturingCapacity - global Capability – large forgings; reactor pressure vessels; prebuild design

  29. Why have we brought you here? • Objectives • • Report work in progress • • Obtain feedback on the working assumptions • • Priorities for further investigation and support to complete • Outcomes • • Validate working assumptions • • Clarity of Job Contexts and pinch-points • • Which enhanced skill levels? • • What is an acceptable level of occupational detail? • • Which critical, low volume, roles related to delivery of SQEP? • Establish an Expert Panel for New Build LMI

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