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LFS User Group meeting 21 October 2003. Annual LFS developments Nick Maine ONS. Recent Developments in Labour Market Statistics. Review of Labour Market Statistics Should present LMS in a structured way which follows a ‘Labour accounting system’
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LFS User Group meeting21 October 2003 Annual LFS developments Nick Maine ONS
Recent Developments in Labour Market Statistics • Review of Labour Market Statistics • Should present LMS in a structured way which follows a ‘Labour accounting system’ • Want to present sub-national data in the same way
Basic framework structure Labour supply Working age employment rate Activity rate Inactivity rate Unemployment rate Benefit claimants Claimant count rate Incapacity benefit rate Other benefits rates Total working age benefit rate Labour Demand Jobs/jobs density Vacancies/vacancies density
Sources for filling the framework Labour supply • Population Census
Sources for filling the framework Labour supply • Population Census • Modelled unemployment estimates
Sources for filling the framework Labour supply • Population Census • Modelled unemployment estimates • Labour Force Survey
Labour Force Survey • Quarterly Survey • Results disseminated monthly for Regions
Labour Force Survey • Quarterly Survey • Results disseminated monthly for Regions Need a way of using LFS data for smaller areas if we are to have a local area Framework for LMS
Using LFS data for smaller areas • Annual Survey • Combining waves one and five over four seasonal quarters to form the local area database (LADB) • Annual LFS boosts
Annual LFS boosts • English boost (2000/01) - LEAs • Welsh boost (2001/02) - UAs • Scottish boost (2003/04) - UAs
Future Developments • Annual Population Survey (APS) • New survey aimed at collecting information for local authority districts in England
Future Developments • Annual Population Survey (APS) • New survey aimed at collecting information for local authority districts in England • Will collect core LFS data which can be added to annual LFS
Future Developments • Annual Population Survey (APS) • New survey aimed at collecting information for local authority districts in England • Will collect core LFS data which can be added to annual LFS • Will start in January 2004
Future Developments • LMS Re-engineering • Develop new more reliable computing systems for producing LMS
Future Developments • LMS Re-engineering • Develop new more reliable computing systems for producing LMS • LFS is first priority
Future Developments • LMS Re-engineering • Develop new more reliable computing systems for producing LMS • LFS is first priority • The new system will reduce the risks of introducing errors at each stage of the process
Future Developments • LMS Re-engineering • Develop new more reliable computing systems for producing LMS • LFS is first priority • The new system will reduce the risks of introducing errors at each stage of the process • New system will ensure quicker production of results
Future Developments • Quarterly LFS data published 2 months after reference period
Future Developments • Quarterly LFS data published 2 months after reference period • Annual data published 8 months after end of reference period
Future Developments • Quarterly LFS data published 2 months after reference period • Annual data published 8 months after end of reference period • Re-engineering should overcome the problems which cause longer processing (different weighting, geographical indicators etc.)
Future Developments • Quarterly LFS data published 2 months after reference period • Annual data published 8 months after end of reference period • Re-engineering should overcome the problems which cause longer processing • Hence should allow publication of annual data much quicker (and possibly allow rolling annual data to be published each quarter)
Summary The framework for local labour market statistics will: • Give a clear presentation scheme for LMS The developments to the annual LFS (including LMS re-engineering) will: • Enable the labour supply side of the Framework to be populated with accurate and timely data for local areas Further contacts: Nick.Maine@ons.gov.uk David.Blunt@ons.gov.uk