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Potential Growth and Impact of the Latino Vote in 2008 and Beyond Special Presentation to the New America Alliance 2007 Pension Fund Forum “Latino Investment Talent: Embracing The American Dream”. Antonio Gonzalez President Southwest Voter Registration Education Project 2914 N. Main St
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Potential Growth and Impact of the Latino Vote in 2008 and BeyondSpecial Presentation to the New America Alliance2007 Pension Fund Forum “Latino Investment Talent: Embracing The American Dream” Antonio Gonzalez President Southwest Voter Registration Education Project 2914 N. Main St Los Angeles, CA 90031 323-343-9299 agonzalez@svrep.org www.svrep.org
Top 10 Most Latino States in 2006 by Latino Population Percent Table 5: Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, 2007. (1) 'In combination' means in combination with one or more other races. The sum of the five race groups adds to more than the total population because individuals may report more than one race.
Top 10 Most Latino States in 2006 by Latino Population Total Table 5: Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, 2007. (1) 'In combination' means in combination with one or more other races. The sum of the five race groups adds to more than the total population because individuals may report more than one race.
2006 United States Latino Population by State Data Source: Table 5 - Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, 2007.
2006 United States Latino Population Percent by State Data Source: Table 5 - Estimates of the Population by Race Alone or in Combination(1) and Hispanic or Latino Origin for the United States and States: July 1, 2006 (SC-EST2006-05) Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau. Release Date: May 17, 2007.
Latino Voter Registration, National Elections, 1972-2004 +2008 Projection Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.
Latino Votes Cast,National Elections, 1972-2004 +2008 Projection Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.
Grupo de Cien(Group of One Hundred) • Organize 100 Community, Business, and Business Leaders to Raise or Donate $100,000 Each Over 2007-2008 • Enables SVREP to Directly Register and Turnout 500,000 New Latino Voters in 15-20 Key States • Enables SVREP to Catalyze Movement of Latino Leaders/Organizations to Raise Latino Registration and Turnout by 2.5 Million New Voters
SVREP Mobilization Efforts in 2007-2008 • Latina Vote Campaign • Vota una Latina, Vota una Familia • Educate, Register, and Mobilize 100,000 new Latina Voters for the 2008 Presidential Election Cycle • Campaign for Family and Community (C4C) • Faith-Based Effort That Will Register 100,000 Latino parishioners in 5 Competitive States: CO, FL, NV, NM, OR • Focused on Immigration Reform and Climate-Related Themes • Partners Include Catholic, Protestant, and Evangelical Churches and Organizations
SVREP Mobilization Efforts in 2007-2008, con’t • Movimiento 10/12 • Unite 300 Communities in 15 States Around Local Issues and Elections • Register and Turnout 200,000 new Latino Voters During Spring, Summer, and Fall of 2008 to Lay Foundation for 2010 and 2012 Elections • Partners Include LULAC, LCLAA, Hispanic Federation, and NALACC • YouthVote Campaign • Register 100,000 High School and College Students During Spring and Fall of 2007 and 2008 • Target 250-500 School Districts and 150 Colleges in 9 States: AZ, CA, CO, FL, IL, NJ, NM, TX, WA • Develop Corresponding Curriculum To Educate High School Students on Importance of Voting
2004 United States Latino Registration Percent by State Data Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.
2004 United States Latino Unregistered Citizen Voting Age Population by State Data Source: US Census Bureau, Current Population Reports: Voting and Registration in the Election of November 2004 to 1972.
Latino Elected Officials by State: Largest Latino States – Gains Since 1996 Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund
Latino Elected Officials by State: Largest Latino States Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund
Latino Elected Officials by State: New Latino Gains Since 1996 Data Source: 2007 National Directory of Latino Elected Officials, NALEO Educational Fund
“Tsunami Tuesday” States – Primary/Caucus Elections Held on 2/5/08
Early Primary States – Primary/Caucus Elections Held Before 2/5/08
2008 U.S. Senate Races - CloseCongressional Quarterly Ratings
2004 Registration, Turnout, and Latino Potentialby Close Senate Race
2006 U.S. House Election ResultsParty by Margin of Victory - All
2006 U.S. House Election ResultsParty by Margin of Victory – Close Elections
Democrats Connecticut 2 - Joe Courtney - 0.0% Georgia 12 - John Barrow - 0.6% Pennsylvania 8 - Patrick J. Murphy - 0.6% Georgia 8 - Jim Marshall - 1.0% Florida 16 - Tim Mahoney - 1.8% Wisconsin 8 - Steve Kagen - 2.1% Kentucky 3 - John Yarmuth - 2.4% New York 19 - John Hall - 2.4% New Hampshire 1 - Carol Shea-Porter - 2.7% Iowa 2 - Dave Loebsack - 2.8% Kansas 2 - Nancy Boyda - 3.5% Florida 22 - Ron Klein - 3.8% Pennsylvania 4 - Jason Altmire - 3.8% Arizona 5 - Harry E. Mitchell - 4.0% Indiana 9 - Baron P. Hill - 4.5% Republicans Florida 13 - Vern Buchanan - 0.2% North Carolina 8 - Robin Hayes - 0.2% New Mexico 1 - Heather A. Wilson - 0.4% Ohio 15 - Deborah Pryce - 0.5% Wyoming AL - Barbara Cubin - 0.5% Ohio 2 - Jean Schmidt - 1.1% New Jersey 7 - Mike Ferguson - 1.4% Pennsylvania 6 - Jim Gerlach - 1.4% New York 25 - James T. Walsh - 1.6% Nevada 3 - Jon Porter - 1.9% Colorado 4 - Marilyn Musgrave - 2.5% Illinois 6 - Peter Roskam - 2.8% Virginia 2 - Thelma Drake - 2.8% New York 29 - John R. "Randy" Kuhl Jr. - 3.0% Washington 8 - Dave Reichert - 3.0% California 4 - John T. Doolittle - 3.1% Connecticut 4 - Christopher Shays - 3.4% Michigan 7 - Tim Walberg - 3.9% New York 26 - Thomas M. Reynolds - 4.0% Ohio 1 - Steve Chabot - 4.4% Close Margins of Victory in 2006Less Than 5%