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Program Overview and System Architecture Steven Kirkner GOES Program Manager

GOES-R. Program Overview and System Architecture Steven Kirkner GOES Program Manager. May 10, 2004 GOES User’s Conference Broomfield, Colorado. AGENDA. Program Mission Program Challenges Program Requirements Program Improvements/Benefits Program Baseline Program Management Summary.

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Program Overview and System Architecture Steven Kirkner GOES Program Manager

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  1. GOES-R Program OverviewandSystem ArchitectureSteven KirknerGOES Program Manager May 10, 2004 GOES User’s Conference Broomfield, Colorado

  2. AGENDA • Program Mission • Program Challenges • Program Requirements • Program Improvements/Benefits • Program Baseline • Program Management • Summary

  3. GOES-RPROGRAM OFFICE Name Title Phone Number Ext Email Address Kirkner, Steve GOES Program Manager 301-713-1055 161 steve.kirkner@noaa.gov Jenkins, Sarah GOES Secretary 301-713-1055 162 sarah.jenkins@noaa.gov Carson, Andrew HES & SIS Acquisitions 301-286-0667 andrew.s.carson.1@noaa.gov Carson, Elizabeth Acquisition Program Manager 301-713-1055 156 elizabeth.carson@noaa.gov Coakley, Monica Mission Requirements 781-981-0616 mcoakley@ll.mit.edu Comeyne, Gus Space Segment Lead 301-713-1055 171gcomeyne@noaa.gov Dawkins, Stephen Budget Analyst 301-713-1055 166 stephen.dawkins@noaa.gov Eckard, Maggie Budget Manager 301-713-0088 164 margaret.eckard@noaa.gov Flanagan, Dan ABI & SEISS Acquisitions 301-286-3387 daniel.g.flanagan.1@noaa.gov Gray, Don Product Manager, Users Interface, 301-713-1055 160 donald.gray@noaa.govRequirements Gurka, Jim Program Requirements 301-713-2789 james.gurka@noaa.gov Heymann, Roger Communications/Frequency Request 301-713-2789 roger.heymann@noaa.gov Hurt Lisa Budget Analyst 301-713-0088 165 lisa.hurt@noaa.gov Linn, John Ground Acquisitions 703-610-1733 john.linn@noaa.gov Madden, Michael System Engineer/Space 301-713-1055 172 michael.madden@noaa.gov May, Dan System Engineer/Integration 301-713-1055 157 daniel.may@noaa.gov McGinnis, Dave Frequency Request 301-713-2789 dave.mcginnis@noaa.gov Miller, Eric NOSA Liaison 301-713-2789 eric.miller@noaa.gov Moore, Jay Contracting Officer 301-713-4751 jay.moore@noaa.gov Moses, Kesha Budget Analyst 301-713-0088 167 kesha.moses@noaa.gov Prowell, John Document Manager 301-713-1055 154 john.prowell@noaa.gov Rad, Adrian Risk Manager 301-902-4660 adrian.rad@noaa.gov Ryberg, Gus Ground Acquisitions 703-610-1733 august.ryberg@mitretek.org Shere, Ken System Engineer/Ground 301-713-1055 169 kenneth.shere@noaa.gov Shipley, Les GroundSegment Lead 301-713-1055 170 les.shipley@noaa.gov Weinreb, Michael Calibration/Validation 301-713-1055 156 michael.weinreb@noaa.gov Zehr, David System Engineer/Integration 301-713-1055 155 david.zehr@noaa.gov

  4. GOES MISSION GOES-10 135o West GOES-12 75o West On orbit spare • Satisfies national operational environmental requirements for 24 hour observation of weather, Earth’s environment, and solar and space environment • Support storm-scale weather forecasting and numerical modelers • To meet requirements, GOES continuously maintains operational satellites at two locations (75º West and 135º West) • On-orbit spare ready in case of failure • GOES-I Series (8-12) current operational series • GOES-N Series (13-15) under contract • GOES-R Series, follow-on continuity program to GOES-N Series, under design

  5. NOAA SATELLITES AND INFORMATION SERVICEGEOSTATIONARY OPERATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL SATELLITES-R SERIES • The Nation requires continuous availability of highly accurate, timely and reliable data of the United States to monitor events that may adversely affect lives and property, and the Nation’s environmental, national, homeland and economic security. • GOES-R is expanding support to improve characterization of the atmosphere, enhance space weather capabilities and increase resolution to monitor valuable coastal regions. GOES-R will provide improved understanding of climate variability and change through long-term trending. In addition. GOES-R environmental information enables safe and efficient transportation. • FY 2005 request emphasizes the end-to-end System Architecture, allowing industry to participate in NOAA’s future definition of architecture and infrastructure. • GOES-R supports NOAA’s strategic goals: weather and water, climate, ecosystems, and commerce and transportation,. http://www.osd.noaa.gov

  6. CHALLENGE – SUPPORTING NOAA’S STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES • Ecosystem • Determine environmental impacts of chaotic processes, i.e. diurnal ocean color as a function of tides • Phytoplankton Blooms • Surface Vegetation Fraction &Index • Location of hazardous materials • Upward Longwave Radiation • Climate • Provide diurnal signature for weather and climate prediction and analysis • Ozone Layers and SO2 Concentration • Fires • Land & Sea Surface Temperatures • Cloud Profiles • Weather and Water • Real time weather data to accurately track and analyze severe weather events • Temperature and Moisture Profiles • Lightning Detection • Wind Analysis • Solar Weather • Commerce • Uninterrupted hemispheric observations and products for safe and efficient transportation and commerce systems • Volcanic Ash • Ice, Fog, Snow, and Wind • Thunderstorm Detection

  7. CHALLENGE – MAINTAIN DATA CONTINUITY GOES R must be operationally available (launched and checked out) by this date to provide coverage in the event of an unexpected loss of O or P • Launch dates driven by need for 2 operational and at least 1 on-orbit spare at all times • GOES-R must be launched by Oct 2012, in order to be sufficiently checked out and available as on-orbit spare when P is turned on (planned for Apr 2013) • 12, N, P projected operations determine when R must be launched as spare – next scheduled update is 2008 (planned N turn on) • 10, 11, O projected operations affect system availability percentage, but not R need date Planned Activation Date Planned Launch Date Projected Operations Extended Life Projected On-Orbit Storage No Spare

  8. CHALLENGE – BALANCED USER BENEFIT VS COST • Balance improvements to satisfy evolving user needs with affordable system cost • Include complete life cycle end-to-end costs in upfront planning to ensure decision makers have full understanding of system cost • Develop architectures that cost effectively handle large volumes of data required by users

  9. CHALLENGE – GROUND SEGMENT VOLUME Total Downlink Mbps 25 140 120 20 Rebroadcast 100 Current GOES 15 80 Mbps 60 10 GOES-R 40 5 20 Total Products 0 0 1 : 45 160 140 120 100 80 1 : 9 60 40 20 0 1 : 4

  10. STRATEGIES • Perform Trade Studies against Requirements • Evaluate Multiple Architecture Options • Define End-to-End System Architecture • Space and Launch Segment • Command, Control and Communications (C3) Segment • Product Generation and Distribution Segment • Archive and Access Segment • User Interface and Assimilation Segment • Structure Acquisition Approach with adequate Design & Risk Reduction and Development Phases for Spacecraft, Instruments and Ground Systems • Develop Life Cycle Cost Targets • Perform User Utility and Cost Benefit Analysis • Manage Risk • Ensure utilization of GOES R data from Day One

  11. END-TO-END SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE GOES EAST GOES WEST DCS Command and Data Platform NESDIS Acquisition Station Real - Time Headquarters Suitland, MD Wallops Island, VA DCS User ERL WEFAX USERS Boulder, SARSAT Satellite User CO U. S. Operations FEMA DCS/WEFAX Mission Control Imager/Soundings Control Center GVAR User National Center (SOCC) Television, Radio Telemetry/Commands Weather Airports Service LEGEND: Central Weather Data Collection System (DCS) Flood, Fire Warning Environmental Forecast USERS Weather Facsimile (WEFAX) Satellite Computer Ocean Analysis Office GOES Variable Format (GVAR) System (CEMSCS) Raw Imager/Sounder Data AWIPS Search and Rescue (SAR) Multi - Use Data Link (MDL) NOAA Network National Severe Storm Emergency Managers NOAA Science Bldg. Other Gov’t Agencies Control Forecast Center Information Network (EMWIN) Camp Springs, MD Academia NOAA Facility Telemetry Environmental Satellite National Hurricane Private Port Commands Silver Data/Interactive Center Media Spring, MD Processing Center NOTE: Uplinks and downlinks are Others GINI National Meteorological (ESD/IPC) identical for GOES East and West. Center

  12. MAPPING REQUIREMENTS TO SYSTEM SOLUTIONS Instruments Requirements Adv. Baseline Imager (ABI) NOAA Users Aerosols Ecosystems, Weather & Water, Climate, Commerce & Transportation Hyperspectral Environmental Suite (HES) Clouds NWS Precipitation OAR Solar Imaging Suite (SIS) Baseline Instruments Atmospheric Profiles GPRD MRD NOS Atmospheric Radiance Space Env In-Situ Suite (SEISS) Other Users Atmospheric Winds NMFS GOES Lightning Mapper (GLM) Land NMAO Ocean Microwave Sounder/Imager PPI Coastal Waters & Estuaries Coronagraph Potential P3I NESDIS Hyperspectral Imager Space & Solar Solar Irradiance Sensor

  13. REQUIREMENTS • Extensive User Involvement • GOES User Conferences – 2001, 2002, and 2004 • Data User Conference – 2002, 2004 (upcoming) • GOES-R Program Requirements Document (GPRD) • Consolidate set of requirements to direct early system trades and ultimately system development • Incorporate all NOAA Line Office and Mission Goal Team Requirements • Validated by AAs and Goal Team leads • Coordinated with other federal and international agencies to help guide future potential collaborations • Mission Requirements Document (MRD) • Translates operational requirements into system acquisition requirements

  14. GOES N PRODUCTS BY INSTRUMENT41 PRODUCTS29 OPERATIONAL, 12+ EXPERIMENTAL Green = Imager Orange = Sounder *Asterisk indicates no name change

  15. GOES-R OBSERVATIONAL REQUIREMENTS~152 TOTAL PRODUCTS BY DATA TYPE/COVERAGE AREA Absorbed Shortwave Radiation Downward Solar Insolation Rainfall Potential Aerosol Detection Dust/Aerosol Reflected Solar Insolation Aerosol Particle Size Energetic Heavy Ions Sea & Lake Ice/ Displacement and Direction Aircraft Icing Threat Enhanced "V"/Overshooting Top Detection Sea & Lake Ice/Age Atmospheric Vertical Moisture Profile Fire / Hot Spot Imagery Sea & Lake Ice/Concentration Atmospheric Vertical Temperature Profile Flood/Standing Water Sea & Lake Ice/Extent and Characterization Capping Inversion Information Geomagnetic Field Sea & Lake Ice/Surface Temp Hurricane Intensity Sea Surface Temps Clear Sky Masks Ice Cover/ Landlocked Snow Cover Cloud & Moisture Imagery Snow Depth Cloud Base Height Land Surface (Skin) Temperature SO Concentration Lightning Detection Cloud Ice Water Path 2 Solar and Galactic Protons Low Cloud and Fog Cloud Layers / Heights and Thickness Solar Flux: EUV Mag Electrons & Protons: Low Energy Cloud Liquid Water Solar Flux: X-Ray Mag Electrons & Protons: Med & High Energy Cloud Optical Depth Microburst Winds Solar Imagery Cloud Particle Size Distribution Moisture Flux Surface Albedo Cloud Phase Surface Emissivity Ocean Currents Cloud Top Height Suspended Matter Ocean Color Cloud Top Pressure Total Precipitable Water Ocean Optical Properties Cloud Top Temperature Total Water Content Ocean Turbidity Cloud Type Turbulence Ozone Layers CO Concentration Upward Longwave Radiation Ozone Total CO Concentration 2 Vegetation Fraction Pressure Profile Convection Initiation Vegetation Index Probability of Rainfall Derived Motion Winds Visibility Radiances Derived Stability Indices Volcanic Ash Downward Longwave Radiation ABI – Advanced Baseline Imager SEISS – Space Env. In-Situ Suite HES – Hyperspectral Environmental Suite SIS – Solar Instrument Suite GLM – GOES Lightning Mapper

  16. GOES PRODUCT IMPROVEMENTS • Severe storm and flood warnings • Tropical cyclone (hurricane reconnaissance and warnings) • Hydrologic forecasts and water resources management • Short-term and mesoscale forecast • Ocean surface and internal structures forecasts • Medium range forecast outlook (out to fifteen days) • Solar and space environmental forecasts • Aviation forecasts (domestic, military, and international) • Ice conditions forecasts • Seasonal and inter-annual climate forecasts • Decadal-scale monitoring of climate variability • Environmental air quality monitoring and emergency response • Fire and volcanic eruption detection and analysis • Long-term global environmental change assessment

  17. SYSTEM IMPROVEMENTS

  18. ADVANCED BASELINE IMAGER (ABI) AND HYPERSPECTRAL ENVIRONMENTAL SUITE (HES) PERFORMANCE

  19. SIS/SEISS IMPROVEMENTS • GOES-R Space Weather Instruments • Space Environmental In Situ Suite (SEISS) • proton, electron, and heavy ion fluxes • Solar Imaging Suite (SIS) • solar X-ray flux magnitude • solar EUV flux from 5 to 129 nm • coronal holes locations • solar flares • coronal mass ejections • Magnetometers • GOES-R Improvements • Solar X-ray image dynamic range, resolution, and sensitivity • EUV measurements using 8 channels (5 channels) In improved modeling of ionosphere and thermosphere • Medium energy radiation environment responsible for spacecraft charging Space Weather Warnings Goal: 5 Days

  20. New NOAA Instrument Severe Storm Warning Times Lightning Danger Alerts Disaster Team Response Nitrogen Production Detects Total Strikes:In Cloud, Cloud To Cloud, And Cloud To Ground Compliments Today’s Land Based Systems That Only Measures Cloud To Ground (About 15% Of The Total Lightning) Increased Coverage Over Oceans And Lands Currently No Ocean Coverage, And Limited Land Coverage In Dead Zones Parameters Hemispheric Or CONUS Coverage 10 Km Spatial Resolution (1 Km Goal) 1 Km Vertical Resolution GOES LIGHTNING MAPPER

  21. GOES-R IMPROVEMENTS SPATIAL, SPECTRAL, TEMPORAL • Predict When And Where Severe Weather Will Occur (Better Location Accuracy) • Increased Lead-times For Severe Weather Warning Helping Meet NWS Goals • Track Paths Of Severe Weather More Accurately Hurricane in hours *NWS Science & Technology Infusion Plan

  22. GOES-RSPATIAL, SPECTRAL, TEMPORALIMPROVEMENTS PROVIDING NOAA MORE CAPABILITY TO …. • Characterize Ocean Color • Monitor harmful algae blooms • Locate hazardous materials • Monitor coastal erosion • Measure Climate-Relevant Changes • Improve environmental outlooks • Droughts • Ozone • Soil Moisture • Hurricane • Improve Severe Weather Trajectories and Moisture/Thermal Knowledge • Improve agriculture management • Improve location accuracy • Improve severe storm warning times • Improve the Forecast Accuracy of Fog, Ice, and Winds • Increase public/commercial transportation safety • Improve agriculture management • Reduce weather related delays • Reduce vehicular fatalities and injuries

  23. USER BENEFIT ANALYSIS RESULTS TO DATE (APR 04) Estimated GOES-R Incremental Annual Benefits in 2015(PV-FY03$) $8.1B $7.1B $15.2B Total Life Cycle Benefits of GOES-R Continuity of Current (GOES I-P) Capability Total Life Cycle Incremental Benefit (GOES-R improvement over GOES I-P Capability) Total GOES-R Life Cycle Mission Benefits: Source: Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite System (GOES) GOES-R Sounder & Imager Cost Benefit Analysis Study. Phase II (final) and Phase III (In draft).

  24. ACQUISITION APPROACH • Architecture Studies • Twelve Contractors • Fixed Price Contracts (FY04/05) • Initiate End-to-End Integration Studies • Identify Risk Factors • Develop Life Cycle Cost Estimate • Assess Distributed, Consolidated, and Other Constellations in addition to System-level and Ground Segment Architectures • Design and Risk Reduction Phase • Two to Three Contractors per effort • Fixed Price Contracts (FY02-06) • Development Of Detailed Concept Designs And Higher Fidelity Cost Models • Performs Accommodation and Trade Studies • Identifies Risk • Development and Production Phase • One Contractor per effort • Cost Plus Award Fee (FY04-22) • Refines design development • Begins approximately 1 year prior to Preliminary Design Review • Delivers Engineering Model (Prototype) and Flight Models • Supports through last planned launch date, Apr 22

  25. LIFE CYCLE COST ASSUMPTIONS • GOES-R Launch Date: Oct 2012 • Ground System Readiness Date: Oct 2010 • System End-to-End Development Test & Evaluation: Oct 2010 – Apr 2012 • Mission Operations & Simulations: Oct 2011 to Oct 2012 • Ready for Launch: Launch Date minus 3 mos • Initial Operational Test & Evaluation (IOT&E): Oct 2012 – Apr 2013 • Operations/Support: Apr 2013 – Apr 2029 • Ground System Refresh: 7 year centers beginning Oct 2012

  26. NOTIONAL BASELINE DISTRIBUTED SATELLITE ARCHITECTURE WEST EAST • Payloads distributed over multiple satellites for each orbital slot • Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) • Hyperspectral Environmental Suite (HES) • Solar Imaging Suite (SIS) • Space Environmental In-Site Suite • GOES Lightning Mapper (GLM) • Distributed concept used to baseline program performance, cost, and schedule A-Sat ABI SIS GLM service A-Sat ABI SIS GLM services B-Sat HES SEISS services B-Sat HES SEISS services

  27. PROGRAM SCHEDULE TASK CY 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 TIM TIM System Architecture Study 10/03 4/05 ABI 1/04 Design/Risk Reduction PDR CDR EM 4/09 8/10 Development/Production 6/11 12/12 6/14 Flight Model Delivery 4/05 4/06 10/07 8/04 FM 1 FM1 FM2 FM 3 FM 4 5/06 HES (ABS) Need Date Design/Risk Reduction PDR CDR EM Development/Production 5/04 7/12 1/14 Flight Model Delivery 9/06 6/07 6/08 9/09 FM2 FM 3 FM1 SIS (Solar Imaging Suite) 1/11 Design/Risk Reduction PDR CDR EM 6/10 Development/Production 9/04 9/11 3/13 9/14 2/06 Flight Model Delivery 4/06 12/06 12/07 6/09 FM1 FM2 FM 3 FM 4 SEISS (Space Env. In-Situ Suite) Design/Risk Reduction PDR CDR EM 6/10 Development/Production 11/04 9/11 3/13 9/14 10/05 Flight Model Delivery 10/06 11/07 3/09 1/06 FM1 FM2 FM 3 FM 4 GLM (GOES Lightning Mapper) Design/Risk Reduction PDR CDR EM 9/10 2/05 Development/Production 11/05 3/12 9/13 Flight Model Delivery 12/06 12/07 4/09 3/06 FM 1 FM 2 FM 3 Spacecraft Design/Risk Reduction PDR CDR Development/Production 10/12 9/13 4/14 7/05 10/06 Spacecraft Readiness 4/08 4/09 4/07 A1 B1 A2 B2 Available for Launch A1 B1 A2 B2 10/12 4/14 Ground System 12/06 Design/Risk Reduction PDR CDR 10/10 Development/Production 10/12 8/05 Readiness Development Test & Evaluation 4/08 4/09 4/07 10/10 A SAT = ABI + SIS + GLM + Services B SAT = HES + SEISS + Services

  28. NEAR TERM SCHEDULE • FY 06 • Development/Production Phase • Hyperspectral Environmental Suite • Solar Imaging Suite • GOES Lightning Mapper • FY 07 • Development/Production Phase • Spacecraft • Ground Segment • FY 04 • Design/Risk Reduction Phase • Hyperspectral Environmental Suite • Space Environmental In-Situ Suite • Solar Imaging Suite • Development/Production Phase • Advanced Imager Baseline • FY 05 • Design/Risk Reduction Phase • GOES Lightning Mapper • Spacecraft • Ground Segment • Development/Production Phase • Space Environmental In-Situ Suite

  29. GOES-R INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT PLAN • Integrated Program Management and Acquisition Plan • Program Mission, Background, Objectives • System Description Overview • Configuration Management Status • Test and Evaluation Strategy • Logistics Engineering Concept • Risk Management Status • Acquisition Strategy • Project Management Plan • Financial Management Strategy • Appendix Plans • Requirements Plan – in process • System Engineering Plan – not started • Test and Evaluation Master Plan – in process • Risk Management Plan – completed Jan 04 • Configuration Management Plan – scheduled completion for May 04 • Program Office Communications Plan – not started • Quality Plan – not started • Exhibit 300 – updated annually

  30. GOES-R RISK REDUCTION PLAN • Investigation of the GOES-R derived meteorological, oceanic, and terrestrial products and their operational utility • Assure the viability of GOES-R products • Develop advanced products • Ensure timely efficient integration of the improvements into NWS, NESDIS, and other NOAA Line Office operations • Efforts over the next decade to develop, evaluate, and validate the GOES-R products and to prepare the user community • Addresses Algorithm Development, Data Assimilation & Model Impact Tests, User Familiarization, and other tasks • Covers FY04 through FY12 with budget allocations • Provides the interface between the Program Office and the Users’ Community

  31. CAL/VAL WORKING GROUP • Provide technical guidance/recommendations in the area of radiometric performance • Design of radiometric/calibration sub-systems of the sensors • Generation of a pre-launch test plan for sensor calibration and characterization, including methods for assuring traceability to international standards. • Evaluation of radiometric performance waivers • Analysis of data from pre-launch tests • Compilation of on-orbit calibration databases • Post-launch checkout of radiometric performance • Long-term monitoring and archiving of on-orbit radiometric performance • Assure that the GOES-R instruments produce data on orbit that satisfy NOAA’s scientific requirements for environmental monitoring

  32. GOES-R EDUCATIONAL TOOLS • Develop tools to educate people on the GOES-R End-to-End System • Booklet w/ standup capability • 2 page Glossy • Movie • Poster • GOES-R Road Show • National Geographic: Writing a “Remote Sensing Satellites” chapter for the NG “Exploring Space Encyclopedia” • The Weather Channel • Aerospace “Crosstalk” dedicated issue • Program Folder

  33. PROGRAM EMPHASIS • Continuity of a Oct 2012 Launch • Crosscuts NOAA 4 Mission Goals • End-to-End System • Risk Reduction Program • Cost Benefit (Cost/Sat Year) • Ties to the NOAA/National/International Observing System • Scheduled Incremental Upgrades (Ground/Space) to meet the User’s evolving needs (Pre-Planned Product Improvements) • GEO, Polar, and other NOAA Sensing Platforms complimentary contributions to NOAA requirements

  34. SUMMARY GOES-R series Architecture and Design Trades Proceeding • Initial requirements have been established • Architecture Studies have completed mid-term reviews • Continuing to release Design/Risk Reduction Phase RFPs to evaluate next level of trades • Releasing first Production/Development (Hardware phase) contract this summer • Defining GOES-R Risk Reduction Plans with Research and Algorithm development community • Program Plans are under development • Baseline Budget and Schedule are established

  35. GOES-R IMPROVEMENTS Provide NOAA More Capability … To Describe And Predict The Earth’s Environment To Conserve And Manage The Nation’s Natural Resources Leading To The …. Protection of LIVES, PROPERTY, and the ENVIRONMENT

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