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Improving Drought Detection. Hope Mizzell, Ph.D. SC State Climatologist South Carolina Department of Natural Resources. Carolinas and Virginia Climate Conference. South Carolina’s Hydro-Logical Cycle. Drought Act and Regulations. State Drought Program.
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Improving Drought Detection Hope Mizzell, Ph.D. SC State Climatologist South Carolina Department of Natural Resources Carolinas and Virginia Climate Conference
South Carolina’s Hydro-Logical Cycle Drought Act and Regulations State Drought Program Local Drought Plans and Ordinances Local Drought Committee (12) State Agency Drought Committee (5)
South Carolina Drought Response Committee South Carolina Drought Response Committee Statewide Committee Members SC Dept. of Natural Resources SC Emergency Management Division SC Dept. of Health and Environmental Control SC Department of Agriculture SC Forestry Commission Local Committee Members Agriculture Industry Counties Municipalities Commissions of Public Works Domestic users Power Generation Facilities Private water suppliers Regional Councils of Government Public service districts Soil & Water Conservation Districts Special Purpose Districts Invited Participants Farm Service National Weather Service United States Dept. of Agriculture US Geological Survey
Drought Declarations Drought committee reviews drought related variables such as : PDSI = Palmer Drought Severity Index CMI = Crop Moisture Index SPI = Standard Precipitation Index DM = National Drought Monitor KDBI = Keetch Byram Forest Fire Drought Index Streamflow = Average streamflow for two consecutive weeks Aquifer Level= Static water level for two consecutive months Specific numerical values for the indices that define each level of drought are established through regulation. 4 levels of drought: Incipient Moderate Severe Extreme
Drought Monitoring Tools and Applications Drought Management Plan and Response Ordinance Inventory Water Conservation Actions Dynamic Drought Index
Web-based mapping tool that emerged in response to user needs during 1998-2002 drought in Carolinas. Shaped by interactions with stakeholders during Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) relicensing of dams on major river basins in the Carolinas. https://www.dnr.sc.gov/drought/
* Rhee, J. and G.J. Carbone. A Comparison of Weekly Monitoring Methods of the Palmer Drought Index. Journal of Climate 20(24): 6033-6044.
Exceptional Drought Extreme Drought Severe Drought Moderate Drought Abnormally Dry Map User Input • Classification method • Equal interval • Quantile • Natural break • U.S. Drought Monitor-comparable category • SC Drought Act
Interpolation (IDW) 4 km X 4 km grids • 6 nearest stations • Search up to 12 nearest stations for data No data Next nearest station
Map Navigation Tools
Aggregation Rhee, J., G. J. Carbone, and J. Hussey. 2008. Drought index mapping at different spatial units. Journal of Hydrometeorology DOI: 10.1175/2008JHM983.1.
Graph Create Graph Aggregated Features
Table Create Table
Comparison: time scale variabilityJanuary 1998 ~ December 2008 1-month SPI PDSI 3-month SPI 6-month SPI
FERC Low Inflow Protocol Stage 1 –Stage 4 11 Lakes Storage 3-Month USDM 6-month Streamflow or
SPI 6-month, SPI 9-month, Blend 1, and Blend 2 drought stages compared to LIP
Thank you! Hope Mizzell SC State Climatologist 1000 Assembly Street Columbia, SC 29201 803-734-9568