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GAVIO GROUP. AUTOSTRADA TORINO – MILANO SOCIETA’ INIZIATIVE AUTOSTRADALI E SERVIZI. SEPTEMBER 2009. KEY FACTS. 1H 2009. TRAFFIC VOLUMES DOWN BY 4%. MAY 1, 2009: TARIFF INCREASES (1). TOLL REVENUES: - € 7.0 MIL. (2).
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GAVIOGROUP AUTOSTRADA TORINO – MILANO SOCIETA’ INIZIATIVE AUTOSTRADALI E SERVIZI SEPTEMBER 2009
KEY FACTS 1H 2009 TRAFFIC VOLUMES DOWN BY 4% MAY 1, 2009: TARIFF INCREASES(1) TOLL REVENUES: - € 7.0 MIL.(2) JUNE 30, 2009: COMPLETED THE ACQUISITION OF 3 ADDITIONAL CHILEAN MOTORWAYS (JOINTLY WITH ATLANTIA) SEPTEMBER 2, 2009 SIGNED THE “NEW” CONCESSION SCHEMES FOR SALT, ADF AND SAV • Estimated lack of revenues for the period 1/1-30/4/09: € 16.3 mil. • - Traffic volumes: - € 18.7 mil • - Asti-Cuneo stretch: + € 4.0 mil • - Tariff increase: + € 7.7 mil • Change in Toll revenues - € 7.0 mil 2
SIAS ASTM 1H 08 1H 09 1H 08 1H 09 Revenues from motorway sector Other sectors’ revenues Total Revenues EBITDA EBIT Profit before taxes Net profit (after minorities) Operating cash flow Additional Capex (Motorway sector) 344 33 377 207 120 99 68 140 93 351 39 390 227 132 96 34 156 156 344 39 383 211 122 104 38 142 93 351 35 386 223 128 89 56 151 156 1H09 ASTM-SIAS FINANCIAL RESULTS - HIGHLIGHTS (Eu mn unless otherwise stated) 3
Net of extraordinary events, we expect that traffic trends will fall by 2.5-3.0% in 2009 TRAFFIC BY QUARTER 1Q 2008 4Q 2008 2Q 2008 3Q 2008 1Q 2009 1Q 2009 2Q 2009 +2,90% (2) -0,65% -1,74% -2,41% -3,13% -8,33% (1) FY 2008: - 1,21% 1H 2009: - 4,2% (1) Inclusive of the “leap year” effect (2) Light traffic: +3,61% 4
Table of Contents • GROUP STRUCTURE • FINANCIAL RESULTS • TARIFF INCREASES AND INVESTMENT PLAN • INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT – CHILE • CONCLUSION 5
GROUP STRUCTURE • FINANCIAL RESULTS • TARIFF INCREASES AND INVESTMENT PLAN • INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT – CHILE • CONCLUSION 6
Motorway Concessions Motorway Concessions Technological and tlc services towards motorway concession companies Technological and tlc services towards motorway concession companies Engineering, planning and infrastructure/maintenance Engineering, planning and infrastructure/maintenance Holding Companies Holding Companies Costruction, planning, services, other (Non consolidated) Costruction, planning, services, other (Non consolidated) Current Group Structure Aurelia S.p.A. / Argo Finanziaria S.p.A. 9,90% 51,00% ASTM S.p.A. Market ASTM S.p.A. Market 63,42% (SINA 1,72%) 99,5% 82,0% 26,68% SIAS S.p.A. SIAS S.p.A. 18,0% 0,5% SINA SINECO 99,9% 99,9% 45,0% 84,4% 84,4% 87,4% 87,4% 58,05% 100% 20,0% 65,0% (ITINERA 5%) Holding ASA - ApC Piemonte e Road Link SATAP SATAP CISA CISA SALT SALT SINELEC Valle d'Aosta (Chile) + ARGO (39,01%) Asti-Cuneo 0,08% 60,8% 60,8% 40,3% 41,2% 36,5% 65,1% 65,1% ITINERA ADF ADF SAV SAV SITAF SITAF ATIVA ATIVA 59,7% 6,2% 1,4% 1,1% 33,58% 36,5% 26,45% 28,1% 50,0% + FPI SITRASB SITRASB ABC (16,42%) CODELFA CODELFA Pavimental 32,4% 25,4% 14,1% 7
TREASURY STOCKS 2,85% 3,63% ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI GROUP FONDAZIONE CR-TO 2,59% ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI GROUP 4,99% 4,99% LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC LAZARD ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC. 9,98% 18,06% FREE FLOAT FREE FLOAT 28,59% 51,00% GAVIOGROUP 73,32% GAVIO GROUP OWNERSHIP STRUCTUREHolding companies 8
0,13 6 5 4 - 22 50 55 41 11 - AUTOCISA Società Autostrada Asti-Cuneo S.p.A. OWNERSHIP STRUCTUREMain motorway companies PUBLIC AUTHORITIES % MUNICIPALITIES PROVINCES REGIONS GROUP OTHER ANAS OTHER TOTAL SUBSIDIARIES - 4 9 - - 6 - - 18 9 - - - - 28 - - - - - - 64 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 - 2 2 - - 5 - - - 11 - - - - - 35 - - - - 32 - - 1 - - - 6 - - - - - 99,87 87 84 68 65 61 50 45 41 37 36 LxL A.p.Cile (VS, LC, NO) E.M. PROP. E.M. 9
S. BERNARDO AOSTA M. BIANCO IVREA TORINO MILANO PARMA ASTI ALESSANDRIA FREJUS PIACENZA VOLTRI SESTRI L. CUNEO SAVONA LA SPEZIA VIAREGGIO VENTIMIGLIA PISA LUCCA LIVORNO ROSIGNANO M. Current network managed by the SIAS Group CONCESSIONAIRE LENGHT KM SUBSIDIARIES SATAP [A4] 130,3 SATAP [A21] 167,7 SALT 154,9 CISA 182,0(1) SAV 59,5 AT-CN 90 (2) ADF 113,2 ATIVA 155,8 EQUITY INVESTMENTS SITAF [A32, T4] 94 SITRASB 12,8 ROAD LINK (A69) – UK 84 COSTANERA NORTE – CHILE (THROUGH ASA) 43 VESPUCIO SUR / LITORAL CENTRAL / NORORIENTE – CHILE (THROUGH A.p.Cile) 125 1.412,2 SIGNIFICANT INVESTMENTS MILANO SERRAVALLE – MILANO TANGENZIALI SOCIETA’ AUTOSTRADA TIRRENICA (1) (2) Inclusive of the planned 81 km stretch linking Parma to the Autostrada del Brennero Under construction 10
SIAS Group: Italian motorway concessions Status of the Concession/Financial Plan Concessionexpiry Approved SATAP S.p.A. Torino-Milano 2026 SATAP S.p.A. Torino-Piacenza 2017 a a a (1) SAV S.p.A. Quincinetto-Aosta 2032 ATIVA S.p.A. Torino ringroad, Torino-Quincinetto, Ivrea-Santhià e Torino-Pinerolo 2016 a SALT S.p.A. Sestri Levante-Livorno, Viareggio-Lucca e Fornola-La Spezia 2019 a (1) ADF S.p.A. Savona-Ventimiglia 2021 a (1) CISA S.p.A. La Spezia-Parma (and junction to the Brennero motorway) 2031 a (2) a (3) ASTI-CUNEO (1) Concession schemes signed on September 2, 2009 (to date, the effectiveness of the concessions are subject to the authorisation procedure of the Law no. 286/06) (2) An EU infringement procedure was opened upon the extension of the concession to 2031 (final resolution is expected soon). (3) 23,5 years starting from the completion of the infrastructure 11
GROUP STRUCTURE • FINANCIAL RESULTS • TARIFF INCREASES AND INVESTMENT PLAN • INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT – CHILE • CONCLUSION 12
ASTM – 1H09 EBITDA BY SECTOR 1H 09 EBITDA 211 EBITDA margin 55% MOTORWAY SECTOR 94% ENGINEERING SECTOR 2% CONSTRUCTION SECTOR TECHNOLOGICAL SECTOR 2% 2% 13
ASTM – NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Eu mn) 30/6/2009 31/12/2008 208 - (210) (1.387) 221 30 (294) (1.338) Cash and cash equivalents Financial receivables Short-term indebtedness Long-term indebtedness (1.381) (1.389) NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (1.741) (1.740) Including the NPV OF THE “CENTRAL GUARANTEE FUND” DEBT Short-term indebtedness 18,0% Long-term indebtedness 82,0% 30/6/2009 14
AUTOCISA SIAS 1H09 EBITDA BY SECTOR A4 Stretch 18,5% 16,7% 9,5% A21 Stretch 15,7% CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 2% 24,1% 5,8% 96% MOTORWAY SECTOR 5,7% (1) TECHNOLOGICAL SECTOR 2% 1H 09 EBITDA 207 EBITDA margin 55% (1) ATIVA is consolidated on a “proportionate basis” (41,17%) 15
SIAS – NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (Eu mn) 30/6/2009 31/12/2008 192 - (212) (1.478) 201 30 (295) (1.429) Cash and cash equivalents Financial receivables Short-term indebtedness Long-term indebtedness (1.493) (1.498) NET FINANCIAL INDEBTEDNESS (1.854) (1.849) Including the NPV OF THE “CENTRAL GUARANTEE FUND” DEBT Short-term indebtedness 17,1% Long-term indebtedness 82,9% 30/6/2009 16
SIAS – DEBT ANALYSIS BY MATURITY 2010 9,8% 2011- 2014 21% 2015-onward 69,2% . Debt at fixed rate/hedges : 77% of consolidated debt (approx. 3.8%) . Debt at floating rate : 23% of consolidated debt (Euribor +35b.p.115b.p.) 17
ISSUE SIZE: 335 Eu millions (N° 31,9 millions bonds) BONDS HELD BY THE GAVIO GROUP: N° 9,8 millions (31%) PAR VALUE: 10,50 Eu DURATION: 12 yrs (2005 – 2017) INTEREST: 2,625% CONVERSION RIGHT: • FROM THE END OF THE 5TH YEAR • 1:1 AT PAR SIAS - BOND 18
GROUP STRUCTURE • FINANCIAL RESULTS • TARIFF INCREASES AND INVESTMENT PLAN • INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT – CHILE • CONCLUSION 19
SIAS GROUP – TARIFF INCREASES (2009) A) CONCESSION AGREEMENTS RENEGOTIATED IN PREVIOUS YEARS (%) (1) • Refers to “Productivity factor” 20
SIAS GROUP – TARIFF INCREASES (2009) cont’d (1) (1) B) CONCESSION AGREEMENTS RECENTLY RENEGOTIATED (%) (2) • 2009 Group average tariff increase : +5% • Concession schemes have been signed on September 2, 2009 (to date, the effectiveness of the concessions • are subject to the authorisation procedure of the Law no. 286/06) • (2) Based on 1/5 – 31/12/2009 period (+7.5%: full year) 21
SIAS GROUP – TARIFF INCREASES – KEY COMPONENTS (2010 – ONWARD) A) CONCESSION AGREEMENTS RENEGOTIATED IN PREVIOUS YEARS (%) 22
SIAS GROUP – TARIFF INCREASES – KEY COMPONENTS (2010 – ONWARD) cont’d (1) B) CONCESSION AGREEMENTS RECENTLY RENEGOTIATED (%) Until the expiry of the concession agreements, has been agreed a “price cap” formula linking the minimum annual rate of toll increased to 70% of the “actual” inflation rate • Concession schemes have been signed on September 2, 2009 (to date, the effectiveness of the concessions are subject to the authorisation procedure of the Law no. 286/06) 23
SIAS GROUP - INVESTMENT PLAN (1) (1) (1) (2) (3) (4) Open talks with EIB and Cassa Depositi e Prestiti for financing part the above investment programme (1) Concession schemes have been signed on September 2, 2009; (2) The financial plan and the final amount of the investment will be reviewed upon approval of the “executive project”; terminal value of 1,6 bn is granted at the end of the concession (2031) (3) Inclusive of additional 0,5 bn currently under discussion with ANAS; the financial plan and the final amount of the investment will be reviewed upon approval of the “executive project”. (4) Gross of Government grants by € 0.2 bn. 24
GROUP STRUCTURE • FINANCIAL RESULTS • TARIFF INCREASES AND INVESTMENT PLAN • INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT – CHILE • CONCLUSION 25
BUSINESS CONSOLIDATION OPPORTUNITIES ACHIEVED CRITICAL MASS PARTNERSHIP/CO-INVESTMENTS TO MINIMIZE BUSINESS RISK ACQUISITION OF 3 CHILEAN MOTORWAYS HAS BEEN COMPLETED ON JUNE 30, 2009 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT: CHILE JOINT ACQUISITION WITH ATLANTIA IN SANTIAGO AREA 26
I II Metropolitan Area of Santiago Transaction Highlights III SIAS has contibuted assets of Santiago area in a new vehicle equally controlled with Atlantia indicatively financed with 50% equity/50% debt Equity contribution: SIAS (approx. € 68 mil., inclusive of a share premium by € 41mil.) and Atlantia (approx. € 27 mil) SIASand Atlantiaalready hold a 45% interest each in Autostrade Sud America (ASA), which controls Costanera Norte, a 43 Km toll road in Santiago The new vehicle will merge with ASA IV V RM VI V VII RM Santiago VIII VI IX VII X Nogales Puchuncavi Los Andes XI Rationale Viña del Mar Valparaiso Colina Algarrobo Synergies in the Santiago area leveraging on the existing operating platform Santiago San Antonio XII Melipilla Area V INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT: CHILE 27
INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT: CHILE EBITDA 2008 Equity value pre-leverage Net debt 2008 Net debt/ EBITDA Asset Remarks Stake Assets in Santiago contributed in APC (a new vehicle equally controlled by SIAS and Atlantia) Combined EV/EBITDA 22.4x New vehicle to merge with Costanera (2) Vespucio Sur 50% 25 201 8.0x Red Vial Litoral Central 50% 4 62 15.5.x 262 Nororiente 100% n.a.(1) 125 n.m. (1) Joint vehicle SIAS / Atlantia (3) Costanera Norte 90%(4) 38 330 8.7x • Opened to traffic beginning of March 2009 • 24.2x EV/EBITDA for Costanera Norte (EV/EBITDA multiple implied in the acquisition of the call option held by Impregilo Group on 10% of the share capital of Costanera Norte’s parent company, Autopista do Pacifico) • Inclusive of transaction costs • 45% stake held by SIAS and 45% stake held by Atlantia 28
Concession start-end Remarks Tariff formula Km Vespucio Sur Red Vial Litoral Central Nororiente • Committed Governement subsidies • Possible 8 year concession extension (1) • Congestion pricing (2) 24 80 21 2002-2032 2001-2031 2009-2044 100% CPI + 3.5% 100% CPI 100% CPI + 3.5% • Minimum guaranteed income • Committed Governement subsidies • Minimum guaranteed income • Committed Governement subsidies INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT: CHILE • Alternative to the reimbursement by the Ministry of Public Works at the end of the concession (with matured interests) of the extra cost incurred during construction • Tariffs may double when average speed is below 70 km/hour and may triple when average speed is below 50 km/hour 29
GROUP STRUCTURE • FINANCIAL RESULTS • TARIFF INCREASES AND INVESTMENT PLAN • INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT – CHILE • CONCLUSION 30
TRAFFIC RELATIVELY RESILIENT TO ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN TARIFF INCREASES LINKED TO THE SIGNIFICANT ONGOING INVESTMENT PLAN (AND TO 70% OF THE “ACTUAL” INFLATION RATE FOR THE RECENTLY RENEGOTIATED CONCESSION AGREEMENTS) OPERATIONS FINALLY, THE “NEW” CONCESSION AGREEMENTS FULLY DISPLAYED THE EFFECTS [e.g. TARIFF INCREASES] NO LONGER COMPULSORY TO TENDER OUT WORKS UP TO 60% OF TOTAL VALUE (ART. 29 OF LAW DECREE NO. 207/2008) REGULATION FOCUS ON FEW SELECTED OPPORTUNITIES WITH LIMITED EQUITY COMMITMENT INVOLVEMENT OF OTHER PARTNERS IN ACQUISITIONS OF NON MATURE OR HIGHLY LEVERED ASSETS INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT STABLE PAY-OUT DESPITE INVESTMENTS’ PEAK DIVIDEND POLICY FINANCIAL STRATEGY LARGE SAFETY MARGIN IN TERM OF RE-FINANCING ACCESS TO LONG-TERM SOURCES OF FUNDING [e.g. EIB and CDP] CONCLUSION 31
Disclaimer THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN PREPARED BY ASTM S.P.A. AND SIAS S.P.A. (THE “COMPANIES”) FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE DESCRIBED HEREIN. IN NO CASE MAY IT BE INTERPRETED AS AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO SELL OR PURCHASE ANY SECURITY ISSUED BY THE COMPANY OR ITS SUBSIDIARIES. THE CONTENT OF THIS DOCUMENT HAS A MERELY INFORMATIVE AND PROVISIONAL NATURE AND THE STATEMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN HAVE NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED. NEITHER THE COMPANIES NOR ANY OF ITS REPRESENTATIVES SHALL ACCEPT ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (WHETHER IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) ARISING IN ANY WAY FROM THE USE OF THIS DOCUMENT. THIS DOCUMENT MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, TO ANY OTHER PERSON. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN AND OTHER MATERIAL DISCUSSED AT THE PRESENTATION MAY INCLUDE FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE NOT HISTORICAL FACTS, INCLUDING STATEMENTS ABOUT THE COMPANIES’ BELIEFS AND EXPECTATIONS. THESE STATEMENTS ARE BASED ON CURRENT PLANS, ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS, AND PROJECTS. HOWEVER, FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE INHERENT RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES. WE CAUTION YOU THAT A NUMBER OF FACTORS COULD CAUSE THE COMPANIES’ ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE CONTAINED IN ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT. THEREFORE, YOU SHOUD NOT PLACE UNDUE RELIANCE ON SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. 32
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