Regional Demographics Mid-Missouri Economic Summit Capitol Plaza Hotel Jefferson City, MO June 29, 2007

1. Regional Demographics Mid-Missouri Economic Summit Capitol Plaza Hotel Jefferson City, MO June 29, 2007 Bill Elder, Director Office of Social & Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA) University of Missouri—Columbia

2. Population and Economic Change Demographics of Growth in Mid-Missouri Trends in Missouri by County Mid-Missouri Components of Growth 2006 Place Population Estimates Regional Economic Development Trends Discussion.. Overview Wh` Why what you are doing is so important ……

3. Population Change 2000-2006 U.S.: 299,398,484 (6.4%) Missouri: 5,842,713 (4.4%) Dark Green States > 12 % Five states account for 50% of the nation’s population growth * * * * *

4. Employment Employment in Missouri increased by 33,100 from April 2006 to April 2007, seasonally adjusted. Source: MERIC and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

8. “The Perfect Storm” “The Kauffman New Economy Report” How Flat is our world? Opportunities in Economic Change

9. Divergent skill distributions The changing economy Demographic shifts Educational Testing Service

10. Divergent skill distributions Flat NAEP scores High school graduation slacking Poor literacy and math skills Race and ethnic gaps

11. The changing economy Declining manufacturing – more service Two thirds of job growth has been associated with college-level jobs College grads earn 51% more than H.S. grads Earning premiums reward education & skill

12. Demographic shifts Labor force will grow more slowly Impact of the baby boom.. Dependence on International migration Increasing Hispanic population – with lower levels of educational attainment

14. Dynamic Markets Global Competition Networked Organizations Flexible Production Intellectual Property and Knowledge Digitization – Broadband… Broad and Changing Skill Sets Entrepreneurial Collaborative Relations “The New Economy”

15. Missouri Declined - 28th in 2002 - 35th in 2007 Is Mid-Missouri part of the New Economy?

16. The World is Flat – “new oil wells” -- Thomas Friedman Making Globalization Work -- Joseph Stiglitz Networking Diverse Assets, especially human capital…”collaboration” is hard How f l a t the world is depends on where your standing..

17. Camden Boone Morgan Miller Callaway Cooper Osage Randolph Cole Moniteau Audrain Howard

21. Enrollment ChangeFrom 1.4% to 2.8% in 5 years

23. SOURCE: Census Bureau/NCHS. Projection algorithm, programming by OSEDA Chart Prepared by: University of Missouri Extension, Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis 24March2006

32. Camden Boone Morgan Miller Callaway Cooper Osage Randolph Cole Moniteau Audrain Howard

33. Population Change 2000-2006In Mid-Missouri

34. Regional Population Change 2000-2006Counties Higher than the State Rate

35. Regional Population Change 2000-2006Counties Lower than the State Rate

36. Components of Change

37. Components of Change

38. 2006 Population Place Estimates Source: U.S. Census

39. 2006 Population Estimates Source: U.S. Census

40. 2006 Population Estimates Source: U.S. Census

41. Regional Economic Share 2007 Missouri Economic Report St. Louis County 21% Jackson County 11% Upper South Central 3.6% Central 6.5%

42. Upper South Central Central Source: MERIC

43. New Businesses per 1,000 Population, 2006 Source: MERIC

44. Retail Share 2005 Source: MERIC, MO Dept. of Revenue, U.S. BEA and U.S. Census Bureau

45. Missouri Projected Employment Growth by Sector 2004-2014 Source: MERIC

46. DED Target Industries • Financial Services • Life Sciences • Automotive • Defense/Homeland Security • Information Technology • Agribusiness • Energy • Transportation/Logistics

47. DED Target Industries What’s in store for Mid-Missouri?

48. Population Change 2000-2006In Mid-Missouri Mid-Missouri’s most valuable resources for development is its human capital

49. Google MERIC For additional information …..

50. Google OSEDA For additional information …..