1 / 35

Advanced Ensemble Forecasting Techniques for Weather Prediction

Explore the use of ensemble forecasting techniques and probabilistic models for improving weather predictions and addressing predictability challenges. Discover Ensemble Plume and Spaghetti Diagrams along with Track Forecasting tools. Gain insights into real-time forecasting guidance resources.

annaedwards
Download Presentation

Advanced Ensemble Forecasting Techniques for Weather Prediction

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. ATM 401/501Ensemble Forecasting

  2. See related “Map” post from 6 May 2013: NH springtime “spin down” and predictability issues (click for link)

  3. 2009

  4. Ensemble Plume Diagrams

  5. Ensemble Plume Diagrams http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/cordeira/WEB/PHD/real-time/

  6. http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/index.htm

  7. http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/index.htm

  8. http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/index.htm

  9. http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/index.htm

  10. Ensemble Track Forecasting

  11. Ensemble Track Forecasting

  12. Postage Stamp view of 384-hour GFS Ensemble Forecast… Init: 0600 UTC 8 February / Valid 0600 UTC 24 February 2011 http://www.atmos.albany.edu/products/gefsplots/

  13. Postage Stamp view of 24-hour GFS Ensemble Forecast… Init: 0600 UTC 8 February / Valid 0600 UTC 9 February 2011 http://www.atmos.albany.edu/products/gefsplots/

  14. Ensemble Spaghetti

  15. Ensemble Spaghetti

  16. Ensemble Spaghetti

  17. Ensemble Spaghetti

  18. Ensemble Spaghetti

  19. Ensemble Spaghetti

  20. Ensemble Spaghetti

  21. Ensemble Spaghetti

  22. Ensemble QPF Probabilities 24-hr Forecast 48-hr Forecast 72-hr Forecast 96-hr Forecast Prob of QPF > 0.25”

More Related