1 / 12

PUTIN IN PERSPECTIVE PROFESSOR RICHARD ROSE FBA University of Strathclyde cspp.strath.ac.uk

PUTIN IN PERSPECTIVE PROFESSOR RICHARD ROSE FBA University of Strathclyde www.cspp.strath.ac.uk www.RussiaVotes.org SCOTTISH RUSSIA FORUM Edinburgh 22 March 2012. 2. 3. Notes : n.a.: The party did not stand in the 2011 election.

annick
Download Presentation

PUTIN IN PERSPECTIVE PROFESSOR RICHARD ROSE FBA University of Strathclyde cspp.strath.ac.uk

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. PUTIN IN PERSPECTIVE PROFESSOR RICHARD ROSE FBA University of Strathclyde www.cspp.strath.ac.uk www.RussiaVotes.org SCOTTISH RUSSIA FORUM Edinburgh 22 March 2012

  2. 2

  3. 3 Notes: n.a.: The party did not stand in the 2011 election. 1 In 2011 and 2007 all 450 seats were assigned by the largest remainder method to lists of parties winning a minimum of 7.0 percent of the national vote. 2 Created in 2008 on the basis of three liberal parties Civic Strength, Democratic Party of Russia and Union of Right Forces. 3 Part of a bloc with Party of Pensioners. Source: Central Electoral Commission, http://www.vybory.izbirkom.ru, accessed 22.02.12

  4. 4

  5. 5 EVALUATION OF CURRENT REGIME 3b. Here is a scale ranking how well our system of government works. The top, plus 100, is the best and the bottom, minus 100, is the worst. Where on this scale would you put our current system of government? % Percent responding Positive Negative

  6. 6 WHAT MATTERS FOR REGIME SUPPORT: FOUR HYPOTHESES Differences in regime support depend on ♦1. Socialization: What individuals have learned from their roles in society. ♦2. Politics: How individuals evaluate the performance of political institutions. ♦3. Economics: How individuals evaluate household and national economic conditions. ♦4. Time: When individuals make evaluations and how long the new regime has been in place.

  7. 7 EVALUATION OF CURRENT ECONOMIC SYSTEM 1b. Here is a scale ranking how well an economy works. The top, plus 100, is the best and the bottom, minus 100, is the worst. Where on this scale would you put our current economic system? % Percent responding Positive Negative

  8. 8 WHAT'S CHANGED? ♦ Not the economy: GDP growth in 2011: 4.2% ♦ Not corruption. Russia still low by Transparency International standards ♦ New middle class?

  9. 9 HOW TYPICAL ARE THE DEMONSTRATORS? Demonstrators Moscovites Russians % % % Age under 35 50% 34% University education 83% 46% 39% Income good 72% 52% 23% Duma vote Yabloko 37% 7% 3% United R <1% 18% 49% Source: Levada Centre surveys, December, 2011

  10. 10 HOW MUCH SYMPATHY FOR THE DEMONSTRATORS

  11. 11 HOW MUCH SYMPATHY FOR VLADIMIR PUTIN?

  12. 12 HOW PRACTICAL ARE THE DEMANDS OF DEMONSTRATORS? Annul elections ? Get rid of corruption ?

More Related