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Future potentials of optimisation systems. Dr. Markus Montigel Friday, 18 th January 2013 ETH Zürich. 22.05.2003. What have we done ?. What have we done ?. Achievement 1: Timetable stability. Energy Saving. [4]. What to optimise in Train Traffic ?. Capacity? Energy consumption?
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Future potentials of optimisation systems Dr. Markus Montigel Friday, 18th January 2013 ETH Zürich
22.05.2003 IT13.rail
What have we done? IT13.rail
What have we done? Achievement 1: Timetable stability IT13.rail
Energy Saving [4] IT13.rail
What to optimise in Train Traffic? • Capacity? • Energy consumption? • Punctuality? • Travel time? • Wear and Tear? • All of it??? • Flexible Optimisation? IT13.rail
What to optimise in Train Traffic? • Some of the possible optimisation goals are potentially conflicting • E.g.: capacity vs. punctuality • To define optimisation goals is a task of a company’s strategy • Processes and systems must then implement such a strategy IT13.rail
Conflict-based Approach • Acquire Actual State • Iteratively • Create real-time forecast • Detect conflicts • Evaluate conflict resolution proposals • Acceptance of conflict resolution • Make Decision • Adjusting the operating program and the control data • Generate speed recommendations for trains IT13.rail
Tolerance Band IT13.rail
Introduction State of the art Methodology used ConclusionandFuturework Integration of TMS and ATO • TMS Framework • ATO Framework ? IT13.rail
Develop a business case • Deliver Business Performance – how? • How to start such an initiative? • Consider potential goals of optimisation • Develop business case • Considered LBL experiences and extrapolated to case of Switzerland (estimates) IT13.rail
Factors considered • Energy conservation • Reduction of time loss due to conflicts • Increase of capacity • Decrease of maintenance due to reduces wear and tear • Smoother experience for passengers IT13.rail
Ready made business case • Energy conservation 35 Mio CHF • Reduction of time loss due to conflicts 48 Mio CHF • Increase of capacity 385 Mio CHF • Decrease of maintenance due to reduces wear and tear 20 Mio CHF • Smoother experience for passengers ? IT13.rail
Thanks for your attention IT13.rail