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M.J. Evans 1 , I Bey 2 , A.M. Fiore 3 , G. Folberth 2 , V. Huijnen 4 , S. Koumoutsaris 2 , P. Moinat 5 , M. Schultz 6 , S. Schröder 6 ,ITOP/INTEX/NEAQS 7 1 School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, 2 EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland ,
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M.J. Evans1, I Bey2, A.M. Fiore3, G. Folberth2, V. Huijnen4, S. Koumoutsaris2, P. Moinat5, M. Schultz6, S. Schröder6,ITOP/INTEX/NEAQS7 1 School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, 2 EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland, 3 NOAA GFDL, 201 Forrestal Rd, Princeton, NJ, USA, 4 Climate Research - Chemistry and Climate, KNMI, De Bilt, The Netherlands, 5 CNRM, Toulouse, France 6 Forschungszentrum Jülich, ICG-2: Troposphäre, Jülich, Germany 7 ITOP/INTEX/NEAQS Science teams HTAP model (inter) comparisons
Actors: ‘Never work with animals or children’ Modellers: ‘Never do a model inter-comparison’ You know the conclusion ‘The models differed due to a complex set of processes involving, chemistry, photolysis, aerosols, advection, convection, diffusion, wet deposition, dry deposition, emissions, the stratosphere, the ocean*, ………… * Choose your favourite three processes Multi-model comparisons / evaluations
‘Passive’ tracers Oliver Wild Annual full chemistry Arlene Fiore . Campaign full chemistry ? Future climates 4 Sets of model comparisons
‘Passive’ tracers Oliver Wild Annual full chemistry Arlene Fiore Campaign full chemistry Mat Evans + Isabelle Bey Future climates 4 Sets of model comparisons
MOZART TOMCAT MOCAGE MOZECH x 2 GEOS-Chem TM5 CAMCHEM (?) Current models
Standard comparisons….. Plans
Standard comparisons….. Plans
Other approaches – more fun ….. Cluster analysis Principal components Some of these approaches have been used to analyse the ITOP observations. Now apply to the models Plans
We will make the along flight model and measurement files public Hopefully find a way of ‘usefully’ comparing model capabilities to simulate long range transport of pollution Should inform the HTAP process Final thoughts