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MERA November 26, 2013. Accountability Programs. Priority School Study Scorecard Analyses House Bill 5112 Overview. Outline. Priority Schools have existed for four years. They experience challenges in: Student achievement, gap closure, growth and graduation rates
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MERA November 26, 2013 Accountability Programs
Priority School Study Scorecard Analyses House Bill 5112 Overview Outline
Priority Schools have existed for four years. • They experience challenges in: • Student achievement, gap closure, growth and graduation rates • Building and district leadership, effective classroom instruction, building a culture and climate geared to success, and school governance Priority Schools Background
Top to Bottom (TTB) Components • Student achievement level • Individual student progress or schoolwide improvement • Size of the within-school achievement gap • Graduation rate and improvement in graduation rate (high school only) Methodology Overview
Identification of Priority Schools • Bottom 5% on the TTB list • Grad rate less than 60% for three years running • Identification versus Intervention • Intervention for at least four years • Re-identification every year Priority School Identification
20% proficiency rate - 21 proficient - 84 not proficient 4.8% annual decline in proficiency 10
35% proficiency rate - 88 proficient - 158 not proficient 1.5% annual increase in proficiency 11
55% proficiency rate - 64 proficient - 52 not proficient 6.5% annual increase in proficiency 12
Same Priority School as Before • 20% proficiency rate • Achievement gap a little less than 2 standard deviations smaller than the state average 16
Same Mid-Level Comparison School as Before • 35% proficiency rate • Achievement gap a little larger than the state average 17
Same High-Level Comparison School as Before • 55% proficiency rate • Achievement gap a little more than 1 standard deviation larger than the state average 18
Same Priority School as Before • 64% graduation rate • 4% annual improvement in graduation rate 22
Same Mid-Level Comparison School as Before • 79% graduation rate • 1% annual improvement in graduation rate 23
Same High-Level Comparison School as Before • 95% graduation rate • 2% annual improvement in graduation rate 24
Overall Colors Building-Level: • Green = 93 • Lime = 0 • Yellow = 2598 • Orange = 184 • Red = 481 2012-13 School Scorecard Results
Out of 93 Green schools, 49 schools have no proficiency data (participation, compliance factors) • 2893 schools had at least one red proficiency cell for the Bottom 30% subgroup • Overall color drops to yellow with at least one red cell • 162 schools had 10 or less possible points: • 41 green • 36 yellow • 20 orange • 65 red A Brief Analysis
Safe Harbor is currently met when meeting the state’s rate of improvement at the 80th percentile • 350 buildings made Safe Harbor in at least one content area and subgroup Safe Harbor
Alternate color scale for schools with small amount of possible points (162 with 10 or less) • Example scenario: • X >= 75% = Green = 41 schools (no change) • 60% <= x < 75% = Lime = 0 schools (no change) • 50% <= x < 60% = Yellow = 53 schools (+17) • 40% <= x < 50% = Orange = 7 schools (-13) • X < 40% = Red = 61 schools (-4) Small Schools Scale Change Scenario
Schools with 10 possible points or less and no audits • Example scenario: • X >= 75% = Green = 46 schools (+5) • 60% <= x < 75% = Lime = 2 schools (+2) • 50% <= x < 60% = Yellow = 46 schools (+10) • 40% <= x < 50% = Orange = 7 schools (-13) • X < 40% = Red = 61 schools (-4) Small Schools Alternate Scale And No Audits
Schools with 10 possible points or less, no audits, Safe Harbor threshold = 65th percentile • Example scenario: • X >= 75% = Green = 53 schools (+12) • 60% <= x < 75% = Lime = 0 schools (no change) • 50% <= x < 60% = Yellow = 81 schools (+45) • 40% <= x < 50% = Orange = 3 schools (-17) • X < 40% = Red = 25 schools (-40) Small Schools Alternate Scale, No Audits, Modified Safe Harbor
Add an indicator for new schools/schools without proficiency points meeting non-proficiency areas (participation, compliance, etc.) • 49 schools in 2012-13 would have met this criteria New Schools Possible Changes for 2013-14
Change audit rules for proficiency cells • Example Scenario: • 1 red cell = overall green • 2 red cells = overall lime • > 2 red cells = overall yellow minimum • Results for 2012-13: • 168 green (+75) • 143 lime (+143) • 2380 yellow (-218) • 184 orange • 481 red Proficiency Cell Audit Scenarios
Change audit rules for proficiency cells – example 2 • Example Scenario: • 0 red cells = overall green • 1 red cell = overall lime • > 1 red cell = overall yellow minimum • Results for 2012-13: • 93 green • 86 lime (+86) • 2512 yellow (-86) • 184 orange • 481 red Proficiency Cell Audit Scenarios
Change audit rules for proficiency cells – example 3 • Example Scenario: • 2 red cells = overall green • 5 red cells = overall lime • > 5 red cells = overall yellow minimum • Results for 2012-13: • 229 green (+136) • 1264 lime (+1264) • 1198 yellow (-1400) • 184 orange • 481 red Proficiency Cell Audit Scenarios
Modify Safe Harbor so the threshold is the 65th percentile instead of the 80th • 2012-13 results affect orange, yellow, and red counts: • 93 green • 0 lime • 2806 yellow (+208) • 96 orange (-88) • 361 red (-120) Safe Harbor Scenarios
All Students cells with low (10 or less) FAY numbers • No points for all students cells with low (under 10) FAY students • Display color but do not award points and do not include in audit checks • 2012-13 Results: • 134 green (+41) • 3 lime (+3) • 2569 yellow (-29) • 172 orange (-12) • 478 red (-3) Low FAY Possible Change for 2013-14
Do not display all students cells for third, fourth, or fifth content area - only display two content areas with most FAY students • 2012-13 Results: • 93 green • 0 lime • 2758 yellow (+160) • 111 orange (-73) • 394 red (-87) Low FAY Possible Changes for 2013-14 Alternate 2
Need Stakeholder input – internal and external • Watch for MDE survey asking for feedback • Finalize recommendations • Submit amendments with ESEA Flexibility extension in February 2014 Change Process
Starting in 2016 - letter grade system A-F • Buildings containing grades K-8: • One point for each 1% of pupils scoring in performance levels 1 or 2 in each of the five content areas • One point for each 1% of pupils making annual growth in reading/math • One point for each 1% of included pupils in the bottom 30% making annual growth in reading/math • Buildings containing grades 9-12: • Points system • At least 50% of points based on pupil proficiency • Balance of points based on graduation rate, measures of college and career readiness, and learning gains Proposed Legislation
Points are summed and schools assigned a grade based on annually determined grading scale. Two separate scales will exist for K-8 and 9-12 buildings • Initial grade distribution: • 10% of schools receive A • 28% of schools receive B • 31% of schools receive C • 28% of schools receive D • 5% of schools receive F • Grading scale can be changed to ensure 5% of schools receive F grades, or when greater than 74% of schools received an A or B grade in preceding year • Schools that do not contain all of grades K-8 or 9-12 will have modified grading scales to reflect total possible points that may be achieved with the grade configuration Proposed Legislation cont’d
For schools and districts • Letter grades for current year and the preceding two years • Number of teachers and administrators rated effective or highly effective • Total number of teachers and administrators Proposed Reporting Requirements
Buildings containing both spans (K-8 and 9-12) will get a separate grade for each span • Buildings in operation for at least three years shall be ordered closed or placed under supervision of State School Reform Office if: • Receive a grade of F for two or more years in a four year span AND • Identified in the lowest 5% of all schools in learning gains for two or more years in a four year span Other Items of Note in Proposal
MDE shall not establish any other evaluation or ranking system for public schools • Statutory or regulatory reports can be waived for schools consistently maintaining a grade of A or B • Schools fitting certain criteria (SDA, 95% SE pop, etc.) can be designated Alternative Education Campuses • No letter grade • Assigned “Maintaining” or “Failing” status • Maintaining = pupils making meaningful, measurable academic progress toward educational goals Other Items of Note in Proposal cont’d
877-560-8378 mde-accountability@michigan.gov Contact