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THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011

THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011. Commitment on climate change. Geneva, 2008. The four-pillar strategy. Invest in new technology Including sustainable aviation biofuels Fly using more efficient operations Build and use efficient infrastructure Use effective economic measures.

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THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011

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  1. THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011

  2. Commitment on climate change Geneva, 2008

  3. The four-pillar strategy • Invest in new technology • Including sustainable aviation biofuels • Fly using more efficient operations • Build and use efficient infrastructure • Use effective economic measures

  4. Global industry targets 2010 2020 2050 1.5% p/a fuel efficiency Working towards CNG CNG from 2020 Implementation of global sectoral approach 50% reduction in net CO2 emissions over 2005 levels • Goals are at the global level – not States or operators • Goals do not mean slowing down the growth of aviation

  5. CNG 2020 Emissions reduction roadmap No action CO2 emissions “Frozen technology” emissions Gross emissions trajectory -50% by 2050 (schematic) 2050 2010 2005 2020 2030 2040

  6. CNG 2020 Emissions reduction roadmap “Frozen technology” emissions Known technology, operations and infrastructure measures Carbon-neutral growth 2020 Gross emissions trajectory No action CO2 emissions Tech Ops Infra -50% by 2050 (schematic) 2050 2010 2005 2020 2030 2040

  7. Emissions reduction roadmap “Frozen technology” emissions Known technology, operations and infrastructure measures Biofuels and additional technology Carbon-neutral growth 2020 Gross emissions trajectory Economic measures No action CO2 emissions Tech Ops Infra Biofuels + add. Tech CNG 2020 -50% by 2050 (schematic) 2050 2010 2005 2020 2030 2040

  8. TAXES SOME POLICYMAKERS BELIEVE ARE THE ANSWER

  9. Uncoordinated patchwork “Green” taxes $1.2bn $3.5bn $0.2bn $100m $6bn? $ ? $ ? $ ? $ ? $ ? $ ? $ ? $ ? $ 1-13 bn $ 4 mn Emissions trading

  10. CONVINCE POLICYMAKERS THAT A GLOBAL APPROACH IS THE ONLY WAY FORWARD

  11. Global policy developments ICAOAssembly2010 • Positives: • First ever global sectoral agreement on CO2 • Reflects aspirational industry goal of carbon-neutral growth from 2020 • Lists 15 principles for MBMs, in line with industry priorities, e.g. • Transparency and simplicity • No duplication • Minimise leakage and distortion • Appropriate access to all carbon markets

  12. Lack of political urgency EU ETS Distraction Developed vs. developing country approaches CBDR issue Mitigation vs. adaptation Political and technical challenges • Avoid competitive distortion • Level – playing field • Reward early adopters • Accommodate fast growth markets

  13. Moving the political agenda • Remind policy makers of the social and economic benefits of aviation • Continue to deliver industry contribution to targets • Call upon governments to deliver on their part • Work with ICAO to further their agenda • Above all, work collaboratively across industry, government and civil society

  14. THE WAY FORWARD HONG KONG, SEPTEMBER 2011 14

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