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Northwest Colorado Resource Impact Study

Northwest Colorado Resource Impact Study. Project Objectives. Document current conditions, growth pressures and complexity of current economy in 6-county region Model the impacts of energy development on: Population Employment Tax Revenues Local government expenditures

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Northwest Colorado Resource Impact Study

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  1. Northwest ColoradoResource Impact Study

  2. Project Objectives • Document current conditions, growth pressures and complexity of current economy in 6-county region • Model the impacts of energy development on: • Population • Employment • Tax Revenues • Local government expenditures • Demonstrate distribution of growth spatially • Develop “what if” scenario analysis • Show effects of traditional energy sources andoil shale growth

  3. Project Team • BBC Research & Consulting • Considerable Relevant Experience: • Socioeconomic modeling • Western Slope economies • Energy/tourism/water • Public-sector finance • Land use evaluation • ForeSee Consulting—Mapping andLand Use

  4. Project Management • People you may be hearing from: • Doug Jeavons—Project Oversight • Todd Pickton/Kevin Williams—Economic Modeling • Ford Frick/Adam Orens—Public-Sector Finance • Steve Mullen—Mapping

  5. Project Study Area • Study Area Includes: • Routt County • Moffat County • Rio Blanco County • Garfield County • Mesa County • Delta County • Study will address interstate impactswhere applicable

  6. Work Plan – 9 Elements • Reporting & Communications • Task force process • Public meetings • Existing Conditions Analysis • Six counties • Work with Dept. of Local Affairs • Development Scenarios • Define “energy” futures • Multiple scenarios

  7. Work Plan – 9 Elements • Baseline Projections • Work with State Demographer • Add traditional energy sector • Define Oil Shale Scenarios • Develop assumptions • Show multiple scenarios • Impact of Energy-related Development • Conventional energy scenario • Cumulative scenario

  8. Work Plan – 9 Elements • Spatial Consequences of Growth • Determine where, how much • Evaluate local jurisdictional capacities • Utilize Mapping software • Agricultural losses • Visual representations

  9. Work Plan – 9 Elements • Fiscal Consequences of Growth • Municipal & county templates • Costs of growth—operating & capital • Revenue impacts • Report • Model completion • Documentation

  10. Project Schedule • Project Initiation: July 2007 • Draft Model: January 2008 • Final Model: April 2008 • Project Completion: May 2008

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