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The Freshman On-Track Rate: A Leading Indicator of High School Graduation

The Freshman On-Track Rate: A Leading Indicator of High School Graduation. John Q. Easton Consortium on Chicago School Research July 2, 2008. Students with five or more full-year credits No more than one semester F in a core subject (English, math, science or social science)

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The Freshman On-Track Rate: A Leading Indicator of High School Graduation

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  1. The Freshman On-Track Rate:A Leading Indicator of High School Graduation John Q. Easton Consortium on Chicago School Research July 2, 2008

  2. Students with five or more full-year credits No more than one semester F in a core subject (English, math, science or social science) Note that this is a very low bar given that students need 24 credits to graduate Who is on-track?

  3. How is On-Track Related to Graduation?

  4. How is On-Track Related to Graduation?

  5. Graduation Rates 70 60 50 40 Percent of Students Graduation 30 20 10 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

  6. Graduation and On-Track Rates 70 60 50 40 Percent of Students Graduation On-track 30 20 10 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

  7. Even moderate amounts of absence/course cutting can have large effects on grades Freshmen who miss 10 days of class per semester flunk, on average, at least two classes—no matter whether they arrive at high school with top test scores or bottom test scores Students with high test scores who miss 2 weeks per semester are MORE LIKELY TO FAIL than students with low test scores who miss just 1 week per semester

  8. Four-Year Graduation Rates for Freshman Entering High School in 2001 by Freshman GPA 97% 100 93% Average Freshman GPA = 1.9 90 86% 80 72% 70 60 53% 50 Percent Graduated in Four Years 40 28% 30 20 10 6% 1% 0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5+ Freshman GPA (Rounded to the Nearest .5)

  9. What School Factors are Related to Better Attendance and Lower Failures?

  10. What About Better Grades and Test Scores?

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