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The Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling Empirical Model Chain.
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The Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling Empirical Model Chain The Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling empirical model chainconsists of models drawn from a wide variety of sources with the goalof providing sun-to-Earth predictions for space weather research andapplications. The major goal of this chain is to provide a commonframework for empirical models. In this way additional models can beeasily integrated, compared, and validated by members of industry,government, and the broader research community. The chain currentlyconsists of the WSA solar-wind propagation model that uses solarmagnetogram measurements to specify the solar-wind velocity and otherquantities near Earth. Using the velocity as an input driver are twoenergetic electron models, an Ap index model, and a dB/dt model. Empirical Modeling and Knowledge TransferUniversity of Colorado—LASP
D. Baker (CU/LASP) R. Weigel (CU/LASP) D. Vassiliadis (NASA/GSFC) A. Klimas (NASA/GSFC) R. McPherron (UCLA) G. Siscoe (BU) N. Crooker (BU) H. Spence (BU) H. Singer (SEC/NOAA) T. Onsager (SEC/NOAA) N. Arge (SEC/NOAA) Knowledge Transfer and Empirical Modeling Team Empirical Modeling and Knowledge TransferUniversity of Colorado—LASP
Outline of Chain ACE Measurements MeV Electron Flux r V B L1-Earth Propagation External Field Solar Boundary Measurements SW Propagation Surface dB/dt Ap Empirical Modeling and Knowledge TransferUniversity of Colorado—LASP
Sharing Knowledge with Space Physics Community • Common framework allows for rapid addition of new models and ensemble prediction • Models are presented to research community on a web site with documentation and links to other resources Empirical Modeling and Knowledge TransferUniversity of Colorado—LASP
Leveraging Community-Developed models Earth Weimer L1-Earth Propagation Model Tsyganenko External Field model Empirical Modeling and Knowledge TransferUniversity of Colorado—LASP
Sun-to-Earth Modeling and Forecasts Earth Wang-Sheely Model modified by Arge Sun Mount Wilson Observatory Solar Magnetograms Solar Wind Velocity CISM Energetic Electron Models Empirical Modeling and Knowledge TransferUniversity of Colorado—LASP
Sun-to-Earth Modeling and Forecasts Earth Wang-Sheely Model modified by Arge Sun Mount Wilson Observatory Solar Magnetograms Solar Wind Velocity CISM Surface dB/dt Model Empirical Modeling and Knowledge TransferUniversity of Colorado—LASP
Empirical Modeling and Knowledge TransferUniversity of Colorado—LASP