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Preview of The 83rd Texas Legislature Presented to TASSCUBO Vice Chancellor Barry McBee

Preview of The 83rd Texas Legislature Presented to TASSCUBO Vice Chancellor Barry McBee. November 13, 2012. State Budget Forecast for FY 2014 - 2015. Begin By Looking Back to 82 nd Session and Current Budget

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Preview of The 83rd Texas Legislature Presented to TASSCUBO Vice Chancellor Barry McBee

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  1. Preview of The83rd Texas Legislature Presented to TASSCUBOVice Chancellor Barry McBee November 13, 2012

  2. State Budget Forecast forFY 2014 - 2015 • Begin By Looking Back to 82nd Session and Current Budget • Loss of federal stimulus funds and carry-over balances, plus cost of maintaining current services, yielded gap of as much as $27 billion • Gap closed by: • Deferred payments • Medicaid ($4.3 billion) • Foundation School Program ($2.3 billion) • Tax accelerations ($2.5 billion)

  3. State Budget Forecast forFY 2014 - 2015 • Foundation School Program cuts ($40 billion) • Medicaid cost containment ($1.8 billion) • Rainy Day Fund ($3.2 billion) • Cuts ($6.4 billion)

  4. State Budget Forecast forFY 2014 - 2015 • Effect of Improving Texas Economy • Tax receipts continue to improve • 30 straight months of year-over-year sales tax growth • Comptroller raised revenue estimate for current biennium by $2.5 billion • Trends, if continue, will produce even larger surplus • Rainy Day Fund - $8 billion by end of 2013, maybe growing to $10 billion by 2015 • But takes 2/3 vote to spend

  5. State Budget Forecast forFY 2014 - 2015 • Normal Budget Pressures • Structural Budget Gap Due to 2006 Property Tax Reform ($1 billion) • Medicaid Growth ($3 to $5 billion) • Public Schools ($2 billion) • Other (higher education, retirement systems, corrections, etc.) ($1 to $2 billion)

  6. State Budget Forecast forFY 2014 - 2015 • Non-Normal Budget Pressures • Fill $8.8 Billion Gap in one-time money spent in 82nd Session • School Finance Lawsuit ($4 billion - ?) • End of Dedicated Fund Diversions ($3.5 to $4 billion) • Restore Funding Cuts from 82nd Session (?) • Affordable Care Act ($1 to $1.5 billion)

  7. State Budget Forecast forFY 2014 - 2015 • Bottom Line • If current revenue trends continue • Budget next session will be tight, but probably manageable, with some tough decisions • Rainy Day Fund potentially available for extraordinary budget pressures or for critical state infrastructure needs

  8. Higher EducationLegislative Issues • Fund Formulas • Outcomes-based funding for academic institutions • Graduate Medical Education • Nursing Funding • New Tuition Revenue Bonds • Student Financial Aid • Changes to TEXAS Grants to stretch limited funds • Restructuring B-On-Time Loan Program

  9. Higher EducationLegislative Issues • Research Funding: • Texas Competitive Knowledge Fund • Texas Research Incentive Program • Cancer Prevention and Research Institute of Texas (CPRIT) • Norman Hackerman Advanced Research Program • Research Development Fund • Emerging Technology Fund

  10. Higher EducationLegislative Issues • New/Restructured Medical Schools and Health Science Centers • Eliminate Unnecessary Regulatory, Administrative, and Reporting Burdens • Governor Perry’s Agenda • $10,000 degrees • Tuition “freeze” (guaranteed tuition)

  11. Higher Education Legislative Issues • In-state Tuition for Undocumented Students • Veteran’s Benefits Under Hazlewood Act • Other tuition exemptions and waivers • Transfers • Concealed Handguns

  12. Other Major State Issues • Public Education • Finance • Vouchers/Choice • Standardized Testing/End of Course Exams • Workforce Development • 4 x 4 Curriculum • Medicaid Expansion • Transportation • Water • Immigration and Border Security

  13. Other Major State Issues • Women’s Health Issues • Sunset Bills • THECB • TEA • PUC • RRC • TDCJ

  14. Federal Higher Education Issues • Impact of Sequestration • Cuts to research funding • Cuts to student financial assistance • Reauthorization of Higher Education Act • Pell Grant Funding • Student Loan Interest Rates

  15. Changes in Legislature • House • New Partisan balance • 95Republicans • 55Democrats • 49 new members due to incumbents not running or losing primary • 68 freshmen or sophomores • Changes in committee chairs and membership • At least 13 new chairmen • Public Education and Appropriations Education Subcommittee • Speaker’s race

  16. Change in Legislature • Senate • Partisan balance remains the same • 19 Republicans • 12 Democrats • 6 new members due to incumbents not running, losing primary, or death • Changes to committee chairs and membership • Finance and Higher Education Committees • Changes in Senate rules

  17. Key Dates • Prefilingof Legislation began yesterday • The 83rd Legislature Convenes Tuesday, January 8, 2013 • In January 2013 • Governor delivers State of the State Address • Comptroller issues revenue estimate for 2014-2015 • Lt. Governor and Speaker organize committees • Senate begins hearings on base appropriations bill

  18. Key Dates • Sine Die is Monday, May 27, 2013 • Gubernatorial Veto Period Ends on Sunday, June 16, 2013 • Possible Special Sessions Through Summer or Into 2014 • Filing for 2014 Election Begins December 2013

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