Emerging Technologies Committee (ETC) Report

1. Emerging Technologies Committee (ETC) Report Next Generation Long Range Strike (NGLRS) Bomber and Weapons, Update Rudy Yurkovich 6 Jan 2010

2. Next Generation Long Range Strike(NGLRS) Bomber – Summary • Original presentation was made by Larry Brase, 21 August 2007. Presentation summarized status of NGLRS with emphasis on the need for technology development and funding required. AF to boost technology funds in 2008, field bomber in 2018. • Second presentation made by Rudy Yurkovich, 13 May 2009. Presentation updated status of NGBLRS, described the required technology, speculation on black world program, compared NGBLRS technology to ETC technologies watch list, and made recommendations • Goals of this presentation: • Update status of NGLRS • Interaction with Congress • Summarize press releases • Summarize two new reports on NGBLRS • More speculation from Bill Sweetman • Recommendations

3. Panel Discussion at SDM • Start an ETC sponsored series of joint Industry & Customer Panel sessions targeting the appropriate conferences (ASM, SDM, JPG, GNC, etc.) for each of the Technologies • Contacted Tech-Chairman (Ramesh Malla) of 2010 SDM meeting. • Time available for panel discussion on Thursday, last day of Conference • Larry Brase contacted George Muellner and Paul Nielsen for recommendations on panel members • Feed back from George: “I think you may have difficulty getting AF speakers given that Gates officially cancelled the program. While there are efforts ongoing, most are not in the domain of structures and would likely be restricted by ITAR. A better target might be ‘Materials for Aerospace Propulsion’’. • So we could not get panel members. And panel session was canceled. • Lesson Learned; Start planning early. Right now would be a good time for 2011 SDM, recruit panel members first, then propose panel.

4. Panel Discussion atU.S. Air Force T&E Days 2010Feb. 2-4, 2010, Nashville, Tennessee • Panel Session Title: The Time for High-Speed Weapons • Moderator: Dr. Mark Lewis, President-elect, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics and Dr. Willis Young Prof. and Chair, Department of Aerospace Engineering University of Maryland College Park, MD • Synopsis: Today, more than ever before, mature technologies and validated mission requirements are intersecting in favor of a high speed weapon. For the past decade, the T&E infrastructure has been leveraged to enable several focused hypersonic flight experiments which will demonstrate the feasibility of weapons in this class. Once demonstrated, these experiments will inform our decisions regarding how to leverage our test infrastructure for a weapon system acquisition and development. This session chronicles several infrastructure improvements that provided needed risk reduction for these flight experiments, describes several near term flight experiments, and outlines a strategy to go from promising technology to the field. • Panel Members: • Dr. Richard Hallion - “T&E Enables Flight” • Dr. Natalie Crawford- Matured and Integrated Hypersonic Technologies will find Users” • Maj. Gen. Curtis M. Bedke "What is Different Today“ • Dr John Foulkes- "How the T&E community is Posturing for the Potential Success of Hypersonics”

5. Congressional Caucus on Long Range Bomber • Congressional Caucus • Letter from Congress Woman Madeleine Boradallo requesting Congress form a Congressional Caucus on Long Range Strike Bomber • Made contact with one of her Congressional Staff people and was informed that Caucus was formed but that there was no additional action. At his request I indicated that I would be available to answer questions on this topic. • Reported in CQ Today Nov 3, 2009 • Would push for the classified next-generation strategic bomber, as well as cruise missiles, intercontinental ballistic missiles and nuclear weapons technologies and facilities • Necessitated by concerns that the Air Force has lost the ability to effectively fight for itself within the Defense Dept as a result of setbacks it has suffered in recent years • Sec Def Gates has questioned the continued need to maintain the nuclear weapons “triad” – bombers, ICBMs and sea-based missiles (see report later on) • Action item: Follow up with these people on Congressional Visits Day. (Contacts on next page)

6. Congressional Contacts for NGSLRBCaucus Rep. Madeleine Z. Bordallo and Rep. John Fleming 427 Cannon House Office Building Washington, DC 201515-5301 Matthew Herrmann (Staff person for Bordallo) 202-225-1188 Matthew.herrmann@mail.house.gov Ben Schultz (Staff person for Fleming) 202-225-2577 Ben.schultz@mail.house.gov

7. Press ReleasesEnd of Bomber Program

8. More Press Releases • 9-15-09 Air Force Mag"We will have dollars" for a new bomber in the Fiscal 2011 budget, but it will probably be for research and development only, Air Force Secretary Michael Donley told reporters after his speech at AFA's Air & Space conference Monday. The bomber program was scuttled for 2010 by Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who wasn't satisfied that USAF had adequately figured out what the bomber should be able to do. Donley said there's "more work" to be done fleshing out the revised concept for the bomber, and it will be informed by the still-in-progress Nuclear Posture Review and Quadrennial Defense Review. Donley said there may not be production money in Fiscal 2012, either. "The question is, how fast" will the bomber program have to proceed once it's defined, he added. • 9-23-09 Air Force Mag Cut the F-35 To Buy New Bomber?: A new Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessment monograph suggests that the Air Force should cut in half its buy of F-35 Lightning II Joint Strike Fighters to pay for the kind of force the service will need by 2028. Author Thomas Ehrhard, now special assistant to the Chief of Staff, believes the service will need the money it saves for other higher priorities like a B-3 bomber. • 12-03-09 Defense Daily AF ISR Chief Calls New Bomber Top Priority “We can not move forward without a platform that allows the United States of America to project power long distances and to meet advances threats in a fashion that gives us an adequate advantage that no other nation has,” said Lt. Gen. David DeptulaAF Dep. Chief ISR. It’s a long range ISR-strike platform. • 12-11-09 Defense News U.S. Def Sec Robert Gates said Dec. 11 the 2011 Pentagon spending request is likely to include funding for development of a new Air Force bomber. “We are probably going to proceed with a long-range strike initiative coming out of the Quadrennial Defense Review and various other reviews going on.” “We’re looking at a family of capabilities, both manned and unmanned.” “Funding likely would start at $ 1 billion, and then ramp up in subsequent years.” • 12-14-09 Air Force Mag Bomber Work May Resume in 2011:Defense Secretary Bob Gates halted work on the next-generation bomber in 2010, but he told US troops in Iraq last week that it's likely the 2011 budget would include a new long-range strike capability for the Air Force. He said that work on the Quadrennial Defense Review and other ongoing reviews point toward a new bomber under the 2011 budget and future years defense plan. Although Gates used the word "probably," we believe that's relates to timing because he said in September that he supports a new long-range strike capability.

9. New Reports • Report recommends • Other facts from report • Cost of new bomber $60B • B-1 does not have nuclear capability • B-52 depends on ALCM for nuclear weapons • B-2 is nuclear hardened • Opposing view point given by John Loh 12-7-09 in Omaha World-Herald

10. New Reports • Report summarizes current status of bomber force and requirements for a new bomber for members of congress

11. Speculation from Bill SweetmanAviation Week 12-23-09 • Configuration based on NAD X-47 • NAD won $2B black program in 2008, survived budget cuts of 2009 • Construction of a new large hangar at Groom Lake. Screened from by berm • Flight demo program – aero propulsion aspects of a very stealthy flying wing design • High altitude performance, operation above 60,000 feet for day light stealth considerations • Initial version would be manned, later aircraft would be unmanned • Stealth will be very important to a bomber/ISR platform • ISR capability would be inherent in a new-technology strike aircraft. Characteristics such as long endurance, wide-band and passive radio frequency sensors, and LO-compatible high bandwidth satcoms are essential • Nuclear capability for limited cases only with moderate degree of electromagnetic pulse hardening.

12. Summary • Summary • New white world bomber program in 2011 • Black world program is speculation • Issues: manned or unmanned, nuclear capability is being debated, ISR capability appears to be requirement, high speed (supersonic/hypersonic) is a requirement for LRS • Long Range Strike includes both bombers and weapons, AIAA could provide a forum for both • Actions taken • Panel discussion at SDM • Contact with Congressional staff person

13. Recommendations • Recommendations • Panel discussion at 2011 SDM, need panel members • Panel discussion/session at Joint Propulsion Conference • Host USAF Panels on technology required at SDM, JPC, etc. • Form an AIAA Program Committee – Industry and customers (AFRL, DARPA, ONR, USAF) • Host sessions at appropriate conferences based on recommendations from above two initiatives • Follow-up with Congressional staff person on Congressional visits day