National Foresight Project of Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) In Finland

1. National Foresight Project of Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) In Finland The Role of TE-Centres in the Finnish Regional Foresight System FUTURES WORKSHOP 7.6.2006 Reseacher Jouni Marttinen TE-Centre for Varsinais-Suomi PL 236, 20100 Turku jouni.marttinen@te-keskus.fi Jouni Marttinen 7.6.2006

2. REGIONAL FORESIGHT PROJECTat the Employment and Economic Development Centres in Finland MINISTRY OF LABOUR Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) were established in 1997. TE-Centres are joint regional service centres of the Ministry of Trade and Industry, labour districts of the Ministry of Labour and the agricultural, forestry and fishery districts of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. Support and Co-ordination project of TE-foresight The project was launched 1998 Managed by Ministry of Labour, Finland Futures Research Centre, and MTI Financed by European Social Fund (ESF), Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) Targets of the project: • to develop a regional foresight system for the TE-Centres • to launch foresight activities in the TE-Centres • to integrate foresight into strategic planning and management systems of TE-ministries and TE-Centres (management by targets, EFQM, Balanced ScoreCard, Executive Information System) • to train experts of foresight in every TE-Centre • to develop foresight on a local and regional level in a way that makes it possible to utilise that information in the planning of national labour market- and economic development policy Tasks of the TE-Centres • to support and advise SMEs at the various stages of their life cycles • to promote technological development in enterprises and assist in matters associated with export activities and internationalisation • to implement regional labour policies • to plan and organise adult training within the official labour policy framework • to promote and develop farming and rural enterprise activities • to develop fisheries • to influence and participate in regional development in general Launching Plans of Foresight of the Centres • mapping the foresight knowledge needs • vision of the foresight system in the TE-Centres; focus, activities, recourses… • how to connect foresight into planning, decision making, and service processes • describing the co-operation and networking of local and regional actors • training the personnel for foresight and future thinking

3. FRAMEWORK OF THE FORESIGHT PROJECT OF TE-CENTRES IN FINLAND DATA- BASES PORTALS CORE PROSESSES STRATEGIC PLANNING DESICIONS SERVICES FORESIGHT METHODS ACTIVITIES INTERPRETATION UNDERSTANDING ACTIONS DOCUMENTS REPORTS Jouni Marttinen 7.6.2006

4. The questions when developing a foresight system of TE-Centres? • Why to do foresight? • What is the focus of foresight? • How to do foresight? • When to do foresight? • Who will do foresight? • How to manage the foresight data, information and knowledge? • What is the role of TE-Centres in regional and local foresight system? Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

5. Conseption of Foresight (1)by Michel Godet FUTURE Anticipation Action Appropriation

6. The conseption of TE-foresight (2) * To produce systematically data, information and knowledge about future developments of the envirionment of TE-Centres; trends, weak signals, possibilities, threats… * In foresight it is essential to make clear what the visions concerning the future signify in terms of current decisions and actions of TE-Centres. * To regognize new potential business possibilities and changes in technology, working life, qualifications and social issues Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

7. The Conseption of TE-foresight (3) * • With foresight the aim is to make the future, not simply study it. For this reason it is important in foresight to bring together the key actors and to build networks between the actors. Methods that promote interaction and participation occupy a key role in foresight * Ultimatelly foresight is used to support the development of the region as a whole, to strengthen regional innovation system and to promote the competitiveness and economic growth in a region Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

8. The vision of TE-foresight 2010 (1) Ministry of Trade and Industry; ’Integrating Foresight into the TE-Centres’ Activities – a Vision for 2010 and Development strategy’ The Finnish regional foresight system will be flexible and will meet the challanges and needs of the time. FS will be internationally esteemed and of a high standard. Foresight has become a core function of TE-Centres on which their planning, decision making and service processes are based The foresight activities have been developed as products of high quality (EFQM)

9. The vision of TE-foresight 2010 (2) Finland has the best regional foresight system in Europe in 2010

10. Foresight methods and activities of TE-Centres in Finland • TIME SPAN • Long term • (5-15 years) • Middle term • (2-5 years) • Short term • (6 monhts- • 2 years) QUANTITATIVE METHODSQUALITATIVE METHODS LT (Long term)- model; extrapolation GDP, production/employment by industry MITENNA-model Occupations, wastage, educational needs • Scenarios • Delfoi • Megatrends • Weak signals • Clusteranalyses • Industrial teams of TE-Centres ETLA; regional econometric model GDP,production/employment by industry population, migration TKTT- model; interviews (employment offices) Barometers Min of Labour; interviews of firms Min of Trade and Industry; BM of SME’s Min of Agriculture; BM of Farms & 20 others EXPERT GROUPS (SWOT) at local level Jouni Marttinen, TE-Centre for Varsinais-Suomi. 3.6.2004

11. TKTT-PROCESS IN THE TE-CENTRE FOR SOUTHWEST FINLAND SELECTING INDUSRTIES -employment offices/TE-CENTRE TRAINING INTERVIEWERS guidance, themes, top-lists, analysises. STARTING THE CAMPAIGN; lists for interviewers INTERVIEWS -EMPL.OFF/EDUCAT INSTITUT././PROJECTS UTILIZATION OF INTERVIEWS/ acute needs CONTACTING COMPANIES . . SUMMARY OF RESUTLS FOR EXPERT PANEL EXPERT PANEL SWOT-ANALYSIS. SUMMARY REPORT UTILIZATION OF INTERVIEWS II -te-centres,empl..offices… . INFORMING -companies, members of panels, media • MONITORING • MEASURES • INFLUENCE Jouni Marttinen 22.11.2005

12. The themes of interviews (TKTT) • Job increases and job losses by occupation • Recruitment problems • Training needs by occupation • Changes in skills by occupation • Age structure and retirement • Plans in sub-contracting , networking and new business ideas • Economic situation now and after one year • Plans in outscoursing • Views in export • Investmen plans • R&D • Construction plans Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

13. Industry Interviews Expert group target interviews Advertising and media 40 41 Employment office in Turku Social Services 71 82 Empl. Office in Kaarina 6.6.05, Turku 19.10 Furniture and wood industry 29 24 Empl. Office in Salo 22.6.05 Car repair/garage 52 54 Empl. dep./training unit. 9/05 Whole sale trade and Retail trade 63 67 Empl.dep/service unit. 3/06 Car sale 21 17 Empl. dep./training unit. 3/06 Electronics 39 30 Employm. Office in Salo. 3/06 Bakeries 28 25 Business dep. 5/06 Maintenance and services of equipments and machines 40 35 Sub region in Vakka-Suomi; Educational institutions, empl. offices, projects 10/05 YHTEENSÄ 383 375 Interviews (TKTT) in Southwest Finland 2005

14. Industry Interviews Expert group Target Interviews Subcontracting network of the shipyard (Aker) 91 Employment Office in Turku Two groups House construction 33 Empl. Office in Raisio Welfare services 54 Employment department Cleaning services 37 Employment department Restaurant services 39 Safety services 22 Empl. Office in Turku YHTEENSÄ 300 Interviews (TKTT) in Southwest Finland 2006 Employment department Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

15. Foresight databases and portals in Finland (1) • National • Ministry of Labour • - Information Service and analyses (ISA) • - Management Information System (MIS); targets of employment offices • Ministry of Trade and Industry • Industry OnLine (www.toimialaonline.fi) • Customer Relations Management (CMR) – ASKO-TKTT- database • Foresight forum; http://www.ennakointifoorumi.fi/ • Foresight portal of TE-Centres ; http://www2.te-keskus.fi/new/ennakointi/ • 3. Educational Board of Education • Electronical Information System oh Foresight (ENSTI) • (http://www.oph.fi/SubPage.asp?path=1,443,3086,3987) • - Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

16. Foresight databases and portals in Finland (1) • Regional • Southwest Finland; www.luotain.fi • Pirkanmaa; www.pirkanmaanennakointipalvelu.info/java/Index • Northern Ostrobothnia; http://eennakointi.fi/ • South Ostrobothnia; http://etelapohjanmaa.fi/ennakointi/ Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

17. The Role of TE-Centres in Regional Foresight • Co-ordination of local and regional foresight activies (Sectoral teams, expert groups, local employment strategies). • Promotion of networking. • Production of new future knowledge, knowledge management (portals,databases), open knowledge sharing (foresight service). • Development of new foresight activities. • Promotion on future thinking and training of foresight activities. • Financing of foresight activities. Jouni Marttinen 3. 6.2004

18. Challanges in developing regional foresight in Finland • Cooperation and coordination between ministries and TE-Centres, • Cooperation between the actors (TE-Centres, Regional Counsils, Educational Institutions) at regional level; there are official committees but no open forums. • The roles of regional and local actors in foresight. • The utilization of foresight data and knowledge in the core prcesses of regional and local actors. • Open sharing of foresight knowlewdge. Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

19. Thank you for your attention ! Researcher Jouni Marttinen jouni.marttinen@te-keskus.fi www.te-keskus.fi Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006