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Scotland’s Business Growth Enterprise and Culture Committee The Scottish Parliament

Scotland’s Business Growth Enterprise and Culture Committee The Scottish Parliament. Donald JR MacRae Lloyds TSB Scotland 12th April 2005. Scotland - The Gap?. No. of Comparators 30 18 11 21 26 9 29 30 30 29 28 15. Scotland’s Quartile Position in OECD Countries 2002.

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Scotland’s Business Growth Enterprise and Culture Committee The Scottish Parliament

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  1. Scotland’s Business GrowthEnterprise and Culture CommitteeThe Scottish Parliament Donald JR MacRae Lloyds TSB Scotland 12th April 2005

  2. Scotland - The Gap? No. of Comparators 30 18 11 21 26 9 29 30 30 29 28 15 Scotland’s Quartile Position in OECD Countries 2002 4 3 2 1 * Not in education, employment or training. Source: Measuring Scotland’s Progress Towards Smart, Successful Scotland 2004.

  3. GDP per Capita - 2002 PPPs high income high middle income group low middle income group group 101-120 51-100 over 120 Note: Scotland estimated at 94.6% of UK. Source: OECD (2004), DTI: Regional Competitiveness & State of the Regions (May 2004).

  4. International Comparisons of GDP Growth 1973 - 2001 Source: Goudie (2003).

  5. Key Drivers of Productivity Improvement • Human capital • Physical capital • Innovation • Enterprise • Competitiveness

  6. Population Trends: Scotland and UK, 1951-2011 Index:1995 = 100 UK Scotland Source: Scottish Executive (2000).

  7. Scotland’s Birthrate in a European Context Total Fertility Rate* 2001 * Children per woman Source: Turner, A., Reflections on the Allander Series. (2004).

  8. Assumed Annual Long Term Migration by AgeScotland 2006-2007 onwards Persons 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 -1,000 -2,000 -3,000 0-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65 & over Years of Age Source: Experian Business Strategies, March 2005.

  9. GDP per Hour Worked 2001 Source: Scottish Economic Report November 2004.

  10. Scotland - Skills and Learning IndicatorQuartile PositionComparators 4 3 2 1 % working age population in employment OECD % 16-19 year olds NEET* OECD % 20-24 year olds with at least NVQ 3 UK % young people with adequate skills (PISA) OECD % working age population in education, training UK or employment * Not in education, employment or training. Source: Measuring Smart Successful Scotland (2004). Training and Employment Unit, University of Glasgow.

  11. Business R & D Expenditure *1995 - 99 Source: Crafts and O’Mahony (2001) and DTI (2001).

  12. New Business Activity Ireland United Kingdom Scotland Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, Scotland 2003.

  13. Aggregate Government Expenditure % share in GDP, 1978-79 to 2002-03 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 78-79 79-80 80-81 81-82 82-83 83-84 84-85 85-86 86-87 87-88 88-89 89-90 90-91 91-92 92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 Scotland UK Source: Goudie (2002). Scottish Executive, GERS 2002-2003.

  14. Aggregate Government Expenditure % Share GDP 2003 Source: Verhulst et al. (2005). *GERS 2002-2003; **Author’s calculation

  15. Scotland - The Gap? No. of Comparators 30 18 11 21 26 9 29 30 30 29 28 15 Scotland’s Quartile Position in OECD Countries 2002 4 3 2 1 * Not in education, employment or training. Source: Measuring Scotland’s Progress Towards Smart, Successful Scotland 2004.

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