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The Climate Service Center

The Climate Service Center. Climate Service Center. Guy P. Brasseur Irene Fischer-Bruns Climate Service Center - Germany Hamburg. The First Grand Challenge: Numerical Weather Prediction. Weather Prediction compared with Satellite Observations ECMWF predictions and Meteosat observations.

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The Climate Service Center

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  1. The Climate Service Center Climate Service Center Guy P. Brasseur Irene Fischer-Bruns Climate Service Center - Germany Hamburg

  2. The First Grand Challenge:Numerical Weather Prediction Weather Prediction compared with Satellite Observations ECMWF predictions and Meteosat observations

  3. The Second Grand Challenge:Predicting Climate Change A1B is a typical “business as usual” scenario (2090-2099): (2090-2099) (2090-2099)

  4. The Third Grand Challenge:Understanding the Earth as a Complex Nonlinear Interactive System Courtesy of Julia Slingo

  5. “International framework for climate services that links science-based climate predictions & information with the management of climate-related risks & opportunities in support of adaptation to climate variability & change in both developed & developing countries” WCC-3 Vision To develop an

  6. Interactions with users/stakeholders Energy supply Threshold diurnal amplitude Decision support tools Dedicated analyses Support Innovation : eg EIT Impact studies Socio-economy, Ecosystems, Health DevelopInterdisciplinarity Maize yield change ClimateIndicators Heatwaves, drought/floods Heat index (ENSEMBLES FP6) Climate projections Global models downscaling Climate Observations From: Sylvie Joussaume

  7. Users of climate information There are many economic sectors that will benefit from and contribute to Climate Services …

  8. Energy sector, especially renewable energies Users of climate information

  9. Users of climate information Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances

  10. Users of climate information Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce

  11. Users of climate information Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and urban planning; construction

  12. Users of climate information Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability

  13. Users of climate information Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability Water management

  14. Users of climate information Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability Water management Coastal management; fisheries

  15. Users of climate information Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability Water management Coastal management; fisheries Forestry; land management; landscape protection

  16. Users of climate information Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability Water management Coastal management, fisheries Forestry; land management; landscape protection Civil protection; environmental security; human health

  17. Users of climate information Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability Water management Coastal management; fisheries Forestry; land management; landscape protection Civil protection; environmental security; human health Tourism and leisure industry

  18. Climate Service Center The Climate Service Center (CSC) was established in Hamburg by the German Federal Government as part of their “High-Tech” strategy to reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts. CSC is a federal institution administered by GKSS. It will include 20 staff members (base funding from BMBF) and additional staff supported by external projects (EU, BMBF, states, industry, financial sector, etc.)

  19. Immediate Goals Coordination and dissemination of user-friendly climate information produced by German institutions Improved transfer of information from the research to users and initiation of research activity to address users’ requirements Production of concrete climate-related information to fulfill the stated needs of the users/customers Synthesis and evaluation of latest outcome of climate and environmental research Transfer of requests from users to the network of German research institutions

  20. Longer-term Goals Developing prediction systems for global, regional, and local prediction of climate change and their impacts on ecosystems, hydrological system, air quality, health in Germany and elsewhere Development of effective strategies towards reduction and adaption to climate impacts Contribution to the development of other Climate Services, e.g. in Africa, with emphasis on issues like drought, food availability, forest management, etc.

  21. Network & Partnerships (1) The CSC was established as a national, research-based service facility in a strong network of partner institutions • It is promoting partnerships • to focus on • interactions between science and society • the integration of climate research & application needs PAGE 21

  22. Partnerships (2) CSC develops interactions with stakeholders who can benefit from the knowledge provided by the network It develops decision-making processes to help ensure effective applications of science to societal needs

  23. The CSC is building up partnerships with - Decision makers in business and industry - Non-governmental organizations - Local, national & internat. governmental agencies It will work together closely with - Universities - National and international research institutions - Environmental research & assessment programs Partnerships (3)

  24. The National Context (in Germany) • CSC is coordinating and promoting efforts conducted by • a large network of institutions: 1) Ministries (Research, Environment, Transport) 2) Research Institutions (Max Planck, Helmholtz, Universities…) 3) Regional Climate Offices of HGF 4) Meteorological Service (DWD) 5) Private Sector (energy, insurance, finances…) PAGE 24

  25. The International Context • USA • National Climate Services (NOAA) • Climate Central, Princeton • Canada • OURANOS, Montreal • Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions (PICS), • Victoria • UK • Hadley Centre • Walker Institute • Germany • Climate Service Center, Hamburg • Regional Climate Offices The World Climate Conference-3 Geneva, 2009 PAGE 25

  26. Planned Organization PAGE 26 • Director • Executive Assistant (General Coordination) • Strategy Development, Management of BMBF Project & Budget • Organization of Workshops / other professional events • Project Management, Elaboration and distribution of CSC Products • Network Management & Customer Service

  27. Planned Organization Website, Media-Development External contacts (sectors, press) Organization of interdisciplinary courses and events  Project Development Translation of knowlegde for the needs of different sectors Support of studies by groups of experts Data analysis and processing of climate projections (multi-model ensembles)  Processing of individual requests

  28. Products and Services • Networking, initiation of cooperations & partnerships • Website, PR and media presence • Processing of individual customer requests • Publications, newsletters & annual CSC conferences • Realization of expert workshops • Provide specialized lecturers • Initiation of practice- and customer-oriented projects • Participation in the (inter)national climate debate

  29. Recent Achievements (1) • Preliminary discussions for extension of CSC network • (PIK, GFZ, UFZ, AWI, “Regional Climate Offices”, UBA etc) • Visit to several Bundesländer (Niedersachsen, Sachsen, • South German Länder, etc.) • Participation Brasseur in the visit of Prof. Dr. Mrs. Schavan, • Minister of Science, in Washington (workshop at NSF) • Session at the Summer AGU Assembly (Brazil) • on Climate Services (Convenor: Brasseur)

  30. Recent Achievements (2) • A cooperation agreement with the Shanghai • Meteorological Bureau (SMB) focusing on climate services • A series of workshops with GDV (Feb 2010, April 2010, …) • Meeting of the European Global Change Forum • (industry, NGO) at CSC in March 2010

  31. Possible Initiatives • Study of the trends in the global temperature records • by an international group of experts, and publication • of a study report • Workshop on „What after Copenhagen?“ • Development of a research project on the prediction • of convective events and the related damages in • Europe (follow-up of symposium with insurance • companies)

  32. Conclusions (1) Climate variability and change have considerable consequences on the Earth’s ecosystems and on human societies Climate science has made major advances during the last two decades. However, the knowledge has to be translated into user-friendly climate information Climate Service Centers build bridges between climate science and societal /applicational needs

  33. We need an integrated system with: Coherent observations, data systems, and shared standards that allow easy exchanges of data Reliable prediction models on seasonal, interannual, decadal  variability of  extreme regional weather events Sufficient computer resources to develop and implement  the required high-resolution global physical climate models Human resources that conduct innovative research Climate Services that deliver science-based information to society

  34. Thank you. PAGE 34

  35. Management (External Bodies) Not yet decided by BMBF…. But probably: Steering Committee with representatives of Ministries and Helmholtz Association Partner Forum (DWD, MPI-M, Kompass, etc.) Advisory Panel (ad hoc for specific problems)

  36. German Adaptation Strategy The German Adaptation Strategy aims to • reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts • maintain or enhance adaptability of natural, societal, and economic systems Sustainable planning and acting requires to • widen the knowledge base • create transparency and participation • support stakeholders by providing the basis for decision-making • raise awareness and provide information through broad public relations • develop strategies to deal with uncertainties Climate Services in Germany

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