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Use of AB1467 in Southern California

Use of AB1467 in Southern California. Mark Pisano SCAG Executive Director March 24, 2007. CFEE Public Private Partnership Conference. Revised Estimate. 44.7. 36.0. 18.3. 13.2. 9.5. Total LA/Long Beach Container Growth Projected to Triple in 25 Years.

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Use of AB1467 in Southern California

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  1. Use of AB1467 in Southern California Mark Pisano SCAG Executive Director March 24, 2007 CFEE Public Private PartnershipConference Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  2. RevisedEstimate 44.7 36.0 18.3 13.2 9.5 Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years In Million TEU’s(20’ Equivalent Units) 25.2 23.4 12.3 9.0 Original Estimate 6.9 1999 2005 2010 2020 2030 Source: POLA, POLB Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  3. “Just-In-Time” Savings The trans-loading of weekly shipments from Asia affords large, nation-wide retailers an 18-20% reduction in their total pipeline plus safety stock inventory compared to direct shipping from Asia. Assuming a 6% average error in nationwide one-week-ahead sales forecasts Leachman & Associates LLC Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  4. Projected to nearlydouble Without improvements, nothing will be moving Landside Congestion is Putting Our Advantage in Jeopardy By 2025 Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  5. The Pollutants it Creates are Putting Our Health in Jeopardy • The mega-region continues to have the worst air quality in the U.S. • Over 5,000 premature deaths a year Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  6. Diesel Particulates Are at the Root of the Problem They comprise 71% of the major pollutants contributing to cancer risk in the South Coast Air Basin Source: SCAQMD, Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study II, March 2000 Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  7. NO VOC SO PM2.5 x x How Are We Going to Attain PM2.5 Reduction Targets? TONS PER DAY Baseline Reduction 2014 Percent 443 469 19 88 203 59 24 14 (31%) (11%) (57%) (14%) 654 527 43 102 Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  8. 2014 NO Attainment x Draft 2007 AQMP Tons/Day 203 -6 -125 -72 Target AQMD Stationary Measures CARB’s Strategy Unknown Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  9. Draft 2007 AQMP 2023 OZONE Attainment Tons/Day 383 -8 -139 -57 -179 NO Target AQMD Stationary Measures CARB’s Strategy AQMD Additional Measures Unknown x Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  10. Alameda Corridor East East-West Corridor Colton Hobart Alameda Corridor More tracks, alternative routes, grade crossings

  11. AB1467 • Authorizes regional transportation agencies to enter into agreementswith public and private entities to develop goods movement projects. • User fees, including tolls, may be used to pay for the projects. • Two in north and two in south.

  12. Proposed High-Speed System IOS & LAX & SBD81 miles6 stations$11 billion capital cost$110 million annual O&M IOS & LAX & Ports & SBD99 miles6 stations$19 billion capital cost$296 million annual O&M4 to 13 million TEUs Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  13. Proposed Truck Lane System 2 Lanes inEach Direction I - 15 86.0 miles East/West 37.8 miles I - 710 18.0 miles Capital Cost:$16.5 billion Potential Fee Structure: $60 - $70 (per FEU)+ $0.86/mile toll Center Lane Miles: 142 Average Trip Length: 37 miles Average San Pedro Bay Port Trips in 2030: 142,003 New Vehicles with 2 or more containers Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

  14. Use of AB1467 in Southern California Mark Pisano SCAG Executive Director March 24, 2007 Southern California Association of Governments Resolving Regional Challenges

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