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Jordan Case Study: Gulf of Aqaba

Jordan Case Study: Gulf of Aqaba. THE THIRD BOARD MEETING February 10-14, 2004 Aqaba, Jordan. By Muhammad R. Shatanawi University of Jordan. WP 08: Regional Case Study: Jordan/ Gulf of Aqaba. WORK PROGRESS. WORK PROGRESS. Socio economic framework (Qualitative Analysis Tool)

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Jordan Case Study: Gulf of Aqaba

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  1. Jordan Case Study:Gulf of Aqaba THE THIRD BOARD MEETING February 10-14, 2004 Aqaba, Jordan By Muhammad R. Shatanawi University of Jordan

  2. WP 08: Regional Case Study: Jordan/Gulf of Aqaba WORK PROGRESS

  3. WORKPROGRESS • Socio economic framework (Qualitative Analysis Tool) • TELEMAC Modeling System (Quantitative Analysis Tool) • WATERWARE Modeling System (Quantitative Analysis Tool)

  4. Socio Economic Framework

  5. Socio Economic framework • Define Good and Bad Situations for the Aqaba Region Optimistic Scenarios Pessimistic Scenarios

  6. Good Situations • Introduction of desalination units will increase the amount of available water. • Declaring The Aqaba area as a special economic zone resulted in attracting new investors in trade and industry, and increasing the tourist activities, therefore improving economy. • The Gulf of Aqaba hosts an extraordinary diversity of corals and related marine life, which attract a large number of tourists. This will cause development of new hotels and resort cities, and thus improving the economy. • The Anticipated developments in the Tourist and industry sector will bring new job opportunities..

  7. Bad Situations • 1.1 MCM/year of reclaimed wastewater is reused near the coast result in: • Risk of Pollution • Restricted Agriculture • Population of Aqaba will increase due to new job opportunities resulting from expanding industry, tourists, and other activities. • The increase in tourist rate will increase demand for guaranteed water quality for protection of biodiversity and the safety of bathing waters. • Uncontrolled tourist activities cause damage to corals by tourist boats, coral breakage by divers.

  8. Bad Situations • 20 MCM/year is imported from adjacent aquifers, that will cause depletion of the groundwater reserves. • There are major industries located along the coastline of the Gulf of Aqaba that causes environment damage including emission of pollutant gases and pumping of cooling water back into the gulf. • New industries are anticipated to be developed in the future such as Hasad Liquid Fertilizer, Kemira Arab Potash Company, and Lumber Factory. These industries will increase water uses for industry, and thus increase the stress in the water demand

  9. Bad Situations • Three main ports are operating to import and export various products including phosphates, potash, fertilizers and oils. An environment problem in Aqaba is phosphate dust emerging from loading and unloading activities, this dust will eventually sink in the water being difficult to dissolve it precipitates on the corals resulting in decrease in coral growth around phosphate port. • The new development plan suggests the transfer of the main port to the southern beach; this will cause a heavy stress on the corals reef in the southern beach, which comprises the highest coral diversity and uniqueness. • Establishment of Aqaba special economic zone resulted in: • Attracting new investors in trade and industry, this will increase demand for water supply for the growing population and the future industrial activities, and • Higher rate in construction and building practices • On the other hand will lead to increase in wastewater generation.

  10. Optimistic Scenario

  11. Pessimistic Scenario

  12. Pessimistic Scenario

  13. Driving Forces • Growing Demand for Domestic Purposes • Tourism • Industry • Transport • Agriculture • Water Supply • Demographic change • Land use change • Technological change • Institutional Change • Economic trends • Water allocation Rules • Meteorological conditions

  14. TELEMAC Modeling System

  15. TELEMAC System

  16. TELEMAC Modeling Work Progress • Three meshes with different criteria were generated and tested to obtain the most reasonable results. • The effect of the forcing parameters (Tide & Wind) on the current fields in the Gulf of Aqaba have been studied. • The influence of these both factors on the local hydrodynamic (scalar velocity and water depth) were underlined.

  17. TELEMAC Modeling Next Step • Calibration Step: Compare the results from the model with the observed data. • Validation Step: perform a new calculation with a new set of data, and compare the model results with the observed data.

  18. WATERWARE Modeling System

  19. WATERWARE Modeling System Work Progress

  20. SPOT image for the case study area-1990

  21. SPOT image for the case study area-2003

  22. WATERWARE Modeling System Work Progress • Define the application domain within which the system is to be applied. The application domain will be ASEZ area. • Identify the network objects within the ASEZ border. A network objects are represented by: • Type (Start, Demand, Confluence, Diversion or Supply) • Location (X,Y,Z) • Connectivity ( Reaches connected the nodes). For each reach we specify: • Length • Diameter • Roughness

  23. WATERWARE Modeling SystemNext Step • Check for suitability and adequacy of the collected data. • Try to run the model for our case study.

  24. END of SLIDE SHOW THANK YOU

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