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Climate Change Knowledge Products

Climate Change Knowledge Products. Climate Change Team - Environment Department. Overview. Climate Knowledge products. Climate Modelling and Impact Assessments Adaptation/Risk Reduction Climate related tools Low Carbon growth studies. Climate Change Knowledge Portal

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Climate Change Knowledge Products

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  1. Climate Change Knowledge Products Climate Change Team - Environment Department

  2. Overview Climate Knowledge products • Climate Modelling and Impact Assessments • Adaptation/Risk Reduction • Climate related tools • Low Carbon growth studies

  3. Climate Change Knowledge Portal For Development Practitioners and Policy Makers • What: • Collaborative on-line portal • Range of climate, disaster risk, and climate-related data and tools • Support for climate resilience measures for specific user contexts and needs • Why: • Facilitate easy access to consistent datasets and resources externally and across the WB (avoid duplications!) • Support implementation of actions by simplifying accessto and use of relevant quality information

  4. Climate Data Access - Climate • Historical Baseline • Historical Variability • Future • Change • Confidence

  5. Impacts • Crops • Disasters • Water Resources Global Runoff projections • Mean Annual Runoff • Base flow • Peak flow • Storage • Mean annual Irrigation Deficit • CMI (Climate Moisture Index)

  6. Land area below 5m Population below 5m Population w/in 100km of coast Flood events Access to improved water Access to improved sanitation Access to electricity HIV rate Urban Growth Rate Urban slum population % workforce in agriculture Cereal yields Food aid received Drought events Birth rate Life Expectancy Under 5 mortality Undernourished population Malaria cases Fertilizer use Renewable water resources Extreme temperature Adult literacy Income share held by lowest 20% Net ODA per capita Public spending on education Terrestrial protected areas Poverty gap Access -Socio-economic Indicators • Standard economic indicators • MDG progress and others Socio-Economic Indicators

  7. Projects • Low Carbon Growth Studies • Climate Finance Platform Actions and Support

  8. Interface and Data Synthesis Products • Other emissions scenarios • GCM downloads • Downscaled Data and Model comparisons (July 2011) • GCM Derivatives (July 2011) • Statistics • Confidence/ Agreement • Improved visualization of Impacts and Maps • UNEP GRIP Disasters • Downscaled Information • Integration of databases with Global Facility for Disaster Recovery and Reconstruction • Disaster Risk Reduction (GFDRR) adaptation country profiles • Pilot country profiles Climate Investment Funds (July 2011) • Sectoral Decision Support Systems: Energy (July 2011) • Private Sector Work in Progress

  9. Why? Responding to partners’ needs for real-time access to basic climate change information through an integrated user friendly platform that also allows one to explore, evaluate, and learn about disaster risk reduction in a changing climate What? Climate Change Adaptation profiles for the 31 GFDRR priority countries across all Bank Regions -- an operational tool for both disaster risk management and development practitioners to access just-in-time reference information on adaptation GFDRR Tools: Climate Risk and Adaptation Country Profiles How? Leverages GFDRR work on geospatial analysis, vulnerability mapping, risk analysis, and stakeholder engagement with WB adaptation analytical programming. A modular configuration based on the existing WB Climate Change Knowledge Portal allows for continuous update and future expansion into sector-specific coverage http://countryadaptationprofiles.gfdrr.org

  10. Synthesis Products: Climate Risk and Adaptation Country Profiles http://countryadaptationprofiles.gfdrr.org

  11. Links to additional resources and tools to support decision making e.g.: • UNDP Adaptation Learning Mechanism • Other knowledge products for Low Carbon Growth initiatives • WB Documents including material in Archives Additional Resources

  12. Initial Pilots in 7 emerging economies • Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland and South Africa • Spanned period 2007-10 • Over 2 years each on average to complete • Program cost approximately USD 8 million (to date) • Now working with next generation of clients • Algeria, Macedonia, Morocco, Nigeria, Tunisia, Vietnam etc Low Carbon Growth: Country Experiences

  13. Proven Experience: Lessons, Methodologies, Tools

  14. Multi-region • CGE • Dynamic • Stochastic • GE Questions: Abatement Opportunities Technologies / Investment Marginal Abatement Cost Several tools are needed to make low carbon development decisions EFFECT HEAT TAMT MACtool LULUCF Questions: Impact on Economic Growth, Employment, Trade, Production Choices, etc. Bottom-up vs. Top-down

  15. Multi-region CGE • Peer-reviewed model applied to Poland • Impact of EU 20-20-20 package TREMOVE Plus Model ROCA Model Low carbon growth assessment for Poland MEMO Model • Dynamic stochastic GE • Poland model + energy and climate redesign • Macro impact of options MacroMAC curve MicroMAC Curve In the Pipeline: Linking Macroeconomic and Bottom-Up Models Power generation options • TREMOVE model • (road transport) • Passenger, freight • Marginal abatement cost • (NPV cost per tCO2e) • ~125 technology options MIND module (optimal energy package)

  16. http://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org Contact Ana Bucher abucher@worldbank.org Jane Ebinger jebinger@worldbank.org

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