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NASA CMS uncertainty working group

Active members: Participants: Chris Badurek , David Baker, Nicolas Bousserez , Jim Collatz , Sangram Ganguly , Robert Kennedy, Dimitris Menemenlis , John Miller, Steve Pawson , `. NASA CMS uncertainty working group. Ocean State. Land State. “Uncertainty”. Ocean/air flux.

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NASA CMS uncertainty working group

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  1. Active members: Participants: Chris Badurek, David Baker, Nicolas Bousserez, Jim Collatz, SangramGanguly, Robert Kennedy, DimitrisMenemenlis, John Miller, Steve Pawson, ` NASA CMS uncertainty working group NASA CMS Nov 2013 JPL

  2. Ocean State Land State “Uncertainty” Ocean/air flux Ocean/Land flux Land/air flux NASA CMS Nov 2013 JPL

  3. If we were all talking about the same thing, then we could put all of our results together and everything should overlap! What is uncertainty here? Model Data Map of state or flux Observation Propagation Map 2 of state or flux NASA CMS Nov 2013 JPL

  4. Understand CMS projects Online Survey https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AsSSZURmMDWwdEl2eWY0WmpkYVlMdmhLV2ZGc25CX2c#gid=0 NASA CMS Nov 2013 JPL

  5. ETC. NASA CMS Nov 2013 JPL

  6. NASA CMS Nov 2013 JPL

  7. Types of uncertainty NASA CMS Nov 2013 JPL

  8. 3. Model-data comparison 1. Deterministic 2. Stochastic/Ensemble 4. Model-model comparison Models are correct – errors come from measurements and the initial guess of the state. Models and data are both wrong 5. Data-Data comparison NASA CMS Nov 2013 JPL

  9. * Numbers correspond to project IDs in briefing material appendix NASA CMS Nov 2013 JPL

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