THE GLOBAL FRAMEWORK FOR CLIMATE SERVICES Jan Egeland (je@nupi.no)

1. THE GLOBAL FRAMEWORK FOR CLIMATE SERVICES Jan Egeland (je@nupi.no) Co-chair of the High-Level Taskforce for the Global Framework for Climate Services

2. WORLD CLIMATE CONFERENCE - 3 ESTABLISHES A GLOBAL FRAMEWORK FOR CLIMATE SERVICES (GFCS) Geneva, 3 September 2009 – World Climate Conference-3 (WCC-3), which brought together around 2500 climate scientists, sectoral experts and decision-makers, established a Global Framework for Climate Services “to strengthen production, availability, delivery and application of science-based climate prediction and services.” 2

3. What are Climate Services? Information about past climate – extremes and means 3

4. What are Climate Services? Information about possible future climate – extremes and means 4

5. Where does the climate information come from? Past Climate From weather data Future Climate From weather data and models of the climate sytem 5

6. Why a FRAMEWORK for Climate Services? Becausethere are gaps in the data networks supporting the services Blue dots – more than 90% of data received Red and yellow dots – lessthan 5% of data received 6

7. Why a FRAMEWORK for Climate Services? And becausethere are gaps in the global distribution of scientists, engineers and othertertiaryeducated people whocreate information-based services http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/seind02/c3/c3s5.htm 7

8. Why a FRAMEWORK for Climate Services? And because the improvements in forecastingweatherneed to bereplicated in predicting future climate Useful skill is anything above 60% 8

9. Whatwill the Global Framework for Climate Services Look Like? Government Transport Energy Transport Transport Water Energy Water Energy Agriculture Ecosystem Sectoral Users Users Agriculture Ecosystem Agriculture Ecosystem Water Tourism Health Health Private sector Tourism Tourism Health User Interface Programme User Interface Programme Climate Services Information System Climate Services Information System Observations and Monitoring Research & Modeling and Prediction Research & Modeling and Prediction Capacity Building Capacity Building 9

10. Global Framework for Climate Services can contribute to improved Disaster Risk Reduction. http://maps.grida.no/go/graphic/trends-in-natural-disasters 10

11. Human Safety 11

12. Climate services would assist in adapting to climate change impacts on food availability According to the World Bank, only a three-foot rise in sea level will submerge large parts of the biggest rice-growing river deltas in Asia and the World at largeincluding Africa. 12

13. Climate services would assist in better managing climate change impacts on human health Weekly means of the Harmattan wind index over the 1994–2002 period and mean seasonal pattern of the number of cases of MCM (in standardized anomalies). The “Meningitis Belt” in West Africa 13

14. The Work Program of the Taskforce • Finalise a report by mid-January 2011 that will: • Review current state of climate services framework • Identify gaps in the current climate services framework • Consult widely • Recommend options for the implementation of the Global Framework for Climate Services that addresses the gaps and is sustainable • The WMO Congress will respond the report at its May 2011 Session. • The UN Secretary-General will also receive the report 14

15. Thank you for listening 15