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Contingent Capital Evaluation for I-SEM: Panel Meeting Dec. 2017

Confidential discussion on why, how much, and implications of contingent capital in the I-SEM market, assessing exhaust scenarios and remedial actions required. Key objectives and risks evaluated for market sustainability.

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Contingent Capital Evaluation for I-SEM: Panel Meeting Dec. 2017

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  1. Contingent Capital TSC Modifications Panel Meeting Dec 2017 Confidential For discussion only

  2. Key Objectives • Why is contingent capital needed? • How much contingent capital is required in I-SEM? • What happens if contingent capital is exhausted? Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Confidential For discussion only

  3. Why is contingent capital needed EirGrid/SONI Market Charges Market Payments Capacity Constraints Residual Error Interconnector Ramping Market Operator Charges ….. Confidential For discussion only

  4. Why is contingent capital needed EirGrid/SONI Market Payments Market Charges MWhr based Forecast Errors Time based Market Charges Market Payments Confidential For discussion only

  5. Why is contingent capital needed EirGrid/SONI Accumulated Charges-Payment Contingent Capital Market Payments Market Charges

  6. Change in key assumptions – SEM v I-SEM Confidential For discussion only

  7. Will Contingent Capital be exhausted? • Put prudent amount in place • Some remedial actions • Warning System • Uplift in tariffs at short notice • Change to Market Rules • Low risk , but could happen • What happens if contingent capital is exhausted? Confidential For discussion only

  8. What happens if contingent capital is exhausted? • Currently payments must continue to be made under TSC • Condition precedent for raising finance that some mechanism be put in place • Costs will be recovered over time – just not sufficient funds to pay • Risk of breach of TSC and legal action • Proposal is that payments are suspended and accrued until charges exceed payments

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