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ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN – DRIVERS AND CHANGES INFLUENCING GEO

ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN – DRIVERS AND CHANGES INFLUENCING GEO. WHAT HAS CHANGED IN THE WORLD SINCE GEO/GEOSS BEGAN AND WHAT CAN WE ANTICIPATE IN THE NEXT DECADE?. Advances in Science and Technology. Advances in Environmental Science Internet, applications, and smart phones

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ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN – DRIVERS AND CHANGES INFLUENCING GEO

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  1. ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN – DRIVERS AND CHANGES INFLUENCING GEO

  2. WHAT HAS CHANGED IN THE WORLD SINCE GEO/GEOSS BEGAN AND WHAT CAN WE ANTICIPATE IN THE NEXT DECADE?

  3. Advances in Science and Technology • Advances in Environmental Science • Internet, applications, and smart phones • Rising expectations of being connected anywhere and anytime • Google maps/Google earth granting public access to, and increasing expectation of, geographic information • spatial location services • improvements in spatial accuracy • GPS in everything • Integrated applications EO/RS-GPS/TC/GIS • ICT advancements • Crowdsourcing and sensors in mobile phones (for both data acquisition and dissemination) • Advances in monitoring technology • Space/satellite missions • Airborne missions (including drones) • In situ • Physical/Geophysical data • Citizens Observatories • Advances in Science/Big data • Advances in High Performance Computing and High Performance Data • Modeling advances (including integration and interpretation) • Data quality a key issue

  4. Environmental Changes…. • Reference to the 19 focus areas being proposed within the SDG’s process • Climate change • international consensus: IPCC Report (March 31, 2014) • “Nobody on this planet is going to be untouched by the impacts of climate change” Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change chairman Rajendra Pachauri • Impacts on the natural and human environments • Focus on adaptation • Biodiversity • Food Security • Air pollution • Water • Ocean acidification • Water availability • Water quality • Land Use • Increased urbanization • De-forestation • Increasing challenges with weather and natural disasters (Frequency/Severity/Impacts) • Insurances costs are rising • Greater focus on Disaster Risk Reduction • Interlinkages between different issues to be addressed

  5. Political and Policy Shifts…… • How have the roles of government changed? How have the expectations of citizens changed? • Focus on economic development, • Focus on sustainable development but… • Governments withdrawing from key environmental issues, leaving space to others such as private sector and academia to fill gaps, play larger role • Citizen expectations of a responsive government • Informed decision-making is not taking place to the expected extent • Increasing globalization and international cooperation • Open data/open licensing/ data sharing • Coordination of acquisition/missions • CEOS • EU Sentinel Space Project • Heightened role/expectations of emerging countries • Seeking more information/data • Increased sensitivity to privacy issues (connected to the integration of EO and social data) • Global economic crisis has led to fiscal restraint • Governments focusing on reducing deficits and achieving a balanced budgets • international bodies, such as the IMF, have tightened their lending rules • The first 10 years of GEO was strongly driven by large national space agencies. That environment is changing dramatically and rapidly. There are now dozens of new players, including a rapidly growing private sector

  6. Social and economic changes… • Society is becoming increasingly vulnerable to severe extreme weather, climate and water events • changing demographics (human settlements, aging population in some countries, which also increase exposure to risk) • Economic value of ecosystems services • population migration due to environmental changes • Climate change will worsen problems that society already has, such as poverty, sickness, violence and refugees according to the IPCC • Readily available data has led to increased citizen awareness/innovation • Legacy and liability, how to deal with obsolete infrastructure • brand new business models (itunes/ appstore / Google / Facebook) are capitalizing on this. Linkage between the areas of change, input/output models • The GCI DAB is quite representative of these quick changes. Need to think on how to cope with the next sudden changes • Start up/garage companies • Citizens observatories are great tools and best practices: people are connected, need to take advantage from these global communities.

  7. HOW DOES THIS CHANGE OUR VISION FOR GEO/GEOSS IN THE FUTURE?

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