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Endgame - Lessons from Afghanistan. Torbjørn L. Knutsen. Lessons learned for the Alliance – and the allied nations - useful lessons - for future operations. Armed conflicts in 2011. Lessons : Fjellvettreglene (The mountain code”). Legg ikke ut på langtur uten trening.
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Endgame - Lessons from Afghanistan Torbjørn L. Knutsen
Lessons learned for the Alliance • – and the allied nations • - useful lessons • - for future operations
Lessons: Fjellvettreglene(The mountain code”) • Legg ikke ut på langtur uten trening. • Meld fra hvor du går. • Vis respekt for været og værmeldingen. • Vær rustet mot uvær og kulde selv på korte turer. • Lytt til erfarne fjellfolk. • Bruk kart og kompass. • Gå ikke alene. • Vend i tide. Det er ingen skam å snu. • Spar på kreftene. Grav deg ned i snøen om nødvendig.
Intervensjonsvettreglene(Nine sensible rules for invading small countries) • Don’t embark on a long trip without training • Report where you are heading • Show respect for the weather … • Be prepared for bad weather – even on short trips • Listen to experienced people • Use map and compass • Never go alone • Turn back in time • Save your energy. Dig a shelter in the snow if need be
Nine rules for military intervention • 1 Get a clear mandate • 2 Get to know the conflict • 3 Get to know what you can do about it • 4 Develop a grand strategy • 5 Military force is no solution by itself
Nine rules for military intervention • 6 Keep goals and ambitions in line • 7 Keep rhetoric modest • 8 Allied coordination is always a problem • 9 Establish formal routines for learning
Differences within the alliance • ... differences in national character/culture • ... different degrees in domestic consensus • ... differences in ambitions and aims • ... differences in power • ... differences in goals • ... differences in lessons drawn
Lessons learned • Academic lessons • vs • Political lessons