350 likes | 701 Views
Chris Baker Operations Director UKTI DSO An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market. An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market. Presentation Outline: Key economic & political indicators Review of export performance Business prospects Export challenges .
E N D
Chris Baker Operations Director UKTI DSO An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market
An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market Presentation Outline: • Key economic & political indicators • Review of export performance • Business prospects • Export challenges
Forecast World GDP growth Source: IMF (October 2010)
The UK and US – GDP growth Source: IMF (October 2010), Office of National Statistics (2010)
Growth in World Trade Source: IMF October 2010
Government fiscal balance (% of GDP) Data source: IMF (October 2010)
Oil Prices 2000-2015 Source: DECC & IEA
Animate the line World Military Expenditure 1998-2009 Source: SIPRI
Sea Sea Land Land Air Air USA Defence Exports By Sector 2000-09
Animate all lines then the red line last UK & Competitor Market Shares: 2000-09 USA
New figures on paper copy UK Security Exports UK Security Exports 1.44 12% 1.29 14% 1.13 £BN
Defence Import Procurement By Region: 2000-09 ($BN) 129 110 107 46 22 19 USA
UK Defence Exports - Top Destinations: 2010 Forecast Others USA Saudi Arabia India USA
2009 UK Security Export Destinations US 24% Other 30% China South Korea 15% 2% Brazil 2% USA Russia Japan 3% India 7% France 7% Italy Germany 3% 3% 4%
Competitor Activity in South America • HIGH-LEVEL POLITICAL SUPPORT • G2G & CO-OPERATION AGREEMENTS • ENERGY DIPLOMACY • SPECIAL FINANCIAL ARRANGEMENTS
To show these on world map DSO Priority Defence & Security Markets 2010-11
EXPORT PROSPECTS BY REGION: 2010-2014 Regional Export Prospects: 2010-2014
EXPORT PROSPECTS BY REGION & TYPE: 2010-2014 Regional Export Prospects by Sector: 2010-2014
Trends in Military & Security Capability Requirements Trends in Military & Security Capability Requirements • Air: UAVs/UCAVs. Air-lift, helicopters, ISTAR, precision • weapons • Land: Counter-IED, force protection, missile defence, ISTAR, unmanned systems • Naval: OPVs, multi-role frigates, submarines, ASW, ISTAR, unmanned systems • Space: Surveillance, communications • Security: Cyber security, personal protection, integrated surveillance, cargo screening, biometrics
EXPORT CHALLENGES • Impact of SDSR/CSR • Increase market share • Intensifying competition • MoD & industry to embrace exportability • Declining product base • Reduce dependency on two markets • Improve after-sales support • Exploit security opportunities • Better marketing of “brand UK” with Government-to-Government support
Chris Baker Operations Director UKTI DSO An Analysis of the Global Defence & Security Export Market