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. Anthrax Cases in DC. Flu Flu Flu. . . . Biosurveillance Challenges. Outbreak Detection ? Preparation, Response, RecoveryOutbreak Attribution: Natural vs Accidental vs Intentional. Data courtesy of Medstar
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1. Integrated Biosurveillance&Bioterrorism PreparednessAdvanced Briefing for IndustryDec, 2004
4. Biosurveillance Projects ALADDIN – Automated Link Analysis for Data-Mining of Distributed Information
Phase II SBIR - Charles River Analytics
Bayesian Belief Network, clinical & non-clinical data
Health Information Data Mining for Early Identification of Bioterrorism
Phase II SBIR – Dynamics Technology
AADP - Automated Anomaly Detection Processor, clinical & non-clinical data
ESSENCE - Electronic Surveillance System for the Early Notification of Community-based Epidemics
Worldwide daily syndromic surveillance of military outpatient clinic visits
Evaluating incorporation of microbiology lab orders
5. Biosurveillance Projects
6. Biosurveillance Projects – West Nile Virus
8. Biosurveillance Projects - SARS Retrospective evaluation of data sources
10/02: enviro-clim – lowest temperature in 62 yrs
11/02: media – school, factory closings reported
2/03: socio-economic – stores, parks deserted
2/03: transportation – subways, buses deserted
2/03: telecom – increased cell phone text messaging
2/03: internet – PROMED “unusual pneumonia”
WHO global alert issued 15 March 03
8 countries already involved, including US
Ultimately >8400 people infected in 30 countries
Case fatality rate up to 15%
9. Biosurveillance Projects - Argus Objectives
Policy & legal review
Prospective prototype
Response issues
Disease models
SARS/Avian influenza
Rift Valley Fever
Geographic areas
Asia/Pacific
East Africa
Data sources
News Media
Transportation
Telecommunication
Enviroclimatic
MOH Websites
10. Established at Drexel University in Philadelphia, 2000
Rural partner in western PA - St Francis Univ
Web-based training a major focus www.cimerc.org
Chem-bio self assessment survey
Incident scenario guidebook
Educational and informational resources
Argentina effort – Spanish translations, evaluations
Other potential collaboration
11. CIMERC Self Assessment Survey
12. CIMERC Problem Simulation Exercises20 Scenarios…
Conventional Disasters
Terrorism - Conventional Explosives
Chemical Agent Release
Infectious Disease Outbreak
Contagious Disease Outbreak
Nuclear/Radiological Incident
13. Future Directions Biosurveillance
Incorporation of other data sources – animal, plant, biosensor
Integration with response community
National efforts & guidelines – BioSense, CDC, NBIS/NBIC, Military
Bioterrorism Preparedness
Targeted, modular advanced distributed learning
Novel, simulation-based response training