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INDUSTRIALIZATION IN CONSTRUCTION SECTOR. Herve CHARRUE Research Director. AAHRUS 19 – 06 – 2012 Industry Energy Positive Building & District. CONTEXT & ISSUES. CONTEXT & ISSUES GLOBAL WARMING. CONTEXT & ISSUES WORLD POPULATION . FORECAST. 12 BInH. TOTAL WORLD ( 9,2 BInH ). 10. 8.
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INDUSTRIALIZATION IN CONSTRUCTION SECTOR Herve CHARRUE Research Director AAHRUS 19 – 06 – 2012 Industry Energy Positive Building & District
CONTEXT & ISSUESWORLD POPULATION FORECAST 12BInH TOTAL WORLD (9,2 BInH) 10 8 6 ASIA (5,3BInH) 4 AFRICA (2 B InH) 2 SOUTH AMERICA (0,77 BInH) EUROPE (0,66BInH) NORTH AMERICA (0,44BInH OECANIA ( 0,05BInH) Source : World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights - United Nations
CONTEXT & ISSUESPOPULATION AGEING POPULATION BY BROAD AGE GROUP PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION IN 2005 ( ) & 2050 ( ) % AFRICA EUROPE YEARS Source : World Population Prospects: The 2006 Revision, Highlights - United Nations
CONTEXT & ISSUESURBANIZATION total population of the cities higher than 2 millions inhabitants WORLD WIDE URBANIZATION RATE + 30% POPULATION WW LIVE IN CITY > 1Mio InH population density (Inhab /sq km) % cities > 2 millions inhab vs total population total population of the cities higher than 2 millions inhabitants (millions)
CONTEXT & ISSUESURBANIZATION IN FRANCE FRENCH URBAN POPULATION TREND 1846 - 1999 1936 41,5 MioInH. MILLIONS INHABITANTS % 100 80 60 TOTAL 2009 65 MioInH. URBAN URBAN RURAL URBANIZATION RATE % > 1000 inhab / km² 100 – 200 inhab / km² Source : INSEE
CONTEXT & ISSUES CITY & DENSITY URBAN DENSITY vs LINK BUILDING + TRANSPORT URBAN DENSITY (inhab/ha) ANNUAL FUEL COMSUMPTION (GJ/hc) NORTH AMERICAN CITIES AUSTRALIAN CITIES URBAN DENSITY (inhab/ha) EUROPEAN CITIES ASEAN CITIES CARS / 1000 inhabitant
CONTEXT & ISSUESCITY vsENERGY & POLLUTION FRANCE TRANSPORT + BUILDING ~ 50% GHG EMISSIONS CITY TRANSPORT 26% INDUSTRY 20% AGRICULTURE 19% ENERGY PRODUCTION TRANSFORMATION 13% BUILDING 19% WASTE trt 3%
CONTEXT & ISSUESSPEED OF CHANGE FOR EUROPEAN CITIES CITY INDIVIDUAL CONTRIBUTION to «4 FACTOR » GHGas COMPLEXITY TRANSPORT & INFRASTRUCTURE BUILDING 1 % NEW 99 % RENOVATION TIME 2 – 5 YRS 10 – 15YRS 20 - 30YRS
CONTEXT & ISSUES 2050 CRITICAL PATH FOR BUILDING SECTOR • 2020 - 2050 • ACHIEVE 50 kWh/m²/year TO POSITIVE ENERGY FOR NEWBUILDING • INNOVATION HEATING/COOLING, VENTILATION, INSULATION • LIGHTING, HOT WATER, ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES & MOBILITY • FULL STOCK RENOVATION 50 kWh/m²/year 2050 • NEED MAJOR INCREASE BUILDING PRODUCTION • PERFORMANCES ASSESSMENT BUILDING – DISTRICT SCALE • ENERGY & RENEWABLES • ENVIRONMENT (CO², WATER, RESSOURCES…) • AIR, WATER, NOISE QUALITY • COMFORT INDEX…
CONTEXT & ISSUES EFFECTIVENESS C0² ABATEMENT MEASURES BUILDING SECTOR MAJORS TARGETS WATER HEATING AIR CONDITIONING LIGHTING BUILDING INSULATION Source : Mc Kinsey
CONTEXT & ISSUES FRENCH BUILDING STOCK PROFILE Consumption (kWh.m-2.year-1) 1974: 1st thermal regulation 1982: First label for insulation of buildings Thermal Regulation 2000 1975 1949 Thermal Regulation 2005 350 1914 350 kWh.m-2.year-1 1871 300 Thermal Regulation 2012: 50 kWh/m²/year 1981 Average: 250 kWh/m²/year 1990 200 2000 150 kWh.m²/y Stock Renewal rate 1% per year 100 Kyoto Target in 205050 kWh.m²/y 50 0 2 6 10 21 24 27 30 31 Dwellings (Mio)
CONTEXT & ISSUESBUILDINGPRODUCTION RATE FRANCE 2011 ANNUAL PRODUCTION STOCK HOUSING 3 Bm² 33 Mm² TERTIARY 1 Bm² 22 Mm² 4 Bm² 55Mm² NEW STOCK Source : FFB 2011
CONTEXT & ISSUESBUILDINGPRODUCTION RATE 4 6 Bm² 200 m²/an STOCK 50 kWh/m²/y X 4 ANNUAL PRODUCTION 55 2010 2050
CONTEXT & ISSUESISSUES SYNTHESIS • PRODUCTION x 4 • INNOVATIONS FULLL SCOPE vs 2050 TARGETS • RENOVATION FIRST (OCCUPIED SITE) • MULTI SCALE PERFORMANCES ASSESSMENT • COMPONENT - BUIDLING – DISTRICT ALONG LIFE CYCLE • COST VS FINANCIAL SOLVANCY
TOWARDS INDUSTRIALIZATION
TOWARDS INDUSTRIALIZATIONTHE VARIOUS SCALES CONCEPTION TOOLS COMPONENTS TECHNOLOGIES PROJECT DESIGN FOUNDATION ENGEENERING STRUCTURE ENVELOPPE EQUIPMENTS NETWORKS MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCES CONSTRUCTION PHASES PROCESS DESIGN Source : NCC Drawings
TOWARDS INDUSTRIALIZATION THE TECHNOLOGIES SCALE CONCEPTION TOOLS COMPONENTS TECHNOLOGIES • FUNCTION ORIENTED TOWARDS SYSTEM ORIENTED • LARGER INTEGRATION IN PERFORMANCE & VALUE CHAIN • LARGER PUBLIC POLICIES FRAME • QUALITY CONSISTENCY • ROBUSTNEESS TO WORKFORCE • COST EFFECTIVENESS • DIFFERENCIATION NEW CONSTRUCTION / RENOVATION PROJECT DESIGN FOUNDATION ENGEENERING STRUCTURE ENVELOPPE EQUIPMENTS NETWORKS MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCES SAFETY CONSTRUCTION PHASES PROCESS HEALTH ENERGY - ENVIRONEMENT DESIGN ECONOMY - SOCIAL NUMERICAL INTEGRATION
TOWARDS INDUSTRIALIZATION THE TECHNOLOGIES SCALE: EXAMPLES INDUSTRIAL PRODUCT INDUSTRIAL SOLUTION • HIGH PERFORMANCE PRODUCT GLAZING & FRAME • MULTI FUNCTION REQUIREMENTS (OFF SITE) • NO INDUSTRIAL INTEGRATION KIT ESP FULL RENOVATION • NO COMPLEXITY BARRIER • PERFORMANCE SENSITIVITY TO WORK FORCE • FULLY INTEGRATED CONCEPTION & PRODUCT • MULTI FUNCTION REQUIREMENTS • INDUSTRIAL INTEGRATION KIT & PARTS • NEW CONSTRUCTION & RENOVATION • COMPLEXITY/RISK BARRIER • EXCLUSIVE PACKAGE TRAINING & GUARANTEE TM • PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT
TOWARDS INDUSTRIALIZATION THE DESIGN SCALE: THE BIM + NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS CONCEPTION TOOLS COMPONENTS TECHNOLOGIES CONVERSION 2D to BIM 3D ASSETS MANAGEMENT PROJECT DESIGN FOUNDATION ENGEENERING STRUCTURE ENVELOPPE EQUIPMENTS NETWORKS MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCES CONSTRUCTION PHASES PROCESS ELECTRICITY NETWORK DESIGN TECHNICAL SYNTHESIS REGULATION CONFORMITY VENTILATION HEATING
TOWARDS INDUSTRIALIZATION THE DESIGN SCALE : EXAMPLE ENVIRONMENT BIM-IFC ACOUSTICS BIM-IFC BIM-IFC ENERGY MEASUREMENT, ESTIMATION, PLANNING, DESCRIPTION, MANAGEMENT
TOWARDS INDUSTRIALIZATION THE PROCESS SCALE :THE QUEST CONSTRUCTION PHASES PROCESS TIME COST QUALITY OFF SITE PRODUCTION
TOWARDS INDUSTRIALIZATION THE ACTUAL INDUSTRIALIZATION SWOT S W • FUNCTION & PERFORMANCES ORIENTED • CONSISTANCY & VOLUME • QUALITY • COST • TECHNO PUSH vs ARCHITECTURAL INNOVATION • LACK OF INTEGRATION • CONCEPTION – REALIZATION – MAINTENANCE • INTEROPERATION LARGE SCALE • USER INTERFACE ROBUSTNESS TO WORKFORCE • RENOVATION ADAPTATION (OCCUPIED SITES) • END USER REQUIREMENTS INTEGRATION T O • FULL INTEGRATION VS CONCEPTION – REALIZATION • – MAINTENANCE • WORK FORCE UPGRADE TOWARDS TECH • PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT FULL SCALE • INNOVATIONS • COST REDUCTION & GREEN VALUE • NO F4 2050 ACHIEVEMENT • GRENN WAVE ATTITUDE • ‘TRADITIONAL’ COME BACK • PREFORMANCE CONSISTANCY & SCALE UP
TOWARDS INDUSTRIALIZATION ISSUES SYNTHESIS • ARCHITECTURAL DIVERSITY • PRODUCTION x 4 • INNOVATIONS FULLL SCOPE vs 2050 TARGETS • RENOVATION FIRST (OCCUPIED SITE) • MULTI SCALE PERFORMANCES ASSESSMENT • COMPONENT - BUIDLING – DISTRICT ALONG LIFE CYCLE • COST VS FINANCIAL SOLVANCY END USER
CSTB’s ROLE CSTB’s ROLE • RESEARCH • PUBLIC POLICIES SUPPORT (PUBLIC BODY) • INNOVATION INTEGRATION • CERTIFICATION PRODUCTS & SYSTEMS • TECHNICAL KNOWLEDGE TO CONSTRUCTION SECTOR
CSTB MISSION FROM EVALUATION TO ASSESSMENT GOVERNMENT CONTRACTORS COMPANIES OWNERS TERRITORIAL COLLECTIVITIES DEVELOPERS INDUSTRIALISTS END USER SAFETY SIMULATION EXPERIMENTATION MEASUREMENTS HEALTH PERFORMANCES INTEGRATION INNOVATIONS ENERGY ENVIRONEMENT SCALES BUILDING DISTRICT CITY TERRITORIES ECONOMY SOCIAL PUBLIC POLICIES NUMERICAL INTEGRATION
R&D ROLES KEY WORDS • INNOVATION ( MATERIALS, COMPONENTS, SYSTEM, SERVICES, • ORGANIZATION, COGNITION, ECONOMY, JURIDIC …) • CONCEPTION & TOOLS TO DESIGN & ASSESS PERFORMANCES OF BUILT • ENVIRONMENT (COMPONENT – BUILDING – DISTRICT – CITY SCALES) • SIMULATION – WORKFLOW – PERFORMANCE ACHIEVMENT • ARCHTECTS : HOW TO INNOVATE UNDER “PUBLIC POLICIES STRESS” • HOW TO SUCCEED IN MASSIVE WORKFORCE TRAINING TO ENSURE • ROBUSTNESS TO LOW END WORKFORCE • ECONOMICAL MODELS OF VALUE CHAIN …
CONCLUSIONS« INDUSTRIALIZATION »’s DRIVERS • THINK GLOBAL – ACT LOCAL • 4 FACTOR 2050 FULL STOCK 4 FACTOR BUILDING PRODUCTIO • INNOVATIONS FULL SCOPE - FULL SCALES ( R&D PARTENERSHIP) • MASSIVE TRAINING OF WORKFORCE • ECONOMICAL SOLVANCY & VALUE • FROM PERFORMANCE EVALUATION TO ASSESSMENT