1 / 37

CBRFC April 2010 Water Supply Webinar

CBRFC April 2010 Water Supply Webinar. PLEASE MUTE YOUR PHONES. 1pm, April 7, 2010 Kevin Werner. These slides: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/present/present.php. Outline. March Weather Review Snow States Water Supply Forecasts. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/pub2/map/html/cbrfc.3.2009.html.

callum-mcknight
Download Presentation

CBRFC April 2010 Water Supply Webinar

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. CBRFCApril 2010Water Supply Webinar PLEASE MUTE YOUR PHONES 1pm, April 7, 2010 Kevin Werner These slides: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/present/present.php

  2. Outline • March Weather Review • Snow States • Water Supply Forecasts Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/pub2/map/html/cbrfc.3.2009.html

  3. Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/precip/qpe/mapsum/mapsum.cgi??cbrfc?M?2009?02

  4. Snow: Mar 4 (above) Apr 6 (right) Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?scon=checked

  5. Snow: Upper Green Basin (above Flaming Gorge) Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  6. Snow:Colorado Mainstem (above Cameo) Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  7. Snow:San Juan Basin Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  8. Snow:Bear River Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  9. Snow:Six Creeks in Salt Lake County Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  10. Snow:Lower Colorado Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  11. Last 7 days… <- Last 30 days Web Reference: http://water.weather.gov

  12. Last 7 days

  13. NRCS daily forecast update 7 day change scince April 1

  14. Forecast Precipitation • Mostly dry for the rest of this week and weekend • Storm pattern expected for next week. Details still fuzzy but event could be significant for parts of the basin Web Reference: www.hpc.noaa.gov

  15. Forecast Precipitation:Next Week’s Storm Current weather forecast model solutions for 14 day period precipitation totals: NOAA’s GFS (left) and European’s ECMWF (right). Both models show a major long wave trough affecting the southern half first (~Tues, 4/13) and then the northern half (~Thurs, 4/15).

  16. El Nino Update Web Reference: http://www.cpc.noaa.gov and iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO

  17. Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/climate/climoForecasts.cgi

  18. April 1, 2010 • Water Supply Forecasts • Highlights: • Dry conditions continue in much of the Upper Colorado and Great Basins • Forecasts generally lower by 5-15% from March 1 in upper Colorado Basin • Forecasts in northern Great Basin tempered by recent storm. • Lower basin melt out underway Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  19. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  20. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  21. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  22. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  23. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  24. 1580/50% 3340/72% ESP 50% forecast guidance March 1 March 29 no qpf – qpf Green R. 1782 1522 – 1587 Colorado R. 3475 3177 – 3235 San Juan R. 972 831 – 824 1050/85% • Average contribution to Lake Powell Apr-Jul inflow: • Green River-Green River, UT 34% • Colorado River-Cicso, UT 50% • San Juan River-Bluff, UT 13%

  25. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  26. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  27. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  28. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  29. Online Publication Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/pub2/map/html/cpub.php

  30. April 1, 2010 • Peak Flow Forecasts • Highlights: • Low flood risk potential in upper basin • Lower basin at some risk if a significant precipitation event were to coincide with snow melt. • Most streamflow recreation points not expected to reach minimum thresholds • Weather patterns over the next 2 months will greatly influence actual peak flows Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?pcon=checked

  31. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?pcon=checked

  32. Email Updates: Automatic email update customized to what you need. http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/govdelivery.html

  33. More Resources • www.cbrfc.noaa.gov • Wateroutlook.nwrfc.noaa.gov • Podcast versions of webinars available (CBRFC homepage -> podcasts • Tentative May water supply & peak flow webinar: 10am May 7 • Separate Peak Flow Forecast webinar as required or requested

  34. CBRFC Open House • Objective: Improve understanding / communication of forecast process and forecast usage • August 18, 2010 • Salt Lake City, UT • More details to come • www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/openhouse.html

  35. Kevin Werner CBRFC Service Coordination Hydrologist Phone: 801.524.5130 Email: kevin.werner@noaa.gov Feedback, Questions, Concerns always welcome….

More Related