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Future potentials of optimisation systems

Future potentials of optimisation systems. Dr. Markus Montigel Friday, 18 th January 2013 ETH Zürich. 22.05.2003. What have we done ?. What have we done ?. Achievement 1: Timetable stability. Energy Saving. [4]. What to optimise in Train Traffic ?. Capacity? Energy consumption?

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Future potentials of optimisation systems

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  1. Future potentials of optimisation systems Dr. Markus Montigel Friday, 18th January 2013 ETH Zürich

  2. 22.05.2003 IT13.rail

  3. What have we done? IT13.rail

  4. What have we done? Achievement 1: Timetable stability IT13.rail

  5. Energy Saving [4] IT13.rail

  6. What to optimise in Train Traffic? • Capacity? • Energy consumption? • Punctuality? • Travel time? • Wear and Tear? • All of it??? • Flexible Optimisation? IT13.rail

  7. What to optimise in Train Traffic? • Some of the possible optimisation goals are potentially conflicting • E.g.: capacity vs. punctuality • To define optimisation goals is a task of a company’s strategy • Processes and systems must then implement such a strategy IT13.rail

  8. Conflict-based Approach • Acquire Actual State • Iteratively • Create real-time forecast • Detect conflicts • Evaluate conflict resolution proposals • Acceptance of conflict resolution • Make Decision • Adjusting the operating program and the control data • Generate speed recommendations for trains IT13.rail

  9. Tolerance Band IT13.rail

  10. Introduction State of the art Methodology used ConclusionandFuturework Integration of TMS and ATO • TMS Framework • ATO Framework ? IT13.rail

  11. Develop a business case • Deliver Business Performance – how? • How to start such an initiative? • Consider potential goals of optimisation • Develop business case • Considered LBL experiences and extrapolated to case of Switzerland (estimates) IT13.rail

  12. Factors considered • Energy conservation • Reduction of time loss due to conflicts • Increase of capacity • Decrease of maintenance due to reduces wear and tear • Smoother experience for passengers IT13.rail

  13. Ready made business case • Energy conservation 35 Mio CHF • Reduction of time loss due to conflicts 48 Mio CHF • Increase of capacity 385 Mio CHF • Decrease of maintenance due to reduces wear and tear 20 Mio CHF • Smoother experience for passengers ? IT13.rail

  14. Thanks for your attention IT13.rail

  15. IT13.rail

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